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In this article we consider the estimation of static parameters for partially observed diffusion process with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, we assume that one must time-discretize the partially…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-20 Elsiddig Awadelkarim , Ajay Jasra , Hamza Ruzayqat

Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) provide a principled and flexible approach to modeling the dynamics of a latent state, which is observed at discrete-time points via a likelihood model. However, inference in GPSSMs is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Xuhui Fan , Edwin V. Bonilla , Terence J. O'Kane , Scott A. Sisson

Learning a categorical distribution comes with its own set of challenges. A successful approach taken by state-of-the-art works is to cast the problem in a continuous domain to take advantage of the impressive performance of the generative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-09 Florence Regol , Mark Coates

We consider the problem of estimating the dynamic latent states of an intracellular multiscale stochastic reaction network from time-course measurements of fluorescent reporters. We first prove that accurate solutions to the filtering…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-09 Zhou Fang , Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash

In this article we consider likelihood-based estimation of static parameters for a class of partially observed McKean-Vlasov (POMV) diffusion process with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-12 Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Raul Tempone

Along with the development of interferometric gravitational wave detector, we enter into an epoch of gravitational wave astronomy, which will open a brand new window for astrophysics to observe our universe. Almost all of the data analysis…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2010-06-29 Li-Fang Li , Jian-Yang Zhu

A variety of enhanced statistical and numerical methods are now routinely used to extract comprehensible and relevant thermodynamic information from the vast amount of complex, high-dimensional data obtained from intensive molecular…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2020-10-14 Francois Sicard , Vladimir Koskin , Alessia Annibale , Edina Rosta

Multi-modal densities appear frequently in time series and practical applications. However, they cannot be represented by common state estimators, such as the Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) and the Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF), which…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-01-03 Sanket Kamthe , Jan Peters , Marc P Deisenroth

We present here an elementary example, for every fixed positive integer $k,$ of a strictly stationary nongaussian stochastic process in discrete time, all of whose $k$-marginals are gaussian.

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-30 K. R. Parthasarathy

The technique of stochastic solutions, previously used for deterministic equations, is here proposed as a solution method for partial differential equations driven by distribution-valued noises.

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-22 R. Vilela Mendes

We discuss the detection of gravitational-wave backgrounds in the context of Bayesian inference and suggest a practical definition of what it means for a signal to be considered stochastic---namely, that the Bayesian evidence favors a…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-08-12 Neil J. Cornish , Joseph D. Romano

In this paper we present stochastic foundations of fractional dynamics driven by fractional material derivative of distributed order-type. Before stating our main result we present the stochastic scenario which underlies the dynamics given…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-02 Marcin Magdziarz , Marek Teuerle

This paper studies a nonlinear filtering problem over an infinite time interval. The signal to be estimated is driven by a stochastic partial differential equation involves unknown parameters. Based on discrete observation, strongly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-12 Qizhu Liang , Jie Xiong , Xingqiu Zhao

This paper takes a different approach for the distributed linear parameter estimation over a multi-agent network. The parameter vector is considered to be stochastic with a Gaussian distribution. The sensor measurements at each agent are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-19 Subhro Das

We introduce a scalable approach to Gaussian process inference that combines spatio-temporal filtering with natural gradient variational inference, resulting in a non-conjugate GP method for multivariate data that scales linearly with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Oliver Hamelijnck , William J. Wilkinson , Niki A. Loppi , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

To estimate the smoothing distribution in a nonlinear state space model, we apply the conditional particle filter with ancestor sampling. This gives an iterative algorithm in a Markov chain Monte Carlo fashion, with asymptotic convergence…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-17 Andreas Svensson , Thomas B. Schön , Manon Kok

We study efficiency of non-parametric estimation of diffusions (stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motion) from long stationary trajectories. First, we introduce estimators based on conditional expectation which is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-26 Xi Chen , Ilya Timofeyev

Typical generative diffusion models rely on a Gaussian diffusion process for training the backward transformations, which can then be used to generate samples from Gaussian noise. However, real world data often takes place in discrete-state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Javier E Santos , Zachary R. Fox , Nicholas Lubbers , Yen Ting Lin

This paper studies the problem of sequential Gaussian shift-in-mean hypothesis testing in a distributed multi-agent network. A sequential probability ratio test (SPRT) type algorithm in a distributed framework of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-09-02 Anit Kumar Sahu , Soummya Kar

Bayesian filtering is a well-known problem that aims to estimate plausible states of a dynamical system from observations. Among existing approaches to solve this problem, particle filters are theoretically exact for non-linear dynamics and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Thomas Savary , François Rozet , Gilles Louppe