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Stochastic simulation has been widely used to analyze the performance of complex stochastic systems and facilitate decision making in those systems. Stochastic simulation is driven by the input model, which is a collection of probability…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-14 Tianyi Liu , Enlu Zhou

Fairness metrics are used to assess discrimination and bias in decision-making processes across various domains, including machine learning models and human decision-makers in real-world applications. This involves calculating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Manh Khoi Duong , Stefan Conrad

This paper considers the issue of modeling fractional data observed in the interval [0,1), (0,1] or [0,1]. Mixed continuous-discrete distributions are proposed. The beta distribution is used to describe the continuous component of the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-03-19 Raydonal Ospina , Silvia L. P. Ferrari

Computer vision applications are omnipresent nowadays. The current paper explores the use of fuzzy logic in computer vision, stressing its role in handling uncertainty, noise, and imprecision in image data. Fuzzy logic is able to model…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-28 Adilet Yerkin , Ayan Igali , Elnara Kadyrgali , Maksat Shagyrov , Malika Ziyada , Muragul Muratbekova , Pakizar Shamoi

This paper deals with actual fuzzy logic approach for modelling the behavior classification of social news aggregations users. The peculiarities of the structure of informational content of communities on the basis of social news…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-09-05 Solomia Fedushko , Olha Trach , Zoryana Kunch , Yaryna Turchyn , Ulyana Yarka

This paper presents a Fuzzy Cognitive Map model to quantify implicit bias in structured datasets where features can be numeric or discrete. In our proposal, problem features are mapped to neural concepts that are initially activated by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-14 Gonzalo Nápoles , Isel Grau , Leonardo Concepción , Lisa Koutsoviti Koumeri , João Paulo Papa

Causal inference with observational studies often suffers from unmeasured confounding, yielding biased estimators based on the unconfoundedness assumption. Sensitivity analysis assesses how the causal conclusions change with respect to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-01 Sizhu Lu , Peng Ding

As machine learning (ML) models are increasingly being employed to assist human decision makers, it becomes critical to provide these decision makers with relevant inputs which can help them decide if and how to incorporate model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Sean McGrath , Parth Mehta , Alexandra Zytek , Isaac Lage , Himabindu Lakkaraju

This article aims at discovering the unknown variables in the system through data analysis. The main idea is to use the time of data collection as a surrogate variable and try to identify the unknown variables by modeling gradual and sudden…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-12 V. Roshan Joseph , William E. Lewis , Henry S. Yuchi , Kathryn A. Maupin

There has long been debates on how we could interpret neural networks and understand the decisions our models make. Specifically, why deep neural networks tend to be error-prone when dealing with samples that output low softmax scores. We…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Simiao Zuo , Jialin Wu

Classifiers are often tested on relatively small data sets, which should lead to uncertain performance metrics. Nevertheless, these metrics are usually taken at face value. We present an approach to quantify the uncertainty of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-05 Niklas Tötsch , Daniel Hoffmann

The optimization on the structure of process of information management under uncertain environment has attracted lots of attention from researchers around the world. Nevertheless, how to obtain accurate and rational evaluation from…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Yuanpeng He

Many important decisions in our everyday lives, such as authentication via biometric models, are made by Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems. These can be in poor alignment with human expectations, and testing them on clear-cut existing…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-09-20 Lukas Mecke , Daniel Buschek , Uwe Gruenefeld , Florian Alt

Fitting models to data is an important part of the practice of science. Advances in machine learning have made it possible to fit more -- and more complex -- models, but have also exacerbated a problem: when multiple models fit the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-27 Alexandre René , André Longtin

Sequential recommendation (SR) aims to predict items that users may be interested in based on their historical behavior sequences. We revisit SR from a novel information-theoretic perspective and find that conventional sequential modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Wenjia Xie , Hao Wang , Luankang Zhang , Rui Zhou , Defu Lian , Enhong Chen

Technological and computational advances continuously drive forward the broad field of deep learning. In recent years, the derivation of quantities describing theuncertainty in the prediction - which naturally accompanies the modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Christoph Koller , Göran Kauermann , Xiao Xiang Zhu

The future value of a security is described as a random variable. Distribution of this random variable is the formal image of risk uncertainty. On the other side, any present value is defined as a value equivalent to the given future value.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-05 Krzysztof Piasecki

A meta-model of the input-output data of a computationally expensive simulation is often employed for prediction, optimization, or sensitivity analysis purposes. Fitting is enabled by a designed experiment, and for computationally expensive…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-01 Andrew Gill , David J. Warne , Antony M. Overstall , Clare McGrory , James M. McGree

The premise of this working paper is based around agent-based simulation models and how to go about creating them from given incomplete information. Agent-based simulations are stochastic simulations that revolve around groups of agents…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2019-02-06 Daniel Stroud , Christian Wagner , Peer-Olaf Siebers

Societal biases that are contained in retrieved documents have received increased interest. Such biases, which are often prevalent in the training data and learned by the model, can cause societal harms, by misrepresenting certain groups,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Maria Heuss , Daniel Cohen , Masoud Mansoury , Maarten de Rijke , Carsten Eickhoff