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We consider the SEIRS epidemiology model with such features of the COVID-19 outbreak as: abundance of unidentified infected individuals, limited time of immunity and a possibility of vaccination. The control of the pandemic dynamics is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-31 J. Ilnytskyi , T. Patsahan

Despite the availability of effective vaccines, the persistence of SARS-CoV-2 suggests that co-circulation with other pathogens and resulting multi-epidemics may become increasingly frequent. To better forecast and control the risk of such…

This work investigates the benefits of implementing a systematic approach to social isolation policies during epidemics. We develop a mixed integer data-driven model predictive control (MPC) scheme based on an SIHRD model which is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-04 S. Z. Sayed Hassen , A. Aboudonia , J. Lygeros

Contact tracing in the COVID-19 pandemic is key to prevent the further spread of COVID-19. Countries and regions around the world have developed and deployed or are considering adopting contact-tracing software or mobile apps. While contact…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Dong Wang , Fang Liu

The spread of an undesirable contact process, such as an infectious disease (e.g. COVID-19), is contained through testing and isolation of infected nodes. The temporal and spatial evolution of the process (along with containment through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Xingran Chen , Hesam Nikpey , Jungyeol Kim , Saswati Sarkar , Shirin Saeedi-Bidokhti

COVID-19 was declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO) on March 11th, 2020. With half of the world's countries in lockdown as of April due to this pandemic, monitoring and understanding the spread of the virus and infection…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-09 Kelvin K. F. Li , Stephen A. Jarvis , Fayyaz Minhas

The current SARS-CoV-2 pandemic is a harsh reminder of the fact that, whether in a single human host or a wave of infection across continents, viral dynamics is often a story about the numbers. In this snapshot, our aim is to provide a…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-01 Yinon M. Bar-On , Avi I. Flamholz , Rob Phillips , Ron Milo

The outbreak of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) is unfolding as a major international crisis whose influence extends to every aspect of our daily lives. Effective testing allows infected individuals to be quarantined, thus reducing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-28 Rahul Singh , Fang Liu , Ness B. Shroff

The COVID-19 outbreak is asynchronous in US counties. Mitigating the COVID-19 transmission requires not only the state and federal level order of protective measures such as social distancing and testing, but also public awareness of…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-03 Hanmo Li , Mengyang Gu

The world is suffering from a pandemic called COVID-19, caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus. National governments have problems evaluating the reach of the epidemic, due to having limited resources and tests at their disposal. This problem is…

Isolation of symptomatic individuals, tracing and testing of their nonsymptomatic contacts are fundamental strategies for mitigating the current COVID-19 pandemic. The breaking of contagion chains relies on two complementary strategies:…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-31 Marco Mancastroppa , Claudio Castellano , Alessandro Vezzani , Raffaella Burioni

With the rapid spread of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) across the globe and its continuous mutation, it is of pivotal importance to design a system to identify different known (and unknown) variants of SARS-CoV-2. Identifying particular…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-13 Sarwan Ali , Bikram Sahoo , Naimat Ullah , Alexander Zelikovskiy , Murray Patterson , Imdadullah Khan

In 2020 the coronavirus outbreak changed the lives of people worldwide. After an initial time period in which it was unclear how to battle the virus, social distancing has been recognised globally as an effective method to mitigate the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-11-16 Luca Bedogni , Shakila Khan Rumi , Flora Salim

Background: Rapid testing for an infection is paramount during a pandemic to prevent continued viral spread and excess morbidity and mortality. This study aimed to determine whether alternative testing strategies based on sample pooling can…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-27 Timo de Wolff , Dirk Pflüger , Michael Rehme , Janin Heuer , Martin-Immanuel Bittner

Computational models for the simulation of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) epidemic evolution would be extremely useful to support authorities in designing healthcare policies and lockdown measures to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-20 Marco Paggi

The effect of masking the general population on a COVID-19 epidemic is estimated by computer simulation using two separate state-of-the-art web-based softwares, one of them calibrated for the SARS-CoV-2 virus. The questions addressed are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-30 Bjorn Johansson

This paper discusses the aspects of data reliability and user privacy for the emerging practice of mobile phone based contact tracing for the COVID-19 pandemic. Various countries and large technology companies have already used or plan to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-06-02 Georgios Magklaras , Lucia Nikolaia Lopez Bojorquez

Severe acute respiratory disease SARS-CoV-2 has had a found impact on public health systems and healthcare emergency response especially with respect to making decisions on the most effective measures to be taken at any given time. As…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Charithea Stylianides , Kleanthis Malialis , Panayiotis Kolios

Several contact tracing solutions have been proposed and implemented all around the globe to combat the spread of COVID-19 pandemic. But, most of these solutions endanger the privacy rights of the individuals and hinder their widespread…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-08-18 Priyanka Singh , Abhishek Singh , Gabriel Cojocaru , Praneeth Vepakomma , Ramesh Raskar

Digital contact tracing approaches based on Bluetooth low energy (BLE) have the potential to efficiently contain and delay outbreaks of infectious diseases such as the ongoing SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. In this work we propose a novel machine…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-27 Felix Sattler , Jackie Ma , Patrick Wagner , David Neumann , Markus Wenzel , Ralf Schäfer , Wojciech Samek , Klaus-Robert Müller , Thomas Wiegand