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The expected growth in wind energy capacity requires efficient and accurate models for wind farm layout optimization, control, and annual energy predictions. Although analytical wake models are widely used for these applications, several…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-02-16 Frederik Aerts , Luca Lanzilao , Johan Meyers

Real-world time series exhibit temporally structured uncertainty: volatility clusters in turbulent regimes, dissipates in stable periods, and shifts abruptly around structural breaks. Yet many probabilistic forecasting methods estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Yijun Wang , Qiyuan Zhuang , Xiu-Shen Wei

This paper presents a novel mathematical framework for representing uncertainty in large deformation diffeomorphic image registration. The Bayesian posterior distribution over the deformations aligning a moving and a fixed image is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-01-13 Demian Wassermann , Matt Toews , Marc Niethammer , William Wells

This study introduces a training-free conditional diffusion model for learning unknown stochastic differential equations (SDEs) using data. The proposed approach addresses key challenges in computational efficiency and accuracy for modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Yanfang Liu , Yuan Chen , Dongbin Xiu , Guannan Zhang

The exceptional benefits of wind power as an environmentally responsible renewable energy resource have led to an increasing penetration of wind energy in today's power systems. This trend has started to reshape the paradigms of power…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-01 Alvaro Lorca , Andy Sun

Statistical modeling of monthly, seasonal, or annual rainfall data is an important research area in meteorology. These models play a crucial role in rainfed agriculture, where a proper assessment of the future availability of rainwater is…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-05 Arnab Hazra , Abhik Ghosh

Low-fidelity analytical models of turbine wakes have traditionally been used for wind farm planning, performance evaluation, and demonstrating the utility of advanced control algorithms in increasing the annual energy production. In…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-08-26 Aditya H. Bhatt , Federico Bernardoni , Stefano Leonardi , Armin Zare

The growth of wind generation capacities in the past decades has shown that wind energy can contribute to the energy transition in many parts of the world. Being highly variable and complex to model, the quantification of the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-19 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Alina Walch , Nahid Mohajeri , Jean-Louis Scartezzini , Mikhail Kanevski

Nowadays, massive datasets are typically dispersed across multiple locations, encountering dual challenges of high dimensionality and huge sample size. Therefore, it is necessary to explore sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) methods for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Hongying Li , Minyi Zhu , Yaqi Cao , Xinyi Xu

Parameter inference for stochastic differential equations is challenging due to the presence of a latent diffusion process. Working with an Euler-Maruyama discretisation for the diffusion, we use variational inference to jointly learn the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-15 Thomas Ryder , Andrew Golightly , A. Stephen McGough , Dennis Prangle

Generating high-quality time series data has emerged as a critical research topic due to its broad utility in supporting downstream time series mining tasks. A major challenge lies in modeling the intrinsic stochasticity of temporal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-20 He Panjing , Cheng Mingyue , Li Li , Zhang XiaoHan

Modelling partial differential equations (PDEs) is of crucial importance in science and engineering, and it includes tasks ranging from forecasting to inverse problems, such as data assimilation. However, most previous numerical and machine…

Discontinuities and delayed terms are encountered in the governing equations of a large class of problems ranging from physics and engineering to medicine and economics. These systems cannot be properly modelled and simulated with standard…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-27 Thibault Monsel , Onofrio Semeraro , Lionel Mathelin , Guillaume Charpiat

We consider a class of dissipative stochastic differential equations (SDE's) with time-periodic coefficients in finite dimension, and the response of time-asymptotic probability measures induced by such SDE's to sufficiently regular, small…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Michal Branicki , Kenneth Uda

Irregular sampling intervals and missing values in real-world time series data present challenges for conventional methods that assume consistent intervals and complete data. Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (Neural ODEs) offer an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 YongKyung Oh , Dong-Young Lim , Sungil Kim

Predicting the evolution of diseases is challenging, especially when the data availability is scarce and incomplete. The most popular tools for modelling and predicting infectious disease epidemics are compartmental models. They stratify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Esha Saha , Lam Si Tung Ho , Giang Tran

We consider the problem of nonparametric estimation of the drift and diffusion coefficients of a Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE), based on $n$ independent replicates $\left\{X_i(t)\::\: t\in [0,1]\right\}_{1 \leq i \leq n}$, observed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Neda Mohammadi , Leonardo Santoro , Victor M. Panaretos

We propose a distributionally robust data-driven predictive control framework for stochastic linear time-invariant systems with unknown dynamics and disturbance distributions. We use an offline trajectory to fit the subspace predictive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Mirhan Urkmez , Shahab Heshmati-Alamdari

This article develops a stochastic differential equation (SDE) for modeling the temporal evolution of queue length dynamics at signalized intersections. Inspired by the observed quasiperiodic and self-similar characteristics of the queue…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-18 Shakib Mustavee , Shaurya Agarwal , Arvind Singh

We present DEF (\textbf{\ul{D}}iffusion-augmented \textbf{\ul{E}}nsemble \textbf{\ul{F}}orecasting), a novel approach for generating initial condition perturbations. Modern approaches to initial condition perturbations are primarily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 David Millard , Arielle Carr , Stéphane Gaudreault , Ali Baheri