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We present a modelling framework for the spreading of epidemics on temporal networks from which both the individual-based and pair-based models can be recovered. The proposed temporal pair-based model that is systematically derived from…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-17 Rory Humphries , Kieran Mulchrone , Jamie Tratalos , Simon More , Philipp Hövel

In this paper we provide the derivation of a super compact pairwise model with only 4 equations in the context of describing susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic dynamics on heterogenous networks. The super compact model is based…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-04 Péter L. Simon , Istvan Z. Kiss

We present a quenched mean-field (QMF) theory for the dynamics of the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model on complex networks where dynamical correlations between connected vertices are taken into account by means of a…

Biological Physics · Physics 2013-09-11 Angélica S. Mata , Silvio C. Ferreira

Pairwise models are used widely to model epidemic spread on networks. These include the modelling of susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) epidemics on regular networks and extensions to SIS dynamics and contact tracing on more exotic networks…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-24 István Z. Kiss , Joel C. Miller , Péter L. Simon

The aim of this article is relating the chemical master equation (CME) to the illness-death model for chronic diseases. We show that a recently developed differential equation for the prevalence directly follows from the CME. As an…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-04-12 Ralph Brinks

In this paper, a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model with identical infectivity, where each node is assigned with the same capability of active contacts, $A$, at each time step, is presented. We found that on scale-free networks,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Rui Yang , Jie Ren , Wen-Jie Bai , Tao Zhou , Ming-Feng Zhang , Bing-Hong Wang

This paper analyses an SIRS-type model for infectious diseases with account for behavioural changes associated with the simultaneous spread of awareness in the population. Two types of awareness are included into the model: private…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-02-17 G. O. Agaba , Y. N. Kyrychko , K. B. Blyuss

The Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible model is a canonical model for emerging disease outbreaks. Such outbreaks are naturally modeled as taking place on networks. A theoretical challenge in network epidemiology is the dynamic correlations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-06-29 Chao-Ran Cai , Zhi-Xi Wu , Michael Z. Q. Chen , Petter Holme , Jian-Yue Guan

This paper is focused on SIS (Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible) epidemic dynamics (also known as the contact process) on populations modelled by homogeneous Poisson point processes of the Euclidean plane, where the infection rate of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-19 François Baccelli , Nithin Ramesan

We introduce a kinetic model that couples the movement of a population of individuals with the dynamics of a pathogen in the same population. We consider that transmission occurs when a susceptible and an infectious individual are…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-01-30 Carolina Strecht-Fernandes , Fabio A. C. C. Chalub

In this paper we introduce an agent-based epidemiological model that generalizes the classical SIR model by Kermack and McKendrick. We further provide a multiscale approach to the derivation of a macroscopic counterpart via the mean-field…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-31 Markus Schmidtchen , Oliver Tse , Stephan Wackerle

The susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) agent-based model is usually employed in the investigation of epidemics. The model describes a Markov process for a single communicable disease among susceptible (S) and infected (I) agents.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-09-28 Gilberto M. Nakamura , Alexandre S. Martinez

The Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) equations and their extensions comprise a commonly utilized set of models for understanding and predicting the course of an epidemic. In practice, it is of substantial interest to estimate the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-07 Omar Melikechi , Alexander L. Young , Tao Tang , Trevor Bowman , David Dunson , James Johndrow

Compartmental equations are primary tools in disease spreading studies. Their predictions are accurate for large populations but disagree with empirical and simulated data for finite populations, where uncertainties become a relevant…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-18 GM Nakamura , ND Gomes , GC Cardoso , AS Martinez

Network-based models of epidemic spread have become increasingly popular in recent decades. Despite a rich foundation of such models, few low-dimensional systems for modeling SIS-type diseases have been proposed that manage to capture the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Carl Corcoran , Alan Hastings

Epidemic spread on networks is one of the most studied dynamics in network science and has important implications in real epidemic scenarios. Nonetheless, the dynamics of real epidemics and how it is affected by the underline structure of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-08 Bnaya Gross , Shlomo Havlin

This article is devoted to the analysis of a particle system model for epidemics among a finite population with susceptible, infective and removed individuals (SIR). The infection mechanism depends on the relative distance between…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Monia Capanna

The susceptible-exposed-infectious-susceptible (SEIS) model is well-known in mathematical epidemiology as a model of infection in which there is a latent period between the moment of infection and the onset of infectiousness. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-06 Eric Foxall

In this paper we study a discrete-time SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible) model, where the infection and healing parameters and the underlying network may change over time. We provide conditions for the model to be well-defined and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-23 Philip E Pare , Sebin Gracy , Henrik Sandberg , Karl Henrik Johansson

In this research, we study the propagation patterns of epidemic diseases such as the COVID-19 coronavirus, from a mathematical modeling perspective. The study is based on an extensions of the well-known susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR)…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-01 Reza Sameni