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While dynamic graph neural networks have shown promise in various applications, explaining their predictions on continuous-time dynamic graphs (CTDGs) is difficult. This paper investigates a new research task: self-interpretable GNNs for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Lanting Fang , Yulian Yang , Kai Wang , Shanshan Feng , Kaiyu Feng , Jie Gui , Shuliang Wang , Yew-Soon Ong

The rich information underlying graphs has inspired further investigation of unsupervised graph representation. Existing studies mainly depend on node features and topological properties within static graphs to create self-supervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Yiming Xu , Zhen Peng , Bin Shi , Xu Hua , Bo Dong

To analyze the impacts of certain types of public health interventions we need to estimate the treatment effects and outcomes as these apply to heterogeneous open populations. Dynamically modifying populations containing risk groups that…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-14 Aditi Shenvi , Jim Q. Smith

Temporal exponential-family random graph models (TERGMs) are a flexible class of network models for the dynamics of tie formation and dissolution. In practice, separable TERGMs (STERGMs) are the subclass most often used, as these permit…

Computation · Statistics 2022-03-22 Chad Klumb , Martina Morris , Steven M. Goodreau , Samuel M. Jenness

Modeling complex spatiotemporal dependencies in correlated traffic series is essential for traffic prediction. While recent works have shown improved prediction performance by using neural networks to extract spatiotemporal correlations,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-08 Junpeng Lin , Ziyue Li , Zhishuai Li , Lei Bai , Rui Zhao , Chen Zhang

Graph processes that unfold in continuous time are of obvious theoretical and practical interest. Particularly useful are those whose long-term behavior converges to a graph distribution of known form. Here, we review some of the conditions…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-24 Carter T. Butts

Graphs are a highly expressive abstraction for modeling entities and their relations, such as molecular structures, social networks, and traffic networks. Deep Graph Networks (DGNs) have emerged as a family of deep learning models that can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Alessio Gravina

Continuous time Bayesian networks (CTBNs) describe structured stochastic processes with finitely many states that evolve over continuous time. A CTBN is a directed (possibly cyclic) dependency graph over a set of variables, each of which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Uri Nodelman , Christian R. Shelton , Daphne Koller

Accurate epidemic forecasting is crucial for effective disease control and prevention. Traditional compartmental models often struggle to estimate temporally and spatially varying epidemiological parameters, while deep learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Shuai Han , Lukas Stelz , Thomas R. Sokolowski , Kai Zhou , Horst Stöcker

We present a generative model for representing and reasoning about the relationships among events in continuous time. We apply the model to the domain of networked and distributed computing environments where we fit the parameters of the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Aleksandr Simma , Moises Goldszmidt , John MacCormick , Paul Barham , Richard Black , Rebecca Isaacs , Richard Mortier

Continuous time Bayesian networks (CTBNs) describe structured stochastic processes with finitely many states that evolve over continuous time. A CTBN is a directed (possibly cyclic) dependency graph over a set of variables, each of which…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Uri Nodelman , Christian R. Shelton , Daphne Koller

Structured stochastic processes evolving in continuous time present a widely adopted framework to model phenomena occurring in nature and engineering. However, such models are often chosen to satisfy the Markov property to maintain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-06 Nicolai Engelmann , Dominik Linzner , Heinz Koeppl

Temporal knowledge graph, serving as an effective way to store and model dynamic relations, shows promising prospects in event forecasting. However, most temporal knowledge graph reasoning methods are highly dependent on the recurrence or…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Yi Xu , Junjie Ou , Hui Xu , Luoyi Fu

Recent advancements in graph representation learning have shifted attention towards dynamic graphs, which exhibit evolving topologies and features over time. The increased use of such graphs creates a paramount need for generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Ryien Hosseini , Filippo Simini , Venkatram Vishwanath , Henry Hoffmann

Dynamic networks are commonly used in applications where relational data is observed over time. Statistical models for such data should capture not only the temporal dependencies between networks observed in time, but also the structural…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-10 Jihui Lee , Gen Li , James D. Wilson

The study of temporal networks in discrete time has yielded numerous insights into time-dependent networked systems in a wide variety of applications. For many complex systems, however, it is useful to develop continuous-time models of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-10 Xinzhe Zuo , Mason A Porter

Traffic forecasting is important in intelligent transportation systems of webs and beneficial to traffic safety, yet is very challenging because of the complex and dynamic spatio-temporal dependencies in real-world traffic systems. Prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Yuchen Fang , Yanjun Qin , Haiyong Luo , Fang Zhao , Liang Zeng , Bo Hui , Chenxing Wang

Graph representation learning is a fundamental task in various applications that strives to learn low-dimensional embeddings for nodes that can preserve graph topology information. However, many existing methods focus on static graphs while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-09 Jingxin Liu , Chang Xu , Chang Yin , Weiqiang Wu , You Song

Graph Neural Networks achieve remarkable results on problems with structured data but come as black-box predictors. Transferring existing explanation techniques, such as occlusion, fails as even removing a single node or edge can lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Lukas Faber , Amin K. Moghaddam , Roger Wattenhofer

Many large-scale applications can be elegantly represented using graph structures. Their scalability, however, is often limited by the domain knowledge required to apply them. To address this problem, we propose a novel Causal Temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-20 Abigail Langbridge , Fearghal O'Donncha , Amadou Ba , Fabio Lorenzi , Christopher Lohse , Joern Ploennigs