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A procedure for unfolding the true distribution from experimental data is presented. Machine learning methods are applied for simultaneous identification of an apparatus function and solving of an inverse problem. A priori information about…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-05-26 Nikolai Gagunashvili

This work presents a new Distributionally Robust Optimization approach, using $p$-Wasserstein metrics, to analyze a stochastic program in a general context. The ambiguity set in this approach depends on the decision variable and is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Diego Fonseca , Mauricio Junca

We study stochastic Nash equilibrium problems subject to heterogeneous uncertainty on the expected valued cost functions of the individual agents, where we assume no prior knowledge of the underlying probability distributions of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Georgios Pantazis , Barbara Franci , Sergio Grammatico

We consider the problem of deciding on sampling strategy, in particular sampling design. We propose a risk measure, whose minimizing value guides the choice. The method makes use of a superpopulation model and takes into account uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-06 Edgar Bueno , Dan Hedlin

The Monte Carlo (MC) method is the most common technique used for uncertainty quantification, due to its simplicity and good statistical results. However, its computational cost is extremely high, and, in many cases, prohibitive.…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-21 A. Cunha , R. Nasser , R. Sampaio , H. Lopes , K. Breitman

We consider a general statistical learning problem where an unknown fraction of the training data is corrupted. We develop a robust learning method that only requires specifying an upper bound on the corrupted data fraction. The method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-10 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Peter Stoica

The paper investigates the robust optimized certainty equivalents and analyzes the relevant properties of them as risk measures for loss positions with distribution uncertainty. On this basis, the robust generalized quantiles are proposed…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-11 Weiwei Li , Dejian Tian

We present a novel data-driven distributionally robust Model Predictive Control formulation for unknown discrete-time linear time-invariant systems affected by unknown and possibly unbounded additive uncertainties. We use off-line collected…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Francesco Micheli , Tyler Summers , John Lygeros

We study approaches to robust model-based design of experiments in the context of maximum-likelihood estimation. These approaches provide robustification of model-based methodologies for the design of optimal experiments by accounting for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-03 Anwesh Reddy Gottu Mukkula , Michal Mateáš , Miroslav Fikar , Radoslav Paulen

Decision making and learning in the presence of uncertainty has attracted significant attention in view of the increasing need to achieve robust and reliable operations. In the case where uncertainty stems from the presence of adversarial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 André Bertolace , Konstatinos Gatsis , Kostas Margellos

In this paper, we develop a two-stage data-driven approach to address the adjustable robust optimization problem, where the uncertainty set is adjustable to manage infeasibility caused by significant or poorly quantified uncertainties. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Xiaoxing Ren , Alessio Moreschini , Zhongda Chu , Yulong Gao , Thomas Parisini

This work studies the distributionally robust evaluation of expected values over temporal data. A set of alternative measures is characterized by the causal optimal transport. We prove the strong duality and recast the causality constraint…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-18 Bingyan Han

Optimization under uncertainty deals with the problem of optimizing stochastic cost functions given some partial information on their inputs. These problems are extremely difficult to solve and yet pervade all areas of technological and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-13 Fabrizio Altarelli , Alfredo Braunstein , Abolfazl Ramezanpour , Riccardo Zecchina

We describe a number of strategies for minimizing and calculating accurately the statistical uncertainty in quantum Monte Carlo calculations. We investigate the impact of the sampling algorithm on the efficiency of the variational Monte…

Computational Physics · Physics 2012-02-14 R. M. Lee , G. J. Conduit , N. Nemec , P. Lopez Rios , N. D. Drummond

We consider a distributionally robust second-order stochastic dominance constrained optimization problem. We require the dominance constraints hold with respect to all probability distributions in a Wasserstein ball centered at the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-20 Yu Mei , Jia Liu , Zhiping Chen

Robustness analysis is very important in biology and neuroscience, to unravel behavioural patterns of systems that are conserved despite large parametric uncertainties. To make studies of probabilistic robustness more efficient and scalable…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-08 Uros Sutulovic , Daniele Proverbio , Rami Katz , Giulia Giordano

This paper proposes a paradigm of uncertainty injection for training deep learning model to solve robust optimization problems. The majority of existing studies on deep learning focus on the model learning capability, while assuming the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Wei Cui , Wei Yu

We study multistage distributionally robust linear optimization, where the uncertainty set is defined as a ball of distribution centered at a scenario tree using the nested distance. The resulting minimax problem is notoriously difficult to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-24 Rui Gao , Rohit Arora , Yizhe Huang

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) provides a framework for training machine learning models that are able to perform well on a collection of related data distributions (the "uncertainty set"). This is done by solving a min-max…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-01 Paul Michel , Tatsunori Hashimoto , Graham Neubig

Bayesian methods, distributionally robust optimization methods, and regularization methods are three pillars of trustworthy machine learning combating distributional uncertainty, e.g., the uncertainty of an empirical distribution compared…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Shixiong Wang , Haowei Wang