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Latent Gaussian models and boosting are widely used techniques in statistics and machine learning. Tree-boosting shows excellent prediction accuracy on many data sets, but potential drawbacks are that it assumes conditional independence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-24 Fabio Sigrist

Reliable detection and classification of power system events are critical for maintaining grid stability and situational awareness. Existing approaches often depend on limited labeled datasets, which restricts their ability to generalize to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-22 Yi Hu , Zheyuan Cheng

We propose a nonparametric method for dynamic prediction in event history analysis with high-dimensional, time-dependent covariates. The approach estimates future conditional hazards by combining landmarking supermodels with gradient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Oliver Lunding Sandqvist

Survival analysis stands as a pivotal process in cancer treatment research, crucial for predicting patient survival rates accurately. Recent advancements in data collection techniques have paved the way for enhancing survival predictions by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Linhao Qu , Dan Huang , Shaoting Zhang , Xiaosong Wang

Time-to-event analysis provides insights into clinical prognosis and treatment recommendations. However, this task is more challenging than standard regression problems due to the presence of censored observations. Additionally, the lack of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Ling Huang , Yucheng Xing , Swapnil Mishra , Thierry Denoeux , Mengling Feng

Survival data with time-varying covariates are common in practice. If relevant, they can improve on the estimation of survival function. However, the traditional survival forests - conditional inference forest, relative risk forest and…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-06 Weichi Yao , Halina Frydman , Denis Larocque , Jeffrey S. Simonoff

Mixup is a widely adopted data augmentation technique known for enhancing the generalization of machine learning models by interpolating between data points. Despite its success and popularity, limited attention has been given to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Chungpa Lee , Jongho Im , Joseph H. T. Kim

We propose a semiparametric data fusion framework for efficient inference on survival probabilities by integrating right-censored and current status data. Existing data fusion methods focus largely on fusing right-censored data only, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Xiudi Li , Sijia Li

More often than not in benchmark supervised ML, tabular data is flat, i.e. consists of a single $m \times d$ (rows, columns) file, but cases abound in the real world where observations are described by a set of tables with structural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Mathieu Guillame-Bert , Richard Nock

This work proposes an innovative approach using machine learning to predict extreme events in time series of chaotic dynamical systems. The research focuses on the time series of the H\'enon map, a two-dimensional model known for its…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-07-11 Alexandre C. Andreani , Bruno R. R. Boaretto , Elbert E. N. Macau

Machine learning models play a vital role in the prediction task in several fields of study. In this work, we utilize the ability of machine learning algorithms to predict the occurrence of extreme events in a nonlinear mechanical system.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 J. Meiyazhagan , S. Sudharsan , A. Venkatasen , M. Senthilvelan

We introduce a statistical procedure that integrates survival data from multiple biomedical studies, to improve the accuracy of predictions of survival or other events, based on individual clinical and genomic profiles, compared to models…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-20 Steffen Ventz , Rahul Mazumder , Lorenzo Trippa

We investigate the performance of model based bootstrap methods for constructing point-wise confidence intervals around the survival function with interval censored data. We show that bootstrapping from the nonparametric maximum likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Bodhisattva Sen , Gongjun Xu

As machine learning becomes widely used for automated decisions, attackers have strong incentives to manipulate the results and models generated by machine learning algorithms. In this paper, we perform the first systematic study of…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Matthew Jagielski , Alina Oprea , Battista Biggio , Chang Liu , Cristina Nita-Rotaru , Bo Li

Adaptive experimentation enables efficient estimation of causal effects, but existing methods are not designed for survival data with censoring, where event times are only partially observed (e.g., overall survival in cancer trials but with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Yuxin Wang , Dennis Frauen , Jonas Schweisthal , Maresa Schröder , Emil Javurek , Stefan Feuerriegel

The proportional hazards (PH) model is arguably one of the most popular models used to analyze time to event data arising from clinical trials and longitudinal studies, among many others. In many such studies, the event time of interest is…

We use statistical mechanics techniques, viz. the replica method, to model the effect of censoring on overfitting in Cox's proportional hazards model, the dominant regression method for time-to-event data. In the overfitting regime, Maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-06 Emanuele Massa , Alexander Mozeika , Anthony Coolen

Conventional time-series forecasting methods typically aim to minimize overall prediction error, without accounting for the varying importance of different forecast ranges in downstream applications. We propose a training methodology that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Luca-Andrei Fechete , Mohamed Sana , Fadhel Ayed , Nicola Piovesan , Wenjie Li , Antonio De Domenico , Tareq Si Salem

In the absence of data from a randomized trial, researchers often aim to use observational data to draw causal inference about the effect of a treatment on a time-to-event outcome. In this context, interest often focuses on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-15 Ted Westling , Alex Luedtke , Peter Gilbert , Marco Carone

Machine learning models that aim to predict dementia onset usually follow the classification methodology ignoring the time until an event happens. This study presents an alternative, using survival analysis within the context of machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Daniel Stamate , Henry Musto , Olesya Ajnakina , Daniel Stahl