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Forecast reconciliation is considered an effective method to achieve coherence (within a forecast hierarchy) and to improve forecast quality. However, the value of reconciled forecasts in downstream decision-making tasks has been mostly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-02 Honglin Wen , Pierre Pinson

In this paper, we study which data can be induced by a correlated equilibrium given a known finite simultaneous move game. We assume that an analyst has access to the frequency of each agent's actions but does not have access to the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-03 Christopher P. Chambers , Maxime Cugnon de Sévricourt , Christopher Turansick

Investors usually resort to financial advisors to improve their investment process until the point of complete delegation on investment decisions. Surely, financial advice is potentially a correcting factor in investment decisions but, in…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-17 Loretta Mastroeni , Maurizio Naldi , Pierluigi Vellucci

In a framework close to the one developed by Holmstr\"om and Milgrom [44], we study the optimal contracting scheme between a Principal and several Agents. Each hired Agent is in charge of one project, and can make efforts towards managing…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-27 Romuald Elie , Dylan Possamaï

We consider a game-theoretic model of a market where investors compete for payoffs yielded by several assets. The main result consists in a proof of the existence and uniqueness of a strategy, called relative growth optimal, such that the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-24 Yaroslav Drokin , Mikhail Zhitlukhin

This paper studies a continuous-time market {under stochastic environment} where an agent, having specified an investment horizon and a target terminal mean return, seeks to minimize the variance of the return with multiple stocks and a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-28 Wan-Kai Pang , Yuan-Hua Ni , Xun Li , Ka-Fai Cedric Yiu

Decentralized exchanges using automated market makers create arbitrage opportunities with centralized exchanges, where gas fees and transaction ordering are critical. Existing models largely overlook competition among arbitrageurs, despite…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-27 Xue Dong He , Chen Yang , Yutian Zhou

In this paper, we formulate an evolutionary multiple access channel game with continuous-variable actions and coupled rate constraints. We characterize Nash equilibria of the game and show that the pure Nash equilibria are Pareto optimal…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2011-03-15 Quanyan Zhu , Hamidou Tembine , Tamer Basar

Consider discrete-time linear distributed averaging dynamics, whereby agents in a network start with uncorrelated and unbiased noisy measurements of a common underlying parameter (state of the world) and iteratively update their estimates…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani , Anton V. Proskurnikov

We investigate Nash equilibrium learning in a competitive Markov Game (MG) environment, where multiple agents compete, and multiple Nash equilibria can exist. In particular, for an oligopolistic dynamic pricing environment, exact Nash…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Larkin Liu

In this paper we focus on noncooperative games with uncertain constraints coupling the agents' decisions. We consider a setting where bounded deviations of agents' decisions from the equilibrium are possible, and uncertain constraints are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-28 George Pantazis , Filiberto Fele , Kostas Margellos

We explore the role that random arbitrage opportunities play in hedging financial derivatives. We extend the asymptotic pricing theory presented by Fedotov and Panayides [Stochastic arbitrage return and its implication for option pricing,…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Stephanos Panayides

We consider the strategic interaction of $n$ investors who are able to influence a stock price process and at the same time measure their utilities relative to the other investors. Our main aim is to find Nash equilibrium investment…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-11 Nicole Bäuerle , Tamara Göll

We study interactions with uncertainty about demand sensitivity. In our solution concept (1) firms choose seemingly-optimal strategies given the level of sophistication of their data analytics, and (2) the levels of sophistication form best…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-04-06 Ron Berman , Yuval Heller

This paper focuses on multi-agent stochastic differential games for jump-diffusion systems. On one hand, we study the multi-agent game for optimal investment in a jump-diffusion market. We derive constant Nash equilibria and provide…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Liwei Lu , Ruimeng Hu , Xu Yang , Yi Zhu

The decisions that human beings make to allocate time has significant bearing on economic output and to the sustenance of social networks. The time allocation problem motivates our formal analysis of the resource allocation game, where…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-08-28 Wei-Chun Lee , Vasilis Livanos , Ruta Mehta , Hari Sundaram

This paper investigates the equilibrium convergence properties of a proposed algorithm for potential games with continuous strategy spaces in the presence of feedback delays, a main challenge in multi-agent systems that compromises the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-20 Yuanhanqing Huang , Jianghai Hu

We introduce predictable relative forward performance processes (PRFPP) as a new framework for studying portfolio management within a competitive and incomplete market environment. Each agent trades a distinct stock following a binomial…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-08 Gechun Liang , Moris S. Strub , Yuwei Wang

We study partial information Nash equilibrium between a broker and an informed trader. In this setting, the informed trader, who possesses knowledge of a trading signal, trades multiple assets with the broker in a dealer market.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-03 Xuchen Wu , Sebastian Jaimungal

We prove existence and uniqueness of stochastic equilibria in a class of incomplete continuous-time financial environments where the market participants are exponential utility maximizers with heterogeneous risk-aversion coefficients and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-02 Gordan Zitkovic
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