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This paper introduces MarketGAN, a factor-based generative framework for high-dimensional asset return generation under severe data scarcity. We embed an explicit asset-pricing factor structure as an economic inductive bias and generate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-27 Jeonggyu Huh , Seungwon Jeong , Hyun-Gyoon Kim , Hyeng Keun Koo , Byung Hwa Lim

We present a general computational framework for solving continuous-time financial market equilibria under minimal modeling assumptions while incorporating realistic financial frictions, such as trading costs, and supporting multiple…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-08 Anastasis Kratsios , Xiaofei Shi , Qiang Sun , Zhanhao Zhang

In the semantic segmentation of street scenes with neural networks, the reliability of predictions is of highest interest. The assessment of neural networks by means of uncertainties is a common ansatz to prevent safety issues. As in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Kira Maag , Matthias Rottmann , Hanno Gottschalk

Multi-competitor races often feature complicated within-race strategies that are difficult to capture when training data on race outcome level data. Further, models which do not account for such strategic effects may suffer from confounded…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-08 Tyrel Stokes , Gurashish Bagga , Kimberly Kroetch , Brendan Kumagai , Liam Welsh

Ensemble weather forecasts based on multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models typically show systematic errors and require post-processing to obtain reliable forecasts. Accurately modeling multivariate dependencies is crucial in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-02 Jieyu Chen , Tim Janke , Florian Steinke , Sebastian Lerch

Datasets in engineering domains are often small, sparsely labeled, and contain numerical as well as categorical conditions. Additionally. computational resources are typically limited in practical applications which hinders the adoption of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Phillip Mueller , Jannik Wiese , Sebastian Mueller , Lars Mikelsons

The growing complexity of the power grid, driven by increasing share of distributed energy resources and by massive deployment of intelligent internet-connected devices, requires new modelling tools for planning and operation. Physics-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-26 Francesco Fusco

Simulation is an integral part in the process of developing autonomous vehicles and advantageous for training, validation, and verification of driving functions. Even though simulations come with a series of benefits compared to real-world…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Ferdinand Mütsch , Helen Gremmelmaier , Nicolas Becker , Daniel Bogdoll , Marc René Zofka , J. Marius Zöllner

A large collection of time series poses significant challenges for classical and neural forecasting approaches. Classical time series models fail to fit data well and to scale to large problems, but succeed at providing uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-04 Danielle C. Maddix , Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola

Driven by the good results obtained in computer vision, deep generative methods for time series have been the subject of particular attention in recent years, particularly from the financial industry. In this article, we focus on commodity…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-30 Nicolas Boursin , Carl Remlinger , Joseph Mikael , Carol Anne Hargreaves

Accurate models are essential for design, performance prediction, control, and diagnostics in complex engineering systems. Physics-based models excel during the design phase but often become outdated during system deployment due to changing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Zihan Liu , Prashant N. Kambali , C. Nataraj

We present a novel data-driven simulation environment for modeling traffic in metropolitan street intersections. Using real-world tracking data collected over an extended period of time, we train trajectory forecasting models to learn agent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-05 Chengbo Zang , Mehmet Kerem Turkcan , Gil Zussman , Javad Ghaderi , Zoran Kostic

The generation of realistic and diverse traffic scenarios in simulation is essential for developing and evaluating autonomous driving systems. However, most simulation frameworks rely on rule-based or simplified models for scene generation,…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Jiaguo Tian , Zhengbang Zhu , Shenyu Zhang , Li Xu , Bo Zheng , Xu Liu , Weiji Peng , Shizeng Yao , Weinan Zhang

Optimum parameter estimation methods require knowledge of a parametric probability density that statistically describes the available observations. In this work we examine Bayesian and non-Bayesian parameter estimation problems under a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-01 George V. Moustakides

State-of-the-art differentially private synthetic tabular data has been defined by adaptive 'select-measure-generate' frameworks, exemplified by methods like AIM. These approaches iteratively measure low-order noisy marginals and fit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Samuel Maddock , Shripad Gade , Graham Cormode , Will Bullock

This paper presents a novel generative model to synthesize fluid simulations from a set of reduced parameters. A convolutional neural network is trained on a collection of discrete, parameterizable fluid simulation velocity fields. Due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-05 Byungsoo Kim , Vinicius C. Azevedo , Nils Thuerey , Theodore Kim , Markus Gross , Barbara Solenthaler

Simulating object deformations is a critical challenge across many scientific domains, including robotics, manufacturing, and structural mechanics. Learned Graph Network Simulators (GNSs) offer a promising alternative to traditional…

Time-series forecasting is a critical task across many domains, from engineering to economics, where accurate predictions drive strategic decisions. However, applying advanced deep learning models in challenging, volatile domains like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Andrzej Podobiński , Jarosław A. Chudziak

Self-supervised Pretrained Models (PTMs) have demonstrated remarkable performance in computer vision and natural language processing tasks. These successes have prompted researchers to design PTMs for time series data. In our experiments,…

Generative models using neural network have opened a door to large-scale studies for various application domains, especially for studies that suffer from lack of real samples to obtain statistically robust inference. Typically, these…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-12-12 Seong Jae Hwang , Zirui Tao , Won Hwa Kim , Vikas Singh