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Utilizing market forecasts is pivotal in optimizing portfolio selection strategies. We introduce DeepClair, a novel framework for portfolio selection. DeepClair leverages a transformer-based time-series forecasting model to predict market…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Donghee Choi , Jinkyu Kim , Mogan Gim , Jinho Lee , Jaewoo Kang

This study examines portfolio selection using predictive models for portfolio returns. Portfolio selection is a fundamental task in finance, and a variety of methods have been developed to achieve this goal. For instance, the mean-variance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-14 Masahiro Kato

Unsupervised learning has gained prominence in the big data era, offering a means to extract valuable insights from unlabeled datasets. Deep clustering has emerged as an important unsupervised category, aiming to exploit the non-linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-02 Georgios Vardakas , Ioannis Papakostas , Aristidis Likas

Mid-cap companies, generally valued between \$2 billion and \$10 billion, provide investors with a well-rounded opportunity between the fluctuation of small-cap stocks and the stability of large-cap stocks. This research builds upon the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-18 Saumya Kothari , Harsh Shah , Utkarsh Prajapati , Shrinjay Kaushik

While traditional Deep Learning (DL) optimization methods treat all training samples equally, Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) adaptively assigns importance weights to different samples. However, a significant gap exists between…

The subpopulationtion shift, characterized by a disparity in subpopulation distributibetween theween the training and target datasets, can significantly degrade the performance of machine learning models. Current solutions to subpopulation…

Portfolio optimization involves determining the optimal allocation of portfolio assets in order to maximize a given investment objective. Traditionally, some form of mean-variance optimization is used with the aim of maximizing returns…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Fernando Acero , Parisa Zehtabi , Nicolas Marchesotti , Michael Cashmore , Daniele Magazzeni , Manuela Veloso

Densest Subgraph Problem (DSP) is an important primitive problem with a wide range of applications, including fraud detection, community detection and DNA motif discovery. Edge-based density is one of the most common metrics in DSP.…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Yugao Zhu , Shenghua Liu , Wenjie Feng , Xueqi Cheng

Recent developments in deep learning techniques have motivated intensive research in machine learning-aided stock trading strategies. However, since the financial market has a highly non-stationary nature hindering the application of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-15 Kentaro Imajo , Kentaro Minami , Katsuya Ito , Kei Nakagawa

We introduce DeRegiME -- Deep Regime Mixture of Experts -- a direct multi-horizon probabilistic forecaster that separates latent uncertainty regimes from the underlying signal and softly assigns each forecast location to learned recurring…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Kieran Wood , Stefan Zohren , Stephen J. Roberts

This paper addresses a novel \emph{cost-sensitive} distributionally robust log-optimal portfolio problem, where the investor faces \emph{ambiguous} return distributions, and a general convex transaction cost model is incorporated. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-01 Chung-Han Hsieh , Xiao-Rou Yu

We consider the problem of optimizing a portfolio of financial assets, where the number of assets can be much larger than the number of observations. The optimal portfolio weights require estimating the inverse covariance matrix of excess…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-29 Anik Burman , Sayantan Banerjee

The study proposes a new decision theoretic sampling plan (DSP) for Type-I and Type-I hybrid censored samples when the lifetimes of individual items are exponentially distributed with a scale parameter. The DSP is based on an estimator of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-03 Deepak Prajapati , Sharmistha Mitra , Debasis Kundu

We propose an end-to-end distributionally robust system for portfolio construction that integrates the asset return prediction model with a distributionally robust portfolio optimization model. We also show how to learn the risk-tolerance…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-13 Giorgio Costa , Garud N. Iyengar

Robust optimization has been established as a leading methodology to approach decision problems under uncertainty. To derive a robust optimization model, a central ingredient is to identify a suitable model for uncertainty, which is called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-10 Marc Goerigk , Jannis Kurtz

Reinforcement learning is a machine learning approach concerned with solving dynamic optimization problems in an almost model-free way by maximizing a reward function in state and action spaces. This property makes it an exciting area of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-12 Miquel Noguer i Alonso , Sonam Srivastava

Solving large-scale robust portfolio optimization problems is challenging due to the high computational demands associated with an increasing number of assets, the amount of data considered, and market uncertainty. To address this issue, we…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-16 Chung-Han Hsieh , Jie-Ling Lu

Attempts to allocate capital across a selection of different investments are often hampered by the fact that investors' decisions are made under limited information (no historical return data) and during an extremely limited timeframe.…

General Economics · Economics 2020-04-22 Christoph J. Börner , Ingo Hoffmann , Fabian Poetter , Tim Schmitz

This work proposes DeepFolio, a new model for deep portfolio management based on data from limit order books (LOB). DeepFolio solves problems found in the state-of-the-art for LOB data to predict price movements. Our evaluation consists of…

We derive a new adaptive leverage score sampling strategy for solving the Column Subset Selection Problem (CSSP). The resulting algorithm, called Adaptive Randomized Pivoting, can be viewed as a randomization of Osinsky's recently proposed…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Alice Cortinovis , Daniel Kressner