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Many records in environmental sciences exhibit asymmetric trajectories and there is a need for simple and tractable models which can reproduce such features. In this paper we explore an approach based on applying both a time change and a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-09 Pierre Ailliot , Bernard Delyon , Valérie Monbet , Marc Prevosto

The estimation of spatiotemporal data from limited sensor measurements is a required task across many scientific disciplines. The sensor selection problem, which aims to optimize the placement of sensors, leverages innovations in greedy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-19 Jiazhong Mei , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

We introduce state-space models where the functionals of the observational and the evolutionary equations are unknown, and treated as random functions evolving with time. Thus, our model is nonparametric and generalizes the traditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-24 Anurag Ghosh , Soumalya Mukhopadhyay , Sandipan Roy , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) provide a principled and flexible approach to modeling the dynamics of a latent state, which is observed at discrete-time points via a likelihood model. However, inference in GPSSMs is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Xuhui Fan , Edwin V. Bonilla , Terence J. O'Kane , Scott A. Sisson

This work proposes a scalable probabilistic latent variable model based on Gaussian processes (Lawrence, 2004) in the context of multiple observation spaces. We focus on an application in astrophysics where data sets typically contain both…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2025-02-28 Vidhi Lalchand , Anna-Christina Eilers

Spatial data are often derived from multiple sources (e.g. satellites, in-situ sensors, survey samples) with different supports, but associated with the same properties of a spatial phenomenon of interest. It is common for predictors to…

We propose a class of structured diffusion models, in which the prior distribution is chosen as a mixture of Gaussians, rather than a standard Gaussian distribution. The specific mixed Gaussian distribution, as prior, can be chosen to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Nanshan Jia , Tingyu Zhu , Haoyu Liu , Zeyu Zheng

Because of its mathematical tractability, the Gaussian mixture model holds a special place in the literature for clustering and classification. For all its benefits, however, the Gaussian mixture model poses problems when the data is skewed…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-19 Michael P. B. Gallaugher , Paul D. McNicholas , Volodymyr Melnykov , Xuwen Zhu

We present an improved model and theory for time-causal and time-recursive spatio-temporal receptive fields, obtained by a combination of Gaussian receptive fields over the spatial domain and first-order integrators or equivalently…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-25 Tony Lindeberg

We introduce a Bayesian approach for multivariate spatio-temporal prediction for high-dimensional count-valued data. Our primary interest is when there are possibly millions of data points referenced over different variables, geographic…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-24 Jonathan R. Bradley , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle

A set of N independent Gaussian linear time invariant systems is observed by M sensors whose task is to provide the best possible steady-state causal minimum mean square estimate of the state of the systems, in addition to minimizing a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-10-30 Jerome Le Ny , Eric Feron , Munther A. Dahleh

Spatial-temporal Gaussian process regression is a popular method for spatial-temporal data modeling. Its state-of-art implementation is based on the state-space model realization of the spatial-temporal Gaussian process and its…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-27 Junpeng Zhang , Yue Ju , Biqiang Mu , Renxin Zhong , Tianshi Chen

Monitoring the atmospheric dispersion of pollutants is increasingly critical for environmental impact assessments. High-fidelity computational models are often employed to simulate plume dynamics, guiding decision-making and prioritizing…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-14 Ike Griss Salas , Megan R. Ebers , Jake Stevens-Haas , J. Nathan Kutz

Quantifying spatial and/or temporal associations in multivariate geolocated data of different types is achievable via spatial random effects in a Bayesian hierarchical model, but severe computational bottlenecks arise when spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-02 Michele Peruzzi , David B. Dunson

We study nonlinear dynamics of the Earth's tropical climate system. For that, we apply a recently developed technique for feature extraction and mode decomposition of spatiotemporal data generated by ergodic dynamical systems. The method…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-11-08 Joanna Slawinska , Eniko Szekely , Dimitrios Giannakis

The controllability of advection-diffusion systems, subject to uncertain initial values and emission rates, is estimated, given sparse and error affected observations of prognostic state variables. In predictive geophysical model systems,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-03-24 Xueran Wu , Hendrik Elbern , Birgit Jacob

In the present paper we consider controllability and observability of second order linear time invariant systems in matrix form. Without reducing into first order systems we show how the classical conditions for first order linear systems…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Elimhan N. Mahmudov

Traditional spatio-temporal models for areal data typically begin with spatial structure imposed at the level of random effects and later extend to include temporal dynamics. We propose an alternative hierarchical modeling framework that…

The filtering distribution captures the statistics of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. Classical particle filters provably approximate this distribution in quite general settings; however they behave…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Edoardo Calvello , Pierre Monmarché , Andrew M. Stuart , Urbain Vaes

Most Kalman filter extensions assume Gaussian noise and when the noise is non-Gaussian, usually other types of filters are used. These filters, such as particle filter variants, are computationally more demanding than Kalman type filters.…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-19 Matti Raitoharju , Henri Nurminen , Demet Cilden-Guler , Simo Särkkä