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In this paper, we consider a "compensated" random sum that arises from numerical approximation of stochastic integrations and differential equations. We show that the compensated sum exhibits some surprising cancellations among its…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Yanghui Liu

Approximate Bayesian computation performs approximate inference for models where likelihood computations are expensive or impossible. Instead simulations from the model are performed for various parameter values and accepted if they are…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-16 Dennis Prangle

The average properties of the well-known Subset Sum Problem can be studied by the means of its randomised version, where we are given a target value $z$, random variables $X_1, \ldots, X_n$, and an error parameter $\varepsilon > 0$, and we…

This exposition explains the basic ideas of Stein's method for Poisson random variable approximation and Poisson process approximation from the point of view of the immigration-death process and Palm theory. The latter approach also enables…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Louis H. Y. Chen , Aihua Xia

This paper concerns the estimation of sums of functions of observable and unobservable variables. Lower bounds for the asymptotic variance and a convolution theorem are derived in general finite- and infinite-dimensional models. An explicit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cun-Hui Zhang

The ratio $P(S_n=x)/P(Z_n=x)$ is investigated for three cases: (a) when $S_n$ is a sum of 1-dependent non-negative integer-valued random variables (rvs), satisfying some moment conditions, and $Z_n$ is Poisson rv; (b) when $S_n$ is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-14 Vydas Čekanavičius , Palaniappan Vellaisamy

Weighted empirical risk minimization is a common approach to prediction under distribution drift. This article studies its out-of-sample prediction error under nonstationarity. We provide a general decomposition of the excess risk into a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Tobias Brock , Thomas Nagler

We prove a general theorem to bound the total variation distance between the distribution of an integer valued random variable of interest and an appropriate discretized normal distribution. We apply the theorem to 2-runs in a sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-07 Xiao Fang

We establish two theorems for assessing the accuracy in total variation of multivariate discrete normal approximation to the distribution of an integer valued random vector $W$. The first is for sums of random vectors whose dependence…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-19 A. D. Barbour , A. Xia

We review some probabilistic properties of the sum-of-digits function of random integers. New asymptotic approximations to the total variation distance and its refinements are also derived. Four different approaches are used: a classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-14 Louis H. Y. Chen , Hsien-Kuei Hwang , Vytas Zacharovas

Fast variational approximate algorithms are developed for Bayesian semiparametric regression when the response variable is a count, i.e. a non-negative integer. We treat both the Poisson and Negative Binomial families as models for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-18 Jan Luts , Matt P. Wand

The main purpose of this paper is to investigate the strong approximation of the $p$-fold integrated empirical process, $p$ being a fixed positive integer. More precisely, we obtain the exact rate of the approximations by a sequence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-15 Sergio Alvarez-Andrade , Salim Bouzebda , Aimé Lachal

Convergence rate estimates in limit theorems for sums of independent random variables are considered.

History and Overview · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Irina Shevtsova

Providing theoretical guarantees for parameter estimation in exponential random graph models is a largely open problem. While maximum likelihood estimation has theoretical guarantees in principle, verifying the assumptions for these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Adrian Fischer , Gesine Reinert , Wenkai Xu

We derive convenient uniform concentration bounds and finite sample multivariate normal approximation results for quadratic forms, then describe some applications involving variance components estimation in linear random-effects models.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-16 Lee H. Dicker , Murat A. Erdogdu

The purpose of the paper is to provide a characterization of the error of the best polynomial approximation of composite functions in weighted spaces. Such a characterization is essential for the convergence analysis of numerical methods…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-08-14 Luisa Fermo , Concetta Laurita , Maria Grazia Russo

The question of optimally approximating an arbitrary probability measure in the Wasserstein distance by a discrete one with uniform weights is considered. Estimates are obtained for the optimal approximation distance, with an explicit rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Benjamin Seeger

In this paper, we establish a fundamental connection between binomial parameters and means of bounded random variables. Such connection finds applications in statistical inference of means of bounded variables.

Probability · Mathematics 2008-03-07 Xinjia Chen

We extend the celebrated Stone's theorem to the framework of distributional regression. More precisely, we prove that weighted empirical distribution with local probability weights satisfying the conditions of Stone's theorem provide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-03 Clément Dombry , Thibault Modeste , Romain Pic

We study the closure properties of the class of Bivariate Regular Variation, symbolically BRV , in standard and nonstandard cases, with respect to the randomly weighted sums. However, we take into consideration a weak dependence structure…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis