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In this paper, we address the identification and estimation of insurance models where insurees have private information about their risk and risk aversion. The model includes random damages and allows for several claims, while insurers…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-14 Gaurab Aryal , Isabelle Perrigne , Quang Vuong , Haiqing Xu

This paper revisits mean-risk portfolio selection in a one-period financial market, where risk is quantified by a star-shaped risk measure $\rho$. We make three contributions. First, we introduce the new axiom of sensitivity to large…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-21 Martin Herdegen , Nazem Khan

Risk assessment under different possible scenarios is a source of uncertainty that may lead to concerning financial losses. We address this issue, first, by adapting a robust framework to the class of spectral risk measures. Second, we…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-21 Mohammed Berkhouch , Ghizlane Lakhnati , Marcelo Brutti Righi

We introduce a general framework for measuring risk in the context of Markov control processes with risk maps on general Borel spaces that generalize known concepts of risk measures in mathematical finance, operations research and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-27 Yun Shen , Wilhelm Stannat , Klaus Obermayer

Demixing is the problem of identifying multiple structured signals from a superimposed, undersampled, and noisy observation. This work analyzes a general framework, based on convex optimization, for solving demixing problems. When the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-10-01 Michael B. McCoy , Joel A. Tropp

We develop an averaging approach to robust risk measurement under payoff uncertainty. Instead of taking a worst-case value over an uncertainty neighborhood, we weight nearby payoffs more heavily under a chosen metric and average the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-26 Marcelo Righi , Rodrigo Targino

We develop an approach to risk minimization and stochastic optimization that provides a convex surrogate for variance, allowing near-optimal and computationally efficient trading between approximation and estimation error. Our approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-15 John Duchi , Hongseok Namkoong

In this paper we study the asymptotic properties of Bayesian multiple testing procedures for a large class of Gaussian scale mixture pri- ors. We study two types of multiple testing risks: a Bayesian risk proposed in Bogdan et al. (2011)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-27 Jean-Bernard Salomond

In the presence of ambiguity on the driving force of market randomness, we consider the dynamic portfolio choice without any predetermined investment horizon. The investment criteria is formulated as a robust forward performance process,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-23 Qian Lin , Xianming Sun , Chao Zhou

In this paper we study empirical measures which can be thought as a decoupled version of the empirical measures generated by random matrices. We prove the large deviation principle with the rate function, which is finite only on product…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Wlodek Bryc

This paper gives yet another definition of game-theoretic probability in the context of continuous-time idealized financial markets. Without making any probabilistic assumptions (but assuming positive and continuous price paths), we obtain…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-05 Vladimir Vovk , Glenn Shafer

We consider the concept of equilibrium in economic systems from statistical mechanics viewpoint. A new method is suggested for computing the premium on this basis. The B\"{u}hlmann economic premium principle is derived as a special case of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Amir H. Darooneh

We study the problem of portfolio insurance from the point of view of a fund manager, who guarantees to the investor that the portfolio value at maturity will be above a fixed threshold. If, at maturity, the portfolio value is below the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-02-23 Carmine De Franco , Peter Tankov

This paper presents an axiomatic scheme for interest rate models in discrete time. We take a pricing kernel approach, which builds in the arbitrage-free property and provides a link to equilibrium economics. We require that the pricing…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-05 Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

Employing a generalized definition of Pratt (1964) and Arrow's (1965, 1971) probability premium, we introduce a new concept of attitude towards probability. We illustrate in a problem of risk sharing that whether attitude towards…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-04 Louis R. Eeckhoudt , Roger J. A. Laeven

The left tail of the implied volatility skew, coming from quotes on out-of-the-money put options, can be thought to reflect the market's assessment of the risk of a huge drop in stock prices. We analyze how this market information can be…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-16 Ronnie Sircar , Stephan Sturm

This paper proposes a market consistent valuation framework for variable annuities with guaranteed minimum accumulation benefit, death benefit and surrender benefit features. The setup is based on a hybrid model for the financial market and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-24 Laura Ballotta , Ernst Eberlein , Thorsten Schmidt , Raghid Zeineddine

Many insurance premium principles are defined and various estimation procedures introduced in the literature. In this paper, we focus on the estimation of the excess-of-loss reinsurance premium when the risks are randomly right-censored.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-30 Louiza Soltane , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir

Insurance data can be asymmetric with heavy tails, causing inadequate adjustments of the usually applied models. To deal with this issue, hierarchical models for collective risk with heavy-tails of the claims distributions that take also…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-26 Pamela M. Chiroque-Solano , Fernando A. S. Moura

In this article we propose a study of market models starting from a set of axioms, as one does in the case of risk measures. We define a market model simply as a mapping from the set of adapted strategies to the set of random variables…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-08 Mario Sikic