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Bayesian variable selection is a powerful tool for data analysis, as it offers a principled method for variable selection that accounts for prior information and uncertainty. However, wider adoption of Bayesian variable selection has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-13 Martin Jankowiak

Activity detection is an important task in the next generation grant-free multiple access. While there are a number of existing algorithms designed for this purpose, they mostly require precise information about the network, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-05 Hao Zhang , Qingfeng Lin , Yang Li , Lei Cheng , Yik-Chung Wu

We present a novel Bayesian inference tool that uses a neural network to parameterise efficient Markov Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) proposals. The target distribution is first transformed into a diagonal, unit variance Gaussian by a series of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-03 Adam Moss

As models of cognition grow in complexity and number of parameters, Bayesian inference with standard methods can become intractable, especially when the data-generating model is of unknown analytic form. Recent advances in simulation-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-14 Stefan T. Radev , Andreas Voss , Eva Marie Wieschen , Paul-Christian Bürkner

In the present work, we consider variable selection and shrinkage for the Gaussian dynamic linear regression within a Bayesian framework. In particular, we propose a novel method that allows for time-varying sparsity, based on an extension…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-30 Paloma W. Uribe , Hedibert F. Lopes

This article describes a full Bayesian treatment for simultaneous fixed-effect selection and parameter estimation in high-dimensional generalized linear mixed models. The approach consists of using a Bayesian adaptive Lasso penalty for…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-31 Dao Thanh Tung , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Tran Manh Cuong

This article proposes a novel Bayesian classification framework for networks with labeled nodes. While literature on statistical modeling of network data typically involves analysis of a single network, the recent emergence of complex data…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-25 Sharmistha Guha , Abel Rodriguez

Distribution regression has recently attracted much interest as a generic solution to the problem of supervised learning where labels are available at the group level, rather than at the individual level. Current approaches, however, do not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-18 Ho Chung Leon Law , Danica J. Sutherland , Dino Sejdinovic , Seth Flaxman

Changepoint models typically assume the data within each segment are independent and identically distributed conditional on some parameters which change across segments. This construction may be inadequate when data are subject to local…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-10 Karl L. Hallgren , Nicholas A. Heard , Niall M. Adams

This work introduces a novel, simple, and flexible method to quantify irreversibility in generic high-dimensional time series based on the well-known mapping to a binary classification problem. Our approach utilizes gradient boosting for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-09 Michele Vodret , Cristiano Pacini , Christian Bongiorno

The estimation of static parameters in dynamical systems and control theory has been extensively studied, with significant progress made in estimating varying parameters in specific system types. Suppose, in the general case, we have data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-10 Jamiree Harrison , Enoch Yeung

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) with latent variables are probabilistic models which can automatically identify complex stochastic patterns in the data. We describe and study in these models a decomposition of predictive uncertainty into…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Stefan Depeweg , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Finale Doshi-Velez , Steffen Udluft

Modelling exchangeable relational data can be described by \textit{graphon theory}. Most Bayesian methods for modelling exchangeable relational data can be attributed to this framework by exploiting different forms of graphons. However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-27 Xuhui Fan , Yaqiong Li , Ling Chen , Bin Li , Scott A. Sisson

One of the most important queries in knowledge compilation is weighted model counting (WMC), which has been applied to probabilistic inference on various models, such as Bayesian networks. In practical situations on inference tasks, the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Kengo Nakamura , Masaaki Nishino , Norihito Yasuda

Bayesian networks are a versatile and powerful tool to model complex phenomena and the interplay of their components in a probabilistically principled way. Moving beyond the comparatively simple case of completely observed, static data,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-04 Marco Scutari

Varying coefficient models are popular for estimating nonlinear regression functions in functional data models. Their Bayesian variants have received limited attention in large data applications, primarily due to prohibitively slow…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-03 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , Laura Baracaldo , Sudipto Banerjee

Network inference has been extensively studied in several fields, such as systems biology and social sciences. Learning network topology and internal dynamics is essential to understand mechanisms of complex systems. In particular, sparse…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-13 Yasen Wang , Junyang Jin , Jorge Goncalves

Defining the number of latent factors has been one of the most challenging problems in factor analysis. Infinite factor models offer a solution to this problem by applying increasing shrinkage on the columns of factor loading matrices, thus…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-25 Margarita Grushanina

This article presents an approach to Bayesian semiparametric inference for Gaussian multivariate response regression. We are motivated by various small and medium dimensional problems from the physical and social sciences. The statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-18 Georgios Papageorgiou , Benjamin C. Marshall

The advent of predictive methodologies has catalyzed the emergence of data-driven decision support across various domains. However, developing models capable of effectively handling input time series data presents an enduring challenge.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-17 Yijun Li , Mengzhuo Guo , Miłosz Kadziński , Qingpeng Zhang