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In this paper, the third in a series illustrating the power of generalized linear models (GLMs) for the astronomical community, we elucidate the potential of the class of GLMs which handles count data. The size of a galaxy's globular…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-08-13 R. S. de Souza , J. M. Hilbe , B. Buelens , J. D. Riggs , E. Cameron , E. E. O. Ishida , A. L. Chies-Santos , M. Killedar

The possibility to constrain cosmological parameters from galaxy surveys using field-level machine learning methods that bypass traditional summary statistics analyses, depends crucially on our ability to generate simulated training sets.…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-02-11 Iñigo Sáez-Casares , Matteo Calabrese , Davide Bianchi , Marina S. Cagliari , Marco Chiarenza , Jean-Marc Christille , Luigi Guzzo

Planet induced sub-structures, like annular gaps, observed in dust emission from protoplanetary disks provide a unique probe to characterize unseen young planets. While deep learning based model has an edge in characterizing the planet's…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-14 Sayantan Auddy , Ramit Dey , Min-Kai Lin , Daniel Carrera , Jacob B. Simon

Measurement of uncertainty of predictions from machine learning methods is important across scientific domains and applications. We present, to our knowledge, the first such technique that quantifies the uncertainty of predictions from a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-04 Alex Hagen , Karl Pazdernik , Nicole LaHaye , Marjolein Oostrom

Mixture model-based frameworks are very popular for statistical inference in clustering. While convenient for producing probabilistic estimates of cluster assignments and uncertainty, they are prone to misspecification, which can lead to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Yu Zheng , Leo L. Duan , Arkaprava Roy

Understanding and quantifying uncertainty in black box Neural Networks (NNs) is critical when deployed in real-world settings such as healthcare. Recent works using Bayesian and non-Bayesian methods have shown how a unified predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Utkarsh Sarawgi , Wazeer Zulfikar , Rishab Khincha , Pattie Maes

The next generation of data-intensive surveys are bound to produce a vast amount of data, which can be dealt with using machine-learning methods to explore possible correlations within the multi-dimensional parameter space. We explore the…

We report applications of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) to multi-classification classification of a large medical data set. We discuss in detail how changes in the CNN model and the data pre-processing impact the classification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-29 YuanZheng Hu , Marina Sokolova

We introduce a novel framework for uncertainty quantification in clustering that combines martingale posterior distributions with density-based clustering. Unlike classical model-based approaches, which define clusters at the latent level…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-20 Nicola Bariletto , Stephen G. Walker

As data size and computing power increase, the architectures of deep neural networks (DNNs) have been getting more complex and huge, and thus there is a growing need to simplify such complex and huge DNNs. In this paper, we propose a novel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-24 Insung Kong , Dongyoon Yang , Jongjin Lee , Ilsang Ohn , Yongdai Kim

Deep learning has been the engine powering many successes of data science. However, the deep neural network (DNN), as the basic model of deep learning, is often excessively over-parameterized, causing many difficulties in training,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-09 Yan Sun , Qifan Song , Faming Liang

The use of Deep Neural Network (DNN) models in risk-based decision-making has attracted extensive attention with broad applications in medical, finance, manufacturing, and quality control. To mitigate prediction-related risks in decision…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-11 Maryam Kheirandish , Shengfan Zhang , Donald G. Catanzaro , Valeriu Crudu

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) can potentially provide powerful tools for classifying and identifying patterns in climate and environmental data. However, because of the inherent complexities of such data, which are often…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-03-03 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Pedram Hassanzadeh , Saba Pasha

The dark sirens method combines gravitational waves and catalogs of galaxies to constrain the cosmological expansion history, merger rates and mass distributions of compact objects, and the laws of gravity. However, the incompleteness of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-09 Konstantin Leyde , Tessa Baker , Wolfgang Enzi

Deep neural networks have outperformed existing machine learning models in various molecular applications. In practical applications, it is still difficult to make confident decisions because of the uncertainty in predictions arisen from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-21 Seongok Ryu , Yongchan Kwon , Woo Youn Kim

Uncertainty quantification is an important task in machine learning - a task in which standardneural networks (NNs) have traditionally not excelled. This can be a limitation for safety-critical applications, where uncertainty-aware methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Felix Fiedler , Sergio Lucia

Bayesian modelling allows for the quantification of predictive uncertainty which is crucial in safety-critical applications. Yet for many machine learning (ML) algorithms, it is difficult to construct or implement their Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-22 Ziyu Wang , Chris Holmes

In this paper, we describe a procedure for modelling strong lensing galaxy clusters with parametric methods, and to rank models quantitatively using the Bayesian evidence. We use a publicly available Markov chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) sampler…

Uncertainty quantification is an important and challenging problem in deep learning. Previous methods rely on dropout layers which are not present in modern deep architectures or batch normalization which is sensitive to batch sizes. In…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-10 Lukasz Wandzik , Raul Vicente Garcia , Jörg Krüger

Machine learning has the potential to improve the reconstruction of the dark matter profile of galaxies with respect to traditional methods, like rotation curves. We demonstrate on the simulation suite Illustris-TNG that a steerable…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2025-10-23 Martín de los Rios , Serafina Di Gioia , Fabio Iocco , Roberto Trotta