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We develop new stochastic gradient methods for efficiently solving sparse linear regression in a partial attribute observation setting, where learners are only allowed to observe a fixed number of actively chosen attributes per example at…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-04 Tomoya Murata , Taiji Suzuki

Bayesian hierarchical linear models provide a natural framework to analyze nested and clustered data. Classical estimation with Markov chain Monte Carlo produces well calibrated posterior distributions but becomes computationally expensive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Cristian Parra-Aldana , Juan Sosa

The Laplace approximation has been one of the workhorses of Bayesian inference. It often delivers good approximations in practice despite the fact that it does not strictly take into account where the volume of posterior density lies.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-02 Nikolaos Gianniotis

Correlation between microstructure noise and latent financial logarithmic returns is an empirically relevant phenomenon with sound theoretical justification. With few notable exceptions, all integrated variance estimators proposed in the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-29 Stefano Peluso , Antonietta Mira , Pietro Muliere

Modelling extreme events and heavy-tailed phenomena is central to building reliable predictive systems in domains such as finance, climate science, and safety-critical AI. While L\'evy processes provide a natural mathematical framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yaman Kindap , Manfred Opper , Benjamin Dupuis , Umut Simsekli , Tolga Birdal

Motivated by various computational applications, we investigate the problem of estimating nested expectations. Building upon recent work by the authors, we propose a novel Monte Carlo estimator for nested expectations, inspired by sparse…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-08 Tomohiko Hironaka , Takashi Goda

Amortised inference enables scalable learning of sequential latent-variable models (LVMs) with the evidence lower bound (ELBO). In this setting, variational posteriors are often only partially conditioned. While the true posteriors depend,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-18 Justin Bayer , Maximilian Soelch , Atanas Mirchev , Baris Kayalibay , Patrick van der Smagt

Bayesian inference allows to obtain useful information on the parameters of models, either in computational statistics or more recently in the context of Bayesian Neural Networks. The computational cost of usual Monte Carlo methods for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-03 Inass Sekkat , Gabriel Stoltz

We propose an extragradient method with stepsizes bounded away from zero for stochastic variational inequalities requiring only pseudo-monotonicity. We provide convergence and complexity analysis, allowing for an unbounded feasible set,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-02 Alfredo Iusem , Alejandro Jofré , Roberto I. Oliveira , Philip Thompson

Variational inference has become an increasingly attractive fast alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for approximate Bayesian inference. However, a major obstacle to the widespread use of variational methods is the lack of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-03 Jonathan H. Huggins , Mikołaj Kasprzak , Trevor Campbell , Tamara Broderick

We develop a constructive approach to estimating sparse, high-dimensional linear regression models. The approach is a computational algorithm motivated from the KKT conditions for the $\ell_0$-penalized least squares solutions. It generates…

Computation · Statistics 2017-01-19 Jian Huang , Yuling Jiao , Yanyan Liu , Xiliang Lu

We introduce a novel stochastic variational inference method for Gaussian process ($\mathcal{GP}$) regression, by deriving a posterior over a learnable set of coresets: i.e., over pseudo-input/output, weighted pairs. Unlike former free-form…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-06 Mert Ketenci , Adler Perotte , Noémie Elhadad , Iñigo Urteaga

Discrete choice models describe the choices made by decision makers among alternatives and play an important role in transportation planning, marketing research and other applications. The mixed multinomial logit (MMNL) model is a popular…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-24 Linda S. L. Tan

We present an intriguing discovery related to Random Fourier Features: in Gaussian kernel approximation, replacing the random Gaussian matrix by a properly scaled random orthogonal matrix significantly decreases kernel approximation error.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-10-31 Felix X. Yu , Ananda Theertha Suresh , Krzysztof Choromanski , Daniel Holtmann-Rice , Sanjiv Kumar

We propose a novel variational Bayes approach to estimate high-dimensional vector autoregression (VAR) models with hierarchical shrinkage priors. Our approach does not rely on a conventional structural VAR representation of the parameter…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-03 Mauro Bernardi , Daniele Bianchi , Nicolas Bianco

Stochastic variational inference makes it possible to approximate posterior distributions induced by large datasets quickly using stochastic optimization. The algorithm relies on the use of fully factorized variational distributions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-27 Matthew D. Hoffman , David M. Blei

We prove that the evidence lower bound (ELBO) employed by variational auto-encoders (VAEs) admits non-trivial solutions having constant posterior variances under certain mild conditions, removing the need to learn variances in the encoder.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-27 Graham Fyffe

We develop flexible methods of deriving variational inference for models with complex latent variable structure. By splitting the variables in these models into "global" parameters and "local" latent variables, we define a class of…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-23 Linda S. L. Tan , Aishwarya Bhaskaran , David J. Nott

We present the first framework for Gaussian-process-modulated Poisson processes when the temporal data appear in the form of panel counts. Panel count data frequently arise when experimental subjects are observed only at discrete time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-13 Hongyi Ding , Young Lee , Issei Sato , Masashi Sugiyama

This paper studies the sparse identification problem of unknown sparse parameter vectors in stochastic dynamic systems. Firstly, a novel sparse identification algorithm is proposed, which can generate sparse estimates based on least squares…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Ziming Wang , Xinghua Zhu
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