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The Argo project deploys thousands of floats throughout the world's oceans. Carried only by the current, these floats take measurements such as temperature and salinity at depths of up to two kilometers. These measurements are critical for…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-04 Derek Hansen , Drew Yarger

Clouds containing ice particles play a crucial role in the climate system. Yet they remain a source of great uncertainty in climate models and future climate projections. In this work, we create a new observational constraint of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-14 Kai Jeggle , Mikolaj Czerkawski , Federico Serva , Bertrand Le Saux , David Neubauer , Ulrike Lohmann

Explainable AI is a crucial component for edge services, as it ensures reliable decision making based on complex AI models. Surrogate models are a prominent approach of XAI where human-interpretable models, such as a linear regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Foivos Charalampakos , Thomas Tsouparopoulos , Iordanis Koutsopoulos

The physics of planetary climate features a variety of complex systems that are challenging to model as they feature turbulent flows. A key example is the heat flux from the upper ocean to the underside of sea ice which provides a key…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-16 Srikanth Toppaladoddi , Andrew J. Wells

Climate change, amplified in the far north, has led to rapid sea ice decline in recent years. In the summer, melt ponds form on the surface of Arctic sea ice, significantly lowering the ice reflectivity (albedo) and thereby accelerating ice…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2018-04-16 Predrag Popović , B. B. Cael , Mary Silber , Dorian S. Abbot

Cenozoic temperature, sea level and CO2 co-variations provide insights into climate sensitivity to external forcings and sea level sensitivity to climate change. Climate sensitivity depends on the initial climate state, but potentially can…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-03-05 James Hansen , Makiko Sato , Gary Russell , Pushker Kharecha

Taking agent-based models (ABM) closer to the data is an open challenge. This paper explicitly tackles parameter space exploration and calibration of ABMs combining supervised machine-learning and intelligent sampling to build a surrogate…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-07 Francesco Lamperti , Andrea Roventini , Amir Sani

This work explores a dynamics-informed Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT) as a data-driven surrogate for computationally intensive Earth system simulations. Focusing on multivariate time series describing global ocean transport, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Adeline Hillier , Jennifer Sleeman , Jay Brett , Caroline Tang , Jenelle Millison , Anand Gnanadesikan

Learning the Individual Treatment Effect (ITE) is essential for personalized decision-making, yet causal inference has traditionally focused on aggregated treatment effects. While integrating conformal prediction with causal inference can…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-23 Chenyin Gao , Peter B. Gilbert , Larry Han

Many real-world systems are modelled using complex ordinary differential equations (ODEs). However, the dimensionality of these systems can make them challenging to analyze. Dimensionality reduction techniques like Proper Orthogonal…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Abhishek Ajayakumar , Soumyendu Raha

Chen et al. (Eur. J. Mech. B/Fluids 78, pp. 88-105, 2019) recently proposed a two-dimensional continuum model for linear gravity waves propagating in ice-covered seas. It is based on a two-layer formulation where the ice cover is viewed as…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-10-19 Boyang Xu , Philippe Guyenne

Tracking internal layers in radar echograms with high accuracy is essential for understanding ice sheet dynamics and quantifying the impact of accelerated ice discharge in Greenland and other polar regions due to contemporary global climate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Oluwanisola Ibikunle , Hara Talasila , Debvrat Varshney , Jilu Li , John Paden , Maryam Rahnemoonfar

Surrogate modeling has brought about a revolution in computation in the branches of science and engineering. Backed by Artificial Intelligence, a surrogate model can present highly accurate results with a significant reduction in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Abid Hossain Khan , Salauddin Omar , Nadia Mushtary , Richa Verma , Dinesh Kumar , Syed Alam

In this study we perform online sea ice bias correction within a GFDL global ice-ocean model. For this, we use a convolutional neural network (CNN) which was developed in a previous study (Gregory et al., 2023) for the purpose of predicting…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-01 William Gregory , Mitchell Bushuk , Yongfei Zhang , Alistair Adcroft , Laure Zanna

Though machine learning has achieved notable success in modeling sequential and spatial data for speech recognition and in computer vision, applications to remote sensing and climate science problems are seldom considered. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Yimeng Min , S. Karthik Mukkavilli , Yoshua Bengio

Wave attenuation by ice floes is an important parameter for modelling the Arctic Oceans. At present, attenuation coefficients are extracted from linear models as a function of the incident wave period and floe thickness. Recent explorations…

The transition of the power grid requires new technologies and methodologies, which can only be developed and tested in simulations. Especially larger simulation setups with many levels of detail can become quite slow. Therefore, the number…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-23 Stephan Balduin , Tom Westermann , Erika Puiutta

Subseasonal-to-seasonal forecasting is crucial for public health, disaster preparedness, and agriculture, and yet it remains a particularly challenging timescale to predict. We explore the use of an interpretable AI-informed model analog…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-06 Jacob B. Landsberg , Matthew Newman , Elizabeth A. Barnes

Driven by increased complexity of dynamical systems, the solution of system of differential equations through numerical simulation in optimization problems has become computationally expensive. This paper provides a smart data driven…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-25 Kainat Khowaja , Mykhaylo Shcherbatyy , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Icephobic surfaces inspired by superhydrophobic surfaces offer a passive solution to the problem of icing. However, modeling icephobicity is challenging because some material features that aid superhydrophobicity can adversely affect the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2020-08-04 Rahul Ramachandran