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The event sequence of many diverse systems is represented as a sequence of discrete events in a continuous space. Examples of such an event sequence are earthquake aftershock events, financial transactions, e-commerce transactions, social…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-23 Jayesh Malaviya

Temporal graph representation learning has drawn significant attention for the prevalence of temporal graphs in the real world. However, most existing works resort to taking discrete snapshots of the temporal graph, or are not inductive to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Zhihao Wen , Yuan Fang

Temporality, a crucial characteristic in the formation of social relationships, was used to quantify the long-term time effects of networks for link prediction models, ignoring the heterogeneity of time effects on different time scales. In…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Yueran Duan , Mateusz Nurek , Qing Guan , Radosław Michalski , Petter Holme

Relational events are a type of social interactions, that sometimes are referred to as dynamic networks. Its dynamics typically depends on emerging patterns, so-called endogenous variables, or external forces, referred to as exogenous…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-03-31 Igor Artico , Ernst Wit

We propose a novel framework for modeling multiple multivariate point processes, each with heterogeneous event types that share an underlying space and obey the same generative mechanism. Focusing on Hawkes processes and their variants that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-05 Hongteng Xu , Dixin Luo , Hongyuan Zha

Temporal networks of face-to-face interactions between individuals are useful proxies of the dynamics of social systems on fast time scales. Several empirical statistical properties of these networks have been shown to be robust across a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-02-03 Didier Le Bail , Mathieu Génois , Alain Barrat

Asynchronous time series, also known as temporal event sequences, are the basis of many applications throughout different industries. Temporal point processes(TPPs) are the standard method for modeling such data. Existing TPP models have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Yan Wang , Zhixuan Chu , Tao Zhou , Caigao Jiang , Hongyan Hao , Minjie Zhu , Xindong Cai , Qing Cui , Longfei Li , James Y Zhang , Siqiao Xue , Jun Zhou

Interacting systems are ubiquitous in nature and engineering, ranging from particle dynamics in physics to functionally connected brain regions. These interacting systems can be modeled by graphs where edges correspond to the interactions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-25 Zhichao Han , Olga Fink , David S. Kammer

Foundational marked temporal point process (MTPP) models, such as the Hawkes process, often use inexpressive model families in order to offer interpretable parameterizations of event data. On the other hand, neural MTPPs models forego this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-04 Alex Boyd , Andrew Warrington , Taha Kass-Hout , Parminder Bhatia , Danica Xiao

Previous work has shown that popular trending events are important external factors which pose significant influence on user search behavior and also provided a way to computationally model this influence. However, their problem formulation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-05 Shubhra Kanti Karmaker Santu , Liangda Li , Yi Chang , ChengXiang Zhai

The explosion of digital information and the growing involvement of people in social networks led to enormous research activity to develop methods that can extract meaningful information from interaction data. Commonly, interactions are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Tony Gracious , Ambedkar Dukkipati

Hawkes processes are a self-exciting stochastic process used to describe phenomena whereby past events increase the probability of the occurrence of future events. This work presents a flexible approach for modelling a variant of these,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-08 Raiha Browning , Judith Rousseau , Kerrie Mengersen

We consider a sequential decision making problem where the agent faces the environment characterized by the stochastic discrete events and seeks an optimal intervention policy such that its long-term reward is maximized. This problem exists…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-29 Chao Qu , Xiaoyu Tan , Siqiao Xue , Xiaoming Shi , James Zhang , Hongyuan Mei

The Hawkes process (HP) has been widely applied to modeling self-exciting events including neuron spikes, earthquakes and tweets. To avoid designing parametric triggering kernel and to be able to quantify the prediction confidence, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-05 Rui Zhang , Christian Walder , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu

Point process models are widely used for continuous asynchronous event data, where each data point includes time and additional information called "marks", which can be locations, nodes, or event types. This paper presents a novel point…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-12 Zheng Dong , Matthew Repasky , Xiuyuan Cheng , Yao Xie

Understanding the evolutionary patterns of real-world evolving complex systems such as human interactions, transport networks, biological interactions, and computer networks has important implications in our daily lives. Predicting future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Khushnood Abbas , Alireza Abbasi , Dong Shi , Niu Ling , Mingsheng Shang , Chen Liong , Bolun Chen

The advantages of temporal networks in capturing complex dynamics, such as diffusion and contagion, has led to breakthroughs in real world systems across numerous fields. In the case of human behavior, face-to-face interaction networks…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Nicolò Alessandro Girardini , Antonio Longa , Gaia Trebucchi , Giulia Cencetti , Andrea Passerini , Bruno Lepri

Task completion in digital and physical environments increasingly involves complex temporal interaction, where actions and observations unfold over different time scales rather than align with fixed observation--action steps. To model such…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Jialian Li , Yuchen Cao , Junhong Liu , Weiran Guo , Xutao Wang , Jiaming Song , Jiahao Zhang , Jie Chen

Neural Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) have emerged as the primary framework for predicting sequences of events that occur at irregular time intervals, but their sequential nature can hamper performance for long-horizon forecasts. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Mai Zeng , Florence Regol , Mark Coates

We consider the problem of unveiling the implicit network structure of node interactions (such as user interactions in a social network), based only on high-frequency timestamps. Our inference is based on the minimization of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-25 Emmanuel Bacry , Martin Bompaire , Stéphane Gaïffas , Jean-François Muzy