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Point processes are widely used statistical models for continuous-time discrete event data, such as medical records, crime reports, and social network interactions, to capture the influence of historical events on future occurrences. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Xiuyuan Cheng , Tingnan Gong , Yao Xie

Network models are useful tools for modelling complex associations. If a Gaussian graphical model is assumed, conditional independence is determined by the non-zero entries of the inverse covariance (precision) matrix of the data. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-18 Camilla Lingjærde , Benjamin P. Fairfax , Sylvia Richardson , Hélène Ruffieux

Quantifying influence in networks is important across science, economics, and public health, yet widely used centrality measures remain limited: they rely on static representations, heuristic network constructions, and purely endogenous…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Didier Sornette , Yishan Luo , Sandro Claudio Lera

This study proposes a versatile model for the dynamics of the best bid and ask prices using an extended Hawkes process. The model incorporates the zero intensities of the spread-narrowing processes at the minimum bid-ask spread,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-26 Kyungsub Lee , Byoung Ki Seo

In this paper we introduce a new model named CARMA(p,q)-Hawkes process as the Hawkes model with exponential kernel implies a strictly decreasing behaviour of the autocorrelation function and empirically evidences reject the monotonicity…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-23 Lorenzo Mercuri , Andrea Perchiazzo , Edit Rroji

Several data-driven approaches based on information theory have been proposed for analyzing high-order interactions involving three or more components of a network system. Most of these methods are defined only in the time domain and rely…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-18 Yuri Antonacci , Chiara Bara' , Laura Sparacino , Gorana Mijatovic , Ludovico Minati , Luca Faes

Computational modeling is becoming a widely used methodology in modern neuroscience. However, as the complexity of the phenomena under study increases, the analysis of the results emerging from the simulations concomitantly becomes more…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-16 Sergio E. Galindo , Pablo Toharia , Oscar D. Robles , Eduardo Ros , Luis Pastor , Jesús A. Garrido

Analytical expressions are put forward to investigate the forced spiking activity of abstract neuron models such as the driven leaky integrate-and-fire (LIF) model. The method is valid in a wide parameter regime beyond the restraining…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Michael Schindler , Peter Talkner , Peter Hänggi

The characterization of network and biophysical properties from neural spiking activity is an important goal in neuroscience. A framework that provides unbiased inference on causal synaptic interaction and single neural properties has been…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-27 Kevin S. Chen , Ying-Jen Yang

The self-exciting Hawkes process is widely used to model events which occur in bursts. However, many real world data sets contain missing events and/or noisily observed event times, which we refer to as data distortion. The presence of such…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-03 Isabella Deutsch , Gordon J. Ross

We examine the stability and qualitative dynamics of stochastic neuronal networks specified as multivariate nonlinear Hawkes processes and related point-process generalized linear models that incorporate both auto- and cross-history…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2019-12-13 Dmitrii Todorov , Wilson Truccolo

When inhibitory neurons constitute about 40% of neurons they could have an important antinociceptive role, as they would easily regulate the level of activity of other neurons. We consider a simple network of cortical spiking neurons with…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2014-01-28 Fernando Montani , Emilia B. Deleglise , Osvaldo A. Rosso

This study examines the use of a recurrent neural network for estimating the parameters of a Hawkes model based on high-frequency financial data, and subsequently, for computing volatility. Neural networks have shown promising results in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-25 Kyungsub Lee

In many network systems, events at one node trigger further activity at other nodes, e.g., social media users reacting to each other's posts or the clustering of criminal activity in urban environments. These systems are typically referred…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Pramit Das , Moulinath Banerjee , Yuekai Sun

In the last decade Hawkes processes have received much attention as models for functional connectivity in neural spiking networks and other dynamical systems with a cascade behavior. In this paper we establish a renewal approach for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-11 Mads Bonde Raad

Spiking networks that perform probabilistic inference have been proposed both as models of cortical computation and as candidates for solving problems in machine learning. However, the evidence for spike-based computation being in any way…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-10-12 Luziwei Leng , Roman Martel , Oliver Breitwieser , Ilja Bytschok , Walter Senn , Johannes Schemmel , Karlheinz Meier , Mihai A. Petrovici

For energy-efficient computation in specialized neuromorphic hardware, we present spiking neural coding, an instantiation of a family of artificial neural models grounded in the theory of predictive coding. This model, the first of its…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-08-09 Alexander Ororbia

Cascading chains of events are a salient feature of many real-world social, biological, and financial networks. In social networks, social reciprocity accounts for retaliations in gang interactions, proxy wars in nation-state conflicts, or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-05 Eric C. Hall , Rebecca M. Willett

Correlations are employed in modern physics to explain microscopic and macroscopic phenomena, like the fractional quantum Hall effect and the Mott insulator state in high temperature superconductors and ultracold atoms. Simultaneously…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2013-02-20 Moritz Helias , Tom Tetzlaff , Markus Diesmann

The Hawkes process, a self-exciting point process, has a wide range of applications in modeling earthquakes, social networks and stock markets. The established estimation process requires that researchers have access to the exact time…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-15 Lingxiao Zhou , Georgia Papadogeorgou
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