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This paper introduces sparse dynamic chain graph models for network inference in high dimensional non-Gaussian time series data. The proposed method parametrized by a precision matrix that encodes the intra time-slice conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-28 Pariya Behrouzi , Fentaw Abegaz , Ernst C. Wit

This paper presents uniform-in-time finite-sample bounds for regularized linear regression with vector-valued outputs and conditionally zero-mean subgaussian noise. By revisiting classical self-normalized martingale arguments, we obtain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Léo Simpson , Katrin Baumgärtner , Johannes Köhler , Moritz Diehl

Ordinary Differential Equations are widespread tools to model chemical, physical, biological process but they usually rely on parameters which are of critical importance in terms of dynamic and need to be estimated directly from the data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Nicolas Brunel , Quentin Clairon

The estimation of unknown values of parameters (or hidden variables, control variables) that characterise a physical system often relies on the comparison of measured data with synthetic data produced by some numerical simulator of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-28 Xi Chen , Mike Hobson

Continuous-time batch state estimation using Gaussian processes is an efficient approach to estimate the trajectories of robots over time. In the past, relatively simple physics-motivated priors have been considered for such approaches,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Sven Lilge , Timothy D. Barfoot

This work is concerned with the dynamics of a class of slow-fast stochastic dynamical systems with non-Gaussian stable L\'evy noise with a scale parameter. Slow manifolds with exponentially tracking property are constructed, eliminating the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-18 Shenglan Yuan , Jianyu Hu , Xianming Liu , Jinqiao Duan

We propose a novel iterative algorithm for estimating a deterministic but unknown parameter vector in the presence of model uncertainties. This iterative algorithm is based on a system model where an overall noise term describes both, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-27 Oliver Lang , Michael Lunglmayr , Mario Huemer

We consider the problem of estimating parameter sensitivity for Markovian models of reaction networks. Sensitivity values measure the responsiveness of an output to the model parameters. They help in analyzing the network, understanding its…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-18 Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash

A two-stage batch estimation algorithm for solving a class of nonlinear, static parameter estimation problems that appear in aerospace engineering applications is proposed. It is shown how these problems can be recast into a form suitable…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-18 Kerry Sun , Demoz Gebre-Egziabher

Spatio-temporal (ST) forecasting is critical for dynamic systems, yet existing methods predominantly rely on modeling a limited set of observed target variables. In this paper, we present the first systematic exploration of exogenous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Wei Chen , Yuqian Wu , Yuanshao Zhu , Xixuan Hao , Shiyu Wang , Xiaofang Zhou , Yuxuan Liang

Parametric modeling of non-stationary signals is addressed in this article. We present several models based on the characteristic features of the modeled signal, together with the methods for accurate estimation of model parameters.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-01-30 Pradip Sircar

This study proposes a method for designing stabilizing suboptimal controllers for nonlinear stochastic systems. These systems include time-invariant stochastic parameters that represent uncertainty of dynamics, posing two key difficulties…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Yuji Ito , Kenji Fujimoto

Effectively modeling phenomena present in highly nonlinear dynamical systems whilst also accurately quantifying uncertainty is a challenging task, which often requires problem-specific techniques. We present a novel, domain-agnostic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-26 Thomas M. McDonald , Mauricio A. Álvarez

Stochastic spectral methods have achieved great success in the uncertainty quantification of many engineering problems, including electronic and photonic integrated circuits influenced by fabrication process variations. Existing techniques…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Chunfeng Cui , Zheng Zhang

The problem of estimating the parameters of a linear regression model $Z(s,t)=m_1g_1(s,t)+ \cdots + m_pg_p(s,t)+U(s,t)$ based on observations of $Z$ on a spatial domain $G$ of special shape is considered, where the driving process $U$ is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-02 Sándor Baran , Kinga Sikolya

In this paper, we propose a novel Gaussian process-based moving horizon estimation (MHE) framework for unknown nonlinear systems. On the one hand, we approximate the system dynamics by the posterior means of the learned Gaussian processes…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-01 Tobias M. Wolff , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller

In this study, we estimate parameters in stochastic oscillatory systems by developing a novel cost function. This function incorporates power spectral density, analytic signal, and position crossings, each weighted to capture distinct…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-04-02 Joseph M. Marcinik , Dzmitry Vaido , Dolores Bozovic

Gaussian graphical model is a graphical representation of the dependence structure for a Gaussian random vector. It is recognized as a powerful tool in different applied fields such as bioinformatics, error-control codes, speech language,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-10 Valery A. Kalyagin , Alexander P. Koldanov , Petr A. Koldanov , Panos M. Pardalos

The paper addresses the problem of passivation of a class of nonlinear systems where the dynamics are unknown. For this purpose, we use the highly flexible, data-driven Gaussian process regression for the identification of the unknown…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-19 Thomas Beckers , Sandra Hirche

We propose a learning-based approach for estimating the spectrum of a multisinusoidal signal from a finite number of samples. A neural-network is trained to approximate the spectra of such signals on simulated data. The proposed methodology…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-03 Gautier Izacard , Brett Bernstein , Carlos Fernandez-Granda