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Calibrating a multiclass predictor, that outputs a distribution over labels, is particularly challenging due to the exponential number of possible prediction values. In this work, we propose a new definition of calibration error that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Konstantina Bairaktari , Huy L. Nguyen

Overfitting data is a well-known phenomenon related with the generation of a model that mimics too closely (or exactly) a particular instance of data, and may therefore fail to predict future observations reliably. In practice, this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-14 Matias Vera , Leonardo Rey Vega , Pablo Piantanida

We develop techniques to quantify the degree to which a given (training or testing) example is an outlier in the underlying distribution. We evaluate five methods to score examples in a dataset by how well-represented the examples are, for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-30 Nicholas Carlini , Úlfar Erlingsson , Nicolas Papernot

Estimating the generalization error (GE) of machine learning models is fundamental, with resampling methods being the most common approach. However, in non-standard settings, particularly those where observations are not independently and…

The generalization of machine learning models has a complex dependence on the data, model and learning algorithm. We study train and test performance, as well as the generalization gap given by the mean of their difference over different…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-29 Carlos A. Gomez-Uribe

Measurement error is a pervasive issue which renders the results of an analysis unreliable. The measurement error literature contains numerous correction techniques, which can be broadly divided into those which aim to produce exactly…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-08 Dylan Spicker , Michael P Wallace , Grace Y Yi

Over the past decades, researchers and ML practitioners have come up with better and better ways to build, understand and improve the quality of ML models, but mostly under the key assumption that the training data is distributed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-14 Yeounoh Chung , Peter J. Haas , Eli Upfal , Tim Kraska

This paper establishes the generalization error of pooled min-$\ell_2$-norm interpolation in transfer learning where data from diverse distributions are available. Min-norm interpolators emerge naturally as implicit regularized limits of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Yanke Song , Sohom Bhattacharya , Pragya Sur

As machine learning becomes more and more available to the general public, theoretical questions are turning into pressing practical issues. Possibly, one of the most relevant concerns is the assessment of our confidence in trusting machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Pietro Barbiero , Giovanni Squillero , Alberto Tonda

Generalization performance of classifiers in deep learning has recently become a subject of intense study. Deep models, typically over-parametrized, tend to fit the training data exactly. Despite this "overfitting", they perform well on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-18 Mikhail Belkin , Siyuan Ma , Soumik Mandal

Quantification is the machine learning task of estimating test-data class proportions that are not necessarily similar to those in training. Apart from its intrinsic value as an aggregate statistic, quantification output can also be used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-06 Aykut Firat

Various iterative reconstruction algorithms for inverse problems can be unfolded as neural networks. Empirically, this approach has often led to improved results, but theoretical guarantees are still scarce. While some progress on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-16 Arash Behboodi , Holger Rauhut , Ekkehard Schnoor

Metric learning seeks perceptual embeddings where visually similar instances are close and dissimilar instances are apart, but learned representations can be sub-optimal when the distribution of intra-class samples is diverse and distinct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-30 Elad Levi , Tete Xiao , Xiaolong Wang , Trevor Darrell

As machine learning applications grow increasingly ubiquitous and complex, they face an increasing set of requirements beyond accuracy. The prevalent approach to handle this challenge is to aggregate a weighted combination of requirement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Aneesh Barthakur , Luiz F. O. Chamon

Confidence measures for the generalization error are crucial when small training samples are used to construct classifiers. A common approach is to estimate the generalization error by resampling and then assume the resampled estimator…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Eric B. Laber , Susan A. Murphy

This paper describes a new method for reducing the error in a classifier. It uses an error correction update that includes the very simple rule of either adding or subtracting the error adjustment, based on whether the variable value is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-03-02 Kieran Greer

Classification is a ubiquitous and fundamental problem in artificial intelligence and machine learning, with extensive efforts dedicated to developing more powerful classifiers and larger datasets. However, the classification task is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Mario Franco , Gerardo Febres , Nelson Fernández , Carlos Gershenson

We study over-parameterized classifiers where Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) for learning leads to zero training error. In these over-parameterized settings there are many global minima with zero training error, some of which generalize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Julius Martinetz , Thomas Martinetz

Traditional machine learning paradigms are based on the assumption that both training and test data follow the same statistical pattern, which is mathematically referred to as Independent and Identically Distributed ($i.i.d.$). However, in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Jiashuo Liu , Zheyan Shen , Yue He , Xingxuan Zhang , Renzhe Xu , Han Yu , Peng Cui

In this work we consider a model problem of deep neural learning, namely the learning of a given function when it is assumed that we have access to its point values on a finite set of points. The deep neural network interpolant is the the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-27 Michail Loulakis , Charalambos G. Makridakis