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We extend the construction principle of multivariate phase-type distributions to establish an analytically tractable class of heavy-tailed multivariate random variables whose marginal distributions are of Mittag-Leffler type with arbitrary…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt

In this article, we present the maximum weighted likelihood estimator (MWLE) for robust estimations of heavy-tail finite mixture models (FMM). This is motivated by the complex distributional phenomena of insurance claim severity data, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-04 Tsz Chai Fung

In this paper, a new mixture family of multivariate normal distributions, formed by mixing multivariate normal distribution and skewed distribution, is constructed. Some properties of this family, such as characteristic function, moment…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-24 Me'raj Abdi , Mohsen Madadi , N. Balakrishnan , Ahad Jamalizadeh

Since the turn of the century, there has been increased interest in the application of heavy-tailed distributions, particularly stable distributions, to problems in physics and finance. Although, the tails of stable distributions provide a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-08 Lev B. Klebanov , Lenka Slámová

This article introduces a non-parametric information-theoretic approach to inference about the tail of a continuous or a discrete distribution. Leveraging a new concept named tail profile -- a set of information-theoretic quantities…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-19 Jialin Zhang , Zhiyi Zhang

Learning the tail behavior of a distribution is a notoriously difficult problem. By definition, the number of samples from the tail is small, and deep generative models, such as normalizing flows, tend to concentrate on learning the body of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Mike Laszkiewicz , Johannes Lederer , Asja Fischer

We present elliptical processes, a family of non-parametric probabilistic models that subsume Gaussian processes and Student's t processes. This generalization includes a range of new heavy-tailed behaviors while retaining computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Maria Bånkestad , Jens Sjölund , Jalil Taghia , Thomas B. Schöon

We extend the Kulkarni class of multivariate phase--type distributions in a natural time--fractional way to construct a new class of multivariate distributions with heavy-tailed Mittag-Leffler(ML)-distributed marginals. The approach relies…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-26 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt

In this paper we perform Bayesian estimation of stochastic volatility models with heavy tail distributions using Metropolis adjusted Langevin (MALA) and Riemman manifold Langevin (MMALA) methods. We provide analytical expressions for the…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-20 Mauricio Zevallos , Loretta Gasco , Ricardo Ehlers

The mixed effects model for repeated measures (MMRM) has been widely used for the analysis of longitudinal clinical data collected at a number of fixed time points. We propose a robust extension of the MMRM for skewed and heavy-tailed data…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-12 Yongqiang Tang

Markov switching models are often used to analyze financial returns because of their ability to capture frequently observed stylized facts. In this paper we consider a multivariate Student-t version of the model as a viable alternative to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-04 Mauro Bernardi , Antonello Maruotti , Lea Petrella

Multivariate longitudinal data of mixed-type are increasingly collected in many science domains. However, algorithms to cluster this kind of data remain scarce, due to the challenge to simultaneously model the within- and between-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-16 Francesco Amato , Julien Jacques

Tempered stable distributions are frequently used in financial applications (e.g., for option pricing) in which the tails of stable distributions would be too heavy. Given the non-explicit form of the probability density function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Till Massing

An important question in health services research is the estimation of the proportion of medical expenditures that exceed a given threshold. Typically, medical expenditures present highly skewed, heavy tailed distributions, for which (a)…

Applications · Statistics 2008-07-30 Sergio Venturini , Francesca Dominici , Giovanni Parmigiani

Mixed Poisson distributions provide a flexible approach to the analysis of count data with overdispersion, zero inflation, or heavy tails. Since the Poisson mean must be nonnegative, the mixing distribution is typically assumed to have…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-20 F. William Townes

This work introduces a family of univariate constrained mixtures of generalized normal distributions (CMGND) where the location, scale, and shape parameters can be constrained to be equal across any subset of mixture components. An…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-05 Pierdomenico Duttilo , Stefano Antonio Gattone , Alfred Kume

In this paper we develop a novel inferential approach based on geometric records for estimating the tail index of heavy-tailed distributions. We construct a maximum likelihood estimator for the Pareto model and establish its strong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Martín Alcalde , Raúl Gouet , Miguel Lafuente , F. Javier López , Gerardo Sanz

Normalizing flows are a flexible class of probability distributions, expressed as transformations of a simple base distribution. A limitation of standard normalizing flows is representing distributions with heavy tails, which arise in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-13 Tennessee Hickling , Dennis Prangle

In this paper we define the class of matrix Mittag-Leffler distributions and study some of its properties. We show that it can be interpreted as a particular case of an inhomogeneous phase-type distribution with random scaling factor, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt

In this paper, we focus on multivariate doubly truncated first two moments of generalized skew-elliptical (GSE) distributions and derive explicit expressions for them. It includes many useful distributions, for examples, generalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-03 Baishuai Zuo , Chuancun Yin