Related papers: Simplified stochastic calculus via semimartingale …
Multiplicative cascades have been introduced in turbulence to generate random or deterministic fields having intermittent values and long-range power-law correlations. Generally this is done using discrete construction rules leading to…
We develop a family of reformulations of an arbitrary consistent linear system into a stochastic problem. The reformulations are governed by two user-defined parameters: a positive definite matrix defining a norm, and an arbitrary discrete…
Given a c\`adl\`ag process $X$ on a filtered measurable space, we construct a version of its semimartingale characteristics which is measurable with respect to the underlying probability law. More precisely, let $\mathfrak{P}_{sem}$ be the…
Recent experimental advances have inspired the development of theoretical tools to describe the non-equilibrium dynamics of quantum systems. Among them an exact representation of quantum spin systems in terms of classical stochastic…
We propose a combination of cluster analysis and stochastic process analysis to characterize high-dimensional complex dynamical systems by few dominating variables. As an example, stock market data are analyzed for which the dynamical…
We introduce a powerful and flexible MCMC algorithm for stochastic simulation. The method builds on a pseudo-marginal method originally introduced in [Genetics 164 (2003) 1139--1160], showing how algorithms which are approximations to an…
This paper generalizes the notion of stochastic order to a relation between probability measures over arbitrary measurable spaces. This generalization is motivated by the observation that for the stochastic ordering of two stationary Markov…
Let U be an open set in R^d. We show that under a mild assumption on the richness of the generator a Feller process in U with (predictable) killing is a semimartingale. To this end we generalize the notion of semimartingales in a natural…
In this paper we introduce a variant of Burkholder's martingale transform associated with two martingales with respect to different filtrations. Even though the classical martingale techniques cannot be applied, we show that the discussed…
A general method to construct recombinant tree approximations for stochastic volatility models is developed and applied to the Heston model for stock price dynamics. In this application, the resulting approximation is a four tuple Markov…
When expanding a filtration with a stochastic process it is easily possible for semimartingale no longer to remain semimartingales in the enlarged filtration. Y. Kchia and P. Protter indicated a way to avoid this pitfall in 2015, but they…
We introduce a statistical physics inspired supervised machine learning algorithm for classification and regression problems. The method is based on the invariances or stability of predicted results when known data is represented as…
We illustrate a process that constructs martingales from raw material that arises naturally from the theory of sampling without replacement.The usefulness of the new martingales is illustrated by the development of maximal inequalities for…
Stochastic portfolio theory aims at finding relative arbitrages, i.e. trading strategies which outperform the market with probability one. Functionally generated portfolios, which are deterministic functions of the market weights, are an…
The aim of this paper is to present an elementary computable theory of probability, random variables and stochastic processes. The probability theory is baed on existing approaches using valuations and lower integrals. Various approaches to…
A stochastic Lie system on a manifold $M$ is a stochastic differential equation whose dynamics is described by a linear combination with functions depending on $\mathbb{R}^\ell$-valued semi-martigales of vector fields on $M$ spanning a…
We establish It\^o's formula along flows of probability measures associated with general semimartingales; this generalizes existing results for flows of measures on It\^o processes. Our approach is to first establish It\^o's formula for…
Typically, real-world stochastic processes are not easy to analyze. In this work we study the representation of any stochastic process as a memoryless innovation process triggering a dynamic system. We show that such a representation is…
Recently, a new approach in the fine analysis of stochastic processes sample paths has been developed to predict the evolution of the local regularity under (pseudo-)differential operators. In this paper, we study the sample paths of…
Given a semi-Markov law, using an additional parameter, we consider a family of stochastic flows corresponding to that law. Then we suitably select a particular flow, for which we obtain expressions of the meeting and merging probabilities…