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We give a stochastic extension of the Brane Calculus, along the lines of recent work by Cardelli and Mardare. In this presentation, the semantics of a Brane process is a measure of the stochastic distribution of possible derivations. To…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2010-11-03 Giorgio Bacci , Marino Miculan

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

The mathematical model of a linear system with the short memory about own stochastic behavior is proposed. It is assumed that the system is under a continual influence of independent stochastic impulses. In a short memory approximation the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 D. N. Zhabin

We review the theory of martingales as applied to stochastic thermodynamics and stochastic processes in physics more generally.

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-08-20 Édgar Roldán , Izaak Neri , Raphael Chetrite , Shamik Gupta , Simone Pigolotti , Frank Jülicher , Ken Sekimoto

The purpose of these notes is to distribute, mostly without proofs, fundamental definitions and results concerning the theory of semimartingales and stochastic integration. The material serves as a foundational guide for those interested in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Mark van den Bosch

The important application of semi-static hedging in financial markets naturally leads to the notion of quasi self-dual processes which is, for continuous semimartingales, related to symmetry properties of both their ordinary as well as…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-01 Thorsten Rheinländer , Michael Schmutz

These notes survey some aspects of discrete-time chaotic calculus and its applications, based on the chaos representation property for i.i.d. sequences of random variables. The topics covered include the Clark formula and predictable…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-04 Nicolas Privault

This paper does not suppose a priori that the evolution of the price of a financial asset is a semimartingale. Since possible strategies of investors are self-financing, previous prices are forced to be finite quadratic variation processes.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Rosanna Coviello , Francesco Russo

We propose a (seemingly) new computationally tractable model for multi-stage decision making under stochastic uncertainty.

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Arkadi Nemirovski

Sequential Monte Carlo methods which involve sequential importance sampling and resampling are shown to provide a versatile approach to computing probabilities of rare events. By making use of martingale representations of the sequential…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-22 Hock Peng Chan , Tze Leung Lai

Stochastic Network Calculus is a probabilistic method to compute performance bounds in networks, such as end-to-end delays. It relies on the analysis of stochastic processes using formalism of (Deterministic) Network Calculus. However,…

Performance · Computer Science 2024-01-19 Anne Bouillard

New theoretical approaches about forecasting stock markets are proposed. A mathematization of the stock market in terms of arithmetical relations is given, where some simple (non-differential, non-fractal) expressions are also suggested as…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-10 Caglar Tuncay

Comparison results for Markov processes w.r.t. function class induced (integral) stochastic orders have a long history. The most general results so far for this problem have been obtained based on the theory of evolution systems on Banach…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Benedikt Köpfer , Ludger Rüschendorf

We introduce a semistochastic implementation of the power method to compute, for very large matrices, the dominant eigenvalue and expectation values involving the corresponding eigenvector. The method is semistochastic in that the matrix…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2013-10-24 F. R. Petruzielo , A. A. Holmes , Hitesh J. Changlani , M. P. Nightingale , C. J. Umrigar

Probabilistic programming is related to a compositional approach to stochastic modeling by switching from discrete to continuous time dynamics. In continuous time, an operator-algebra semantics is available in which processes proceeding in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-05 Eric Mjolsness

The concept of signatures and expected signatures is vital in data science, especially for sequential data analysis. The signature transform, a Cartan type development, translates paths into high-dimensional feature vectors, capturing their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-12 Peter K. Friz , Paul P. Hager , Nikolas Tapia

We give a collection of explicit sufficient conditions for the true martingale property of a wide class of exponentials of semimartingales. We express the conditions in terms of semimartingale characteristics. This turns out to be very…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-12 David Criens , Kathrin Glau , Zorana Grbac

Our main result is the martingale representations for Markov additive processes where the modulator is a Levy process. These processes have three parts: the modulator, the jumps of the ordinate triggered by the modulator, and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Celal Umut Yaran , Mine Çağlar

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

Explicit formulas for the mean and variance of linear stochastic differential equations are derived in terms of an exponential matrix. This result improved a previous one by means of which the mean and variance are expressed in terms of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-18 Juan Carlos Jimenez