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In this work we build a stack of machine learning models aimed at composing a state-of-the-art credit rating and default prediction system, obtaining excellent out-of-sample performances. Our approach is an excursion through the most recent…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-05 A. R. Provenzano , D. Trifirò , A. Datteo , L. Giada , N. Jean , A. Riciputi , G. Le Pera , M. Spadaccino , L. Massaron , C. Nordio

The need for controlling and effectively managing credit risk has led financial institutions to excel in improving techniques designed for this purpose, resulting in the development of various quantitative models by financial institutions…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-08 Francisco Louzada , Anderson Ara , Guilherme B. Fernandes

This study conducts a benchmarking study, comparing 23 different statistical and machine learning methods in a credit scoring application. In order to do so, the models' performance is evaluated over four different data sets in combination…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-07-31 Anna Stelzer

The use of credit cards has recently increased, creating an essential need for credit card assessment methods to minimize potential risks. This study investigates the utilization of machine learning (ML) models for credit card default…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Anas Arram , Masri Ayob , Musatafa Abbas Abbood Albadr , Alaa Sulaiman , Dheeb Albashish

Probabilistic forecasts in the form of probability distributions over future events have become popular in several fields including meteorology, hydrology, economics, and demography. In typical applications, many alternative statistical…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-31 Alexander Jordan , Fabian Krüger , Sebastian Lerch

Credit Scores are ubiquitous and instrumental for loan providers and regulators. In this paper we showcase how micro-loan credit system can be developed in real setting. We show what challenges arise and discuss solutions. Particularly, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-13 Nikolay Dubina , Dasom Kang , Alex Suh

The digitalization of credit scoring has become essential for financial institutions and commercial banks, especially in the era of digital transformation. Machine learning techniques are commonly used to evaluate customers'…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Huyen Giang Thi Thu , Thang Viet Doan , Ha-Bang Ban , Tai Le Quy

A major requirement for credit scoring models is to provide a maximally accurate risk prediction. Additionally, regulators demand these models to be transparent and auditable. Thus, in credit scoring, very simple predictive models such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-30 Michael Bücker , Gero Szepannek , Alicja Gosiewska , Przemyslaw Biecek

Credit scores are critical for allocating consumer debt in the United States, yet little evidence is available on their performance. We benchmark a widely used credit score against a machine learning model of consumer default and find…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-04 Stefania Albanesi , Domonkos F. Vamossy

Credit risk scorecards are logistic regression models, fitted to large and complex data sets, employed by the financial industry to model the probability of default of a potential customer. In order to ensure that a scorecard remains a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-24 J. du Pisanie , J. S. Allison , I. J. H. Visagie

The widespread use of machine learning in credit scoring has brought significant advancements in risk assessment and decision-making. However, it has also raised concerns about potential biases, discrimination, and lack of transparency in…

Credit scoring is vital in the financial industry, assessing the risk of lending to credit card applicants. Traditional credit scoring methods face challenges with large datasets and data imbalance between creditworthy and non-creditworthy…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Kejian Tong , Zonglin Han , Yanxin Shen , Yujian Long , Yijing Wei

Manual approvals are still used by banks and other NGOs to approve loans. It takes time and is prone to mistakes because it is controlled by a bank employee. Several fields of machine learning mining technologies have been utilized to…

Credit scoring is a rapidly expanding analytical technique used by banks and other financial institutions. Academic studies on credit scoring provide a range of classification techniques used to differentiate between good and bad borrowers.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Hamidreza Arian , Seyed Mohammad Sina Seyfi , Azin Sharifi

Due to the recent increase in interest in Financial Technology (FinTech), applications like credit default prediction (CDP) are gaining significant industrial and academic attention. In this regard, CDP plays a crucial role in assessing the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Rambod Rahmani , Marco Parola , Mario G. C. A. Cimino

Automatic credit scoring, which assesses the probability of default by loan applicants, plays a vital role in peer-to-peer lending platforms to reduce the risk of lenders. Although it has been demonstrated that dynamic selection techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Mahsan Abdoli , Mohammad Akbari , Jamal Shahrabi

Credit assessments activities are essential for financial institutions and allow the global economy to grow. Building robust, solid and accurate models that estimate the probability of a default of a company is mandatory for credit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Ayoub El Qadi , Natalia Diaz-Rodriguez , Maria Trocan , Thomas Frossard

Rapid development of advanced modelling techniques gives an opportunity to develop tools that are more and more accurate. However as usually, everything comes with a price and in this case, the price to pay is to loose interpretability of a…

Machine learning decision systems are getting omnipresent in our lives. From dating apps to rating loan seekers, algorithms affect both our well-being and future. Typically, however, these systems are not infallible. Moreover, complex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-15 Jakub Wiśniewski , Przemysław Biecek

`scores` is a Python package containing mathematical functions for the verification, evaluation and optimisation of forecasts, predictions or models. It supports labelled n-dimensional (multidimensional) data, which is used in many…

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