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Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

The key distinguishing property of a Bayesian approach is marginalization instead of optimization, not the prior, or Bayes rule. Bayesian inference is especially compelling for deep neural networks. (1) Neural networks are typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-30 Andrew Gordon Wilson

Bayesian optimization has been successful at global optimization of expensive-to-evaluate multimodal objective functions. However, unlike most optimization methods, Bayesian optimization typically does not use derivative information. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-08 Jian Wu , Matthias Poloczek , Andrew Gordon Wilson , Peter I. Frazier

Bayesian inference promises to ground and improve the performance of deep neural networks. It promises to be robust to overfitting, to simplify the training procedure and the space of hyperparameters, and to provide a calibrated measure of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-12 Jonathan Heek , Nal Kalchbrenner

The last decade witnessed a growing interest in Bayesian learning. Yet, the technicality of the topic and the multitude of ingredients involved therein, besides the complexity of turning theory into practical implementations, limit the use…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-01 Martin Magris , Alexandros Iosifidis

We present a new method to approximate posterior probabilities of Bayesian Network using Deep Neural Network. Experiment results on several public Bayesian Network datasets shows that Deep Neural Network is capable of learning joint…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-12 Jie Jia , Honggang Zhou , Yunchun Li

We show that training a deep network using batch normalization is equivalent to approximate inference in Bayesian models. We further demonstrate that this finding allows us to make meaningful estimates of the model uncertainty using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-17 Mattias Teye , Hossein Azizpour , Kevin Smith

Obtaining labeled data for machine learning tasks can be prohibitively expensive. Active learning mitigates this issue by exploring the unlabeled data space and prioritizing the selection of data that can best improve the model performance.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-21 Vineeth Rakesh , Swayambhoo Jain

Established methods for unsupervised representation learning such as variational autoencoders produce none or poorly calibrated uncertainty estimates making it difficult to evaluate if learned representations are stable and reliable. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-24 Marco Miani , Frederik Warburg , Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Nicke Skafte Detlefsen , Søren Hauberg

Bayesian inference for neural networks, or Bayesian deep learning, has the potential to provide well-calibrated predictions with quantified uncertainty and robustness. However, the main hurdle for Bayesian deep learning is its computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-07 Sanket Jantre , Nathan M. Urban , Xiaoning Qian , Byung-Jun Yoon

In many sequential tasks, a model needs to remember relevant events from the distant past to make correct predictions. Unfortunately, a straightforward application of gradient based training requires intermediate computations to be stored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Artyom Sorokin , Nazar Buzun , Leonid Pugachev , Mikhail Burtsev

The Bayesian learning rule is a natural-gradient variational inference method, which not only contains many existing learning algorithms as special cases but also enables the design of new algorithms. Unfortunately, when variational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-27 Wu Lin , Mark Schmidt , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan

Deep learning has shown its human-level performance in various applications. However, current deep learning models are characterised by catastrophic forgetting of old knowledge when learning new classes. This poses a challenge particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-29 Yang Yang , Zhiying Cui , Junjie Xu , Changhong Zhong , Wei-Shi Zheng , Ruixuan Wang

Two non-intrusive uncertainty propagation approaches are proposed for the performance analysis of engineering systems described by expensive-to-evaluate deterministic computer models with parameters defined as interval variables. These…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-15 Alice Cicirello , Filippo Giunta

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) hold great promise as a flexible and principled solution to deal with uncertainty when learning from finite data. Among approaches to realize probabilistic inference in deep neural networks, variational Bayes…

Bayesian optimization is a powerful paradigm to optimize black-box functions based on scarce and noisy data. Its data efficiency can be further improved by transfer learning from related tasks. While recent transfer models meta-learn a…

Comparing competing mathematical models of complex natural processes is a shared goal among many branches of science. The Bayesian probabilistic framework offers a principled way to perform model comparison and extract useful metrics for…

Hyperparameter optimization in machine learning is often achieved using naive techniques that only lead to an approximate set of hyperparameters. Although techniques such as Bayesian optimization perform an intelligent search on a given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Ankur Sinha , Satender Gunwal , Shivam Kumar

This paper presents a novel method for autonomously enhancing deep neural network training. My approach employs an Evaluation Neural Network (ENN) trained via deep reinforcement learning to predict the performance of the target network. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Ryohei Ino

We describe a method for Bayesian optimization by which one may incorporate data from multiple systems whose quantitative interrelationships are unknown a priori. All general (nonreal-valued) features of the systems are associated with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-06 Steven Atkinson , Sayan Ghosh , Natarajan Chennimalai-Kumar , Genghis Khan , Liping Wang
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