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In many applications of finance, biology and sociology, complex systems involve entities interacting with each other. These processes have the peculiarity of evolving over time and of comprising latent factors, which influence the system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-03 Federico Tomasi , Veronica Tozzo , Saverio Salzo , Alessandro Verri

We examine an analytic variational inference scheme for the Gaussian Process State Space Model (GPSSM) - a probabilistic model for system identification and time-series modelling. Our approach performs variational inference over both the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-11 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , Carl Edward Rasmussen

This paper introduces an active learning framework for manifold Gaussian Process (GP) regression, combining manifold learning with strategic data selection to improve accuracy in high-dimensional spaces. Our method jointly optimizes a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Yuanxing Cheng , Lulu Kang , Yiwei Wang , Chun Liu

We consider the problem of learning a conditional Gaussian graphical model in the presence of latent variables. Building on recent advances in this field, we suggest a method that decomposes the parameters of a conditional Markov random…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-07 Benjamin Frot , Luke Jostins , Gil McVean

We introduce a new scalable approximation for Gaussian processes with provable guarantees which hold simultaneously over its entire parameter space. Our approximation is obtained from an improved sample complexity analysis for sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-18 Quang Minh Hoang , Trong Nghia Hoang , Hai Pham , David P. Woodruff

Stochastic-gradient sampling methods are often used to perform Bayesian inference on neural networks. It has been observed that the methods in which notions of differential geometry are included tend to have better performances, with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Hanlin Yu , Marcelo Hartmann , Bernardo Williams , Arto Klami

Gaussian processes (GPs) are ubiquitously used in sciences and engineering as metamodels. Standard GPs, however, can only handle numerical or quantitative variables. In this paper, we introduce latent map Gaussian processes (LMGPs) that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-13 Nicholas Oune , Ramin Bostanabad

We reconsider a nonparametric density model based on Gaussian processes. By augmenting the model with latent P\'olya--Gamma random variables and a latent marked Poisson process we obtain a new likelihood which is conjugate to the model's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-30 Christian Donner , Manfred Opper

Several studies explore inferences based on stochastic volatility (SV) models, taking into account the stylized facts of return data. The common problem is that the latent parameters of many volatility models are high-dimensional and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-06 T. R. Santos

We derive a continuum model for incompatible elasticity as a variational limit of a family of discrete nearest-neighbor elastic models. The discrete models are based on discretizations of a smooth Riemannian manifold $(M,\mathfrak{g})$,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Raz Kupferman , Cy Maor

The generation of discontinuous distributions is a difficult task for most known frameworks such as generative autoencoders and generative adversarial networks. Generative non-invertible models are unable to accurately generate such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-20 Mariia Drozdova , Vitaliy Kinakh , Guillaume Quétant , Tobias Golling , Slava Voloshynovskiy

Many deep generative models are defined as a push-forward of a Gaussian measure by a continuous generator, such as Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) or Variational Auto-Encoders (VAEs). This work explores the latent space of such deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Thibaut Issenhuth , Ugo Tanielian , Jérémie Mary , David Picard

We consider the problem of variational Bayesian inference in a latent variable model where a (possibly complex) observed stochastic process is governed by the solution of a latent stochastic differential equation (SDE). Motivated by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Sebastian Zeng , Florian Graf , Roland Kwitt

We introduce a new class of spatially stochastic physics and data informed deep latent models for parametric partial differential equations (PDEs) which operate through scalable variational neural processes. We achieve this by assigning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-08 Arnaud Vadeboncoeur , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Yanni Papandreou , Fehmi Cirak , Mark Girolami , Ömer Deniz Akyildiz

We propose a nonparametric Bayesian probabilistic latent variable model for multi-view anomaly detection, which is the task of finding instances that have inconsistent views. With the proposed model, all views of a non-anomalous instance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-14 Tomoharu Iwata , Makoto Yamada

A deep latent variable model is a powerful method for capturing complex distributions. These models assume that underlying structures, but unobserved, are present within the data. In this dissertation, we explore high-dimensional problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Khuong Vo

We study a family of parametric statistical models based on gamma distributions, which do give realistic descriptions for other stochastic porous media. Gamma distributions contain as a special case the exponential distributions, which…

Astrophysics · Physics 2016-08-30 C. T. J. Dodson

Stochastic processes are a flexible and widely used family of models for statistical modeling. While stochastic processes offer attractive properties such as inclusion of uncertainty properties, their inference is typically intractable,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Teemu Härkönen , Simo Särkkä

This paper develops an asymptotic likelihood theory for triangular arrays of stationary Gaussian time series depending on a multidimensional unknown parameter. We give sufficient conditions for the associated sequence of statistical models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Carsten H. Chong , Fabian Mies

Differential graphical models are designed to represent the difference between the conditional dependence structures of two groups, thus are of particular interest for scientific investigation. Motivated by modern applications, this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-03 Sen Na , Mladen Kolar , Oluwasanmi Koyejo