English
Related papers

Related papers: Regression Prior Networks

200 papers

Feedforward neural networks (FNNs) are typically viewed as pure prediction algorithms, and their strong predictive performance has led to their use in many machine-learning applications. However, their flexibility comes with an…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-15 Andrew McInerney , Kevin Burke

Recent work introduced the epinet as a new approach to uncertainty modeling in deep learning. An epinet is a small neural network added to traditional neural networks, which, together, can produce predictive distributions. In particular,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-04 Xiuyuan Lu , Ian Osband , Seyed Mohammad Asghari , Sven Gowal , Vikranth Dwaracherla , Zheng Wen , Benjamin Van Roy

The ongoing unprecedented exponential explosion of available computing power, has radically transformed the methods of statistical inference. What used to be a small minority of statisticians advocating for the use of priors and a strict…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 Carlos C. Rodriguez

Reliable predictive uncertainty estimation plays an important role in enabling the deployment of neural networks to safety-critical settings. A popular approach for estimating the predictive uncertainty of neural networks is to define a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-29 Tim G. J. Rudner , Zonghao Chen , Yee Whye Teh , Yarin Gal

Research on remote sensing image classification significantly impacts essential human routine tasks such as urban planning and agriculture. Nowadays, the rapid advance in technology and the availability of many high-quality remote sensing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-21 Daniel F. S. Santos , Rafael G. Pires , Leandro A. Passos , João P. Papa

Modeling networks can serve as a means of summarizing high-dimensional complex systems. Adapting an approach devised for dense, weighted networks, we propose a new method for generating and estimating unweighted networks. This approach can…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-12 Benjamin Leinwand , Vince Lyzinski

Uncertainty quantification for deep learning is a challenging open problem. Bayesian statistics offer a mathematically grounded framework to reason about uncertainties; however, approximate posteriors for modern neural networks still…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-23 Nicolas Brosse , Carlos Riquelme , Alice Martin , Sylvain Gelly , Éric Moulines

Deep neural networks are prone to overconfident predictions on outliers. Bayesian neural networks and deep ensembles have both been shown to mitigate this problem to some extent. In this work, we aim to combine the benefits of the two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-08 Runa Eschenhagen , Erik Daxberger , Philipp Hennig , Agustinus Kristiadi

We study how the training data distribution affects confidence and performance in image classification models. We introduce Embedding Density, a model-agnostic framework that estimates prediction confidence by measuring the distance of test…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Maksim Kazanskii , Artem Kasianov

Deep Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) are a powerful tool, though computationally demanding, to perform parameter estimation while jointly estimating uncertainty around predictions. BNNs are typically implemented using arbitrary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Daniele Silvestro , Tobias Andermann

Scattering networks are a class of designed Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) with fixed weights. We argue they can serve as generic representations for modelling images. In particular, by working in scattering space, we achieve…

Predictive coding networks are neural models that perform inference through an iterative energy minimization process, whose operations are local in space and time. While effective in shallow architectures, they suffer significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Chang Qi , Matteo Forasassi , Thomas Lukasiewicz , Tommaso Salvatori

This paper considers the generation of prediction intervals (PIs) by neural networks for quantifying uncertainty in regression tasks. It is axiomatic that high-quality PIs should be as narrow as possible, whilst capturing a specified…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-10 Tim Pearce , Mohamed Zaki , Alexandra Brintrup , Andy Neely

Neural networks have proven successful at learning from complex data distributions by acting as universal function approximators. However, they are often overconfident in their predictions, which leads to inaccurate and miscalibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Jeffrey Willette , Juho Lee , Sung Ju Hwang

Bayesian inference can quantify uncertainty in the predictions of neural networks using posterior distributions for model parameters and network output. By looking at these posterior distributions, one can separate the origin of uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 H. Linander , O. Balabanov , H. Yang , B. Mehlig

Current deep neural networks suffer from two problems; first, they are hard to interpret, and second, they suffer from overfitting. There have been many attempts to define interpretability in neural networks, but they typically lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-15 Sean Tao

Deep learning models have gained great success in many real-world applications. However, most existing networks are typically designed in heuristic manners, thus lack of rigorous mathematical principles and derivations. Several recent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-12-18 Risheng Liu , Xin Fan , Shichao Cheng , Xiangyu Wang , Zhongxuan Luo

Ensembling a neural network is a widely recognized approach to enhance model performance, estimate uncertainty, and improve robustness in deep supervised learning. However, deep ensembles often come with high computational costs and memory…

Regression methods are fundamental for scientific and technological applications. However, fitted models can be highly unreliable outside of their training domain, and hence the quantification of their uncertainty is crucial in many of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-05 Filippo Bigi , Sanggyu Chong , Michele Ceriotti , Federico Grasselli

Deep convolutional neural networks (DCNN) have enjoyed great successes in many signal processing applications because they can learn complex, non-linear causal relationships from input to output. In this light, DCNNs are well suited for the…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-10-31 Xi Zhang , Xiaolin Wu