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Given data on the choices made by consumers for different offer sets, a key challenge is to develop parsimonious models that describe and predict consumer choice behavior while being amenable to prescriptive tasks such as pricing and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-15 Yanqiu Ruan , Xiaobo Li , Karthyek Murthy , Karthik Natarajan

In recent decades, new methods and approaches have been developed for forecasting intermittent demand series. However, the majority of research has focused on point forecasting, with little exploration into probabilistic intermittent demand…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-16 Shengjie Wang , Yanfei Kang , Fotios Petropoulos

Estimation of Distribution Algorithms (EDAs) and Innovation Method are recognized methods for solving global optimization problems and for the estimation of parameters in diffusion processes, respectively. Well known is also that the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Zochil González Arenas , Juan Carlos Jimenez , Li-Vang Lozada-Chang , Roberto Santana

A recent line of work, starting with Beigman and Vohra (2006) and Zadimoghaddam and Roth (2012), has addressed the problem of {\em learning} a utility function from revealed preference data. The goal here is to make use of past data…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-07-31 Maria-Florina Balcan , Amit Daniely , Ruta Mehta , Ruth Urner , Vijay V. Vazirani

We consider an infinite dimensional optimization problem motivated by mathematical economics. Within the celebrated "Arbitrage Pricing Model", we use probabilistic and functional analytic techniques to show the existence of optimal…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-10 Miklos Rasonyi

In 1977 John Tukey described how in exploratory data analysis, data analysts use tools, such as data visualizations, to separate their expectations from what they observe. In contrast to statistical theory, an underappreciated aspect of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-02 Roger D. Peng , Stephanie C. Hicks

In shared micromobility networks, such as bike-share and scooter-share networks, using trip data to accurately estimate demand in docked and dockless systems is critical to analyzing how the system is operating, such as identifying the…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-13 Alice Paul , Kyran Flynn , Cassandra Overney

Probabilistic forecasting in combination with stochastic programming is a key tool for handling the growing uncertainties in future energy systems. Derived from a general stochastic programming formulation for the optimal scheduling and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-25 Mario Beykirch , Tim Janke , Florian Steinke

There are large amounts of transactional data which showed consumer shopping cart at a store that sells more than 150 types of products. In this case, the company is utilizing these data in making business action. In previous studies, the…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Feri Sulianta , Laksana Eka Angga , Thee Houw Liong

Market making is one of the most important aspects of algorithmic trading, and it has been studied quite extensively from a theoretical point of view. The practical implementation of so-called "optimal strategies" however suffers from the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-14 Xiaofei Lu , Frédéric Abergel

We study periodic review stochastic inventory control in the data-driven setting where the retailer makes ordering decisions based only on historical demand observations without any knowledge of the probability distribution of the demand.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Xun Zhang , Zhisheng Ye , William B. Haskell

Expectation maximisation (EM) is an unsupervised learning method for estimating the parameters of a finite mixture distribution. It works by introducing "hidden" or "latent" variables via Baum's auxiliary function $Q$ that allow the joint…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Graham W. Pulford

Optimum parameter estimation methods require knowledge of a parametric probability density that statistically describes the available observations. In this work we examine Bayesian and non-Bayesian parameter estimation problems under a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-01 George V. Moustakides

The embedded topic model (ETM) is a widely used approach that assumes the sampled document-topic distribution conforms to the logistic normal distribution for easier optimization. However, this assumption oversimplifies the real…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Wei Shao , Mingyang Liu , Linqi Song

We propose a novel method for estimating nonseparable selection models. We show that, for a given selection function, the potential outcome distributions are nonparametrically identified from the selected outcome distributions and can be…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-05 Fan Wu , Yi Xin

With the rapid growth in the fashion e-commerce industry, it is becoming extremely challenging for the E-tailers to set an optimal price point for all the products on the platform. By establishing an optimal price point, they can maximize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Sajan Kedia , Samyak Jain , Abhishek Sharma

We provide a near-optimal, computationally efficient algorithm for the unit-demand pricing problem, where a seller wants to price n items to optimize revenue against a unit-demand buyer whose values for the items are independently drawn…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-10-28 Yang Cai , Constantinos Daskalakis

Inferring dynamics from time series is an important objective in data analysis. In particular, it is challenging to infer stochastic dynamics given incomplete data. We propose an expectation maximization (EM) algorithm that iterates between…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-08-25 Sangwon Lee , Vipul Periwal , Junghyo Jo

A robust model predictive control scheme for a class of constrained norm-bounded uncertain discrete-time linear systems is developed under the hypothesis that only partial state measurements are available for feedback. Off-line calculations…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-23 Giuseppe Franzè , Massimiliano Mattei , Luciano Ollio , Valerio Scordamaglia

We study partial identification of the preference parameters in the one-to-one matching model with perfectly transferable utilities. We do so without imposing parametric distributional assumptions on the unobserved heterogeneity and with…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-28 Cristina Gualdani , Shruti Sinha