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We consider the problem of inferring an unknown number of clusters in replicated multinomial data. Under a model based clustering point of view, this task can be treated by estimating finite mixtures of multinomial distributions with or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-07 Panagiotis Papastamoulis

Bayesian neural networks and deep ensemble methods have been proposed for uncertainty quantification; however, they are computationally intensive and require large storage. By utilizing a single deterministic model, we can solve the above…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Yaxin Ma , Benjamin Colburn , Jose C. Principe

Accurately detecting multiple change-points is critical for various applications, but determining the optimal number of change-points remains a challenge. Existing approaches based on information criteria attempt to balance goodness-of-fit…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-19 Hui Chen , Yinxu Jia , Guanghui Wang , Changliang Zou

This paper considers the problems of detecting a change point and estimating the location in the correlation matrices of a sequence of high-dimensional vectors, where the dimension is large enough to be comparable to the sample size or even…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-07 Zhaoyuan Li , Jie Gao

We introduce a framework for online changepoint detection and simultaneous model learning which is applicable to highly parametrized models, such as deep neural networks. It is based on detecting changepoints across time by sequentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-08 Michalis K. Titsias , Jakub Sygnowski , Yutian Chen

Bayesian hierarchical Poisson models are an essential tool for analyzing count data. However, designing efficient algorithms to sample from the posterior distribution of the target parameters remains a challenging task for this class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-10 Aldo Gardini , Fedele Greco , Carlo Trivisano

Sequential (online) change-point detection involves continuously monitoring time-series data and triggering an alarm when shifts in the data distribution are detected. We propose an algorithm for real-time identification of alterations in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 Yuhan Tian , Abolfazl Safikhani

Many offline unsupervised change point detection algorithms rely on minimizing a penalized sum of segment-wise costs. We extend this framework by proposing to minimize a sum of discrepancies between segments. In particular, we propose to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-04 Aurélien Serre , Didier Chételat , Andrea Lodi

A change points detection aims to catch an abrupt disorder in data distribution. Common approaches assume that there are only two fixed distributions for data: one before and another after a change point. Real-world data are richer than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-18 Alexander Stepikin , Evgenia Romanenkova , Alexey Zaytsev

Modelling non-homogeneous and multi-component data is a problem that challenges scientific researchers in several fields. In general, it is not possible to find a simple and closed form probabilistic model to describe such data. That is why…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-27 Nehla Debbabi , Marie Kratz , Mamadou Mboup

This paper provides a mixture modeling framework using the bivariate generalized exponential distribution. We study different properties of this mixture distribution. Hierarchical EM algorithm is developed for finding the estimates of the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-03 Arabin Kumar Dey , Debasis Kundu , Tumati Kiran Kumar

An important and yet difficult problem in fitting multivariate mixture models is determining the mixture complexity. We develop theory and a unified framework for finding the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator of a multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ramani S. Pilla , Francesco Bartolucci , Bruce G. Lindsay

This paper studies multivariate nonparametric change point localization and inference problems. The data consists of a multivariate time series with potentially short range dependence. The distribution of this data is assumed to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-30 Carlos Misael Madrid Padilla , Haotian Xu , Daren Wang , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Yi Yu

The possibility of strong biases in a multicomponent Maximum Likelihood fits with component-dependent templates has been demonstrated in some toy problems. We discuss here in detail a problem of practical interest, particle identification…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-08-23 P. Catastini , G. Punzi

Two-component mixture models have proved to be a powerful tool for modeling heterogeneity in several cluster analysis contexts. However, most methods based on these models assume a constant behavior for the mixture weights, which can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-10 Flávia Castro Motta , Michel Helcias Montoril

This paper deals with the estimation of the modes of an univariate mixture when the number of components is known and when the component density are well separated. We propose an algorithm based on the minimization of the "kp" criterion we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Nicolas Paul , Luc Fety , Michel Terre

In the framework of Bayesian model-based clustering based on a finite mixture of Gaussian distributions, we present a joint approach to estimate the number of mixture components and identify cluster-relevant variables simultaneously as well…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-23 Gertraud Malsiner-Walli , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Bettina Grün

Mixtures of shifted asymmetric Laplace distributions were introduced as a tool for model-based clustering that allowed for the direct parameterization of skewness in addition to location and scale. Following common practices, an…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-28 Yuan Fang , Brian C. Franczak , Sanjeena Subedi

In this paper, we introduce and evaluate a data-driven staged mixture modeling technique for building density, regression, and classification models. Our basic approach is to sequentially add components to a finite mixture model using the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Christopher Meek , Bo Thiesson , David Heckerman

We employ the Bayesian improved cross entropy (BiCE) method for rare event estimation in static networks and choose the categorical mixture as the parametric family to capture the dependence among network components. At each iteration of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-25 Jianpeng Chan , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub
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