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In the last few decades, noise-induced large fluctuations and transition phenomena have garnered significant attention in a variety of scientific contexts. The concept of prehistory probability has been proposed within the framework of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Feng Zhao , Jinjie Zhu , Yang Li , Xianbin Liu , Dongping Jin

A $p$-jump process is a piecewise deterministic Markov process with jumps by a factor of $p$. We prove a limit theorem for such processes on the unit interval. Via duality with respect to probability generating functions, we deduce limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-02 F. Hermann , P. Pfaffelhuber

This paper introduces a novel methodology for the identification of switching dynamics for switched autoregressive linear models. Switching behavior is assumed to follow a Markov model. The system's outputs are contaminated by possibly…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-03-28 Sarah Hojjatinia , Constantino M. Lagoa

The purpose of this paper is to ensure the conditions of G\"artner-Ellis Theorem for evaluations of the empirical measure. We show that up-to-date conditions for ensuring the convergence to a quasi-stationary distribution can be applied…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Aurélien Velleret

Given a general It\^o semimartingale, its Markovian projection is an It\^o process, with Markovian differential characteristics, that matches the one-dimensional marginal laws of the original process. We construct Markovian projections for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Martin Larsson , Shukun Long

In this paper we consider two related stochastic models. The first one is a branching system consisting of particles moving according to a Markov family in R^d and undergoing subcritical branching with a constant rate of V>0. New particles…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-27 Piotr Milos

Dunkl processes are multidimensional Markov processes defined through the use of Dunkl operators. These processes have discontinuities, and they can be separated into their continuous (radial) part, and their discontinuous (jump) part.…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-05-20 Sergio Andraus

We establish a large deviation principle for the normalized excursion and bridge of an $\alpha$-stable L\'evy process without negative jumps, with $1<\alpha<2$. Based on this, we derive precise asymptotics for the tail distributions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-05 Léo Dort , Christina Goldschmidt , Grégory Miermont

In this paper we study a family of nonlinear (conditional) expectations that can be understood as a semimartingale with uncertain local characteristics. Here, the differential characteristics are prescribed by a time and path-dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-07 David Criens , Lars Niemann

In this paper, we study small noise asymptotics of Markov-modulated diffusion processes in the regime that the modulating Markov chain is rapidly switching. We prove the joint sample-path large deviations principle for the Markov-modulated…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Gang Huang , Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij

We address the general problem of formulating the dynamical large deviations of non-Markovian systems in a closed form. Specifically, we consider a broad class of ``self-interacting'' jump processes whose dynamics depends on the past…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-25 Francesco Coghi , Amarjit Budhiraja , Juan P. Garrahan

We define a Markov process on the set of countable graphs with spins. Transitions are local substitutions in the graph. It is proved that the scaling macrodimension is an invariant of such dynamics.

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2012-01-23 V. A. Malyshev

The large deviations at 'Level 2.5 in time' for time-dependent ensemble-empirical-observables, introduced by C. Maes, K. Netocny and B. Wynants [Markov Proc. Rel. Fields. 14, 445 (2008)] for the case of $N$ independent Markov jump…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-12 Cecile Monthus

Master equations are typically adopted to describe the dynamics of open quantum systems. Such equations are either in integro-differential or in time-local form, with the latter class more frequently adopted due to the simpler numerical…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-04-03 Giulio Amato , Heinz-Peter Breuer , Bassano Vacchini

Large deviation theory is a branch of probability theory that is devoted to a study of the "rate" at which empirical estimates of various quantities converge to their true values. The object of study in this paper is the rate at which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-17 Mathukumalli Vidyasagar

The aim of this paper is to study the fluctuations of a general class of supercritical branching Markov processes with non-local branching mechanisms. We show the existence of three regimes according to the size of the spectral gap…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Christopher B. C. Dean , Emma Horton

We describe stochastic calculus in the context of processes that are driven by an adapted point process of locally finite intensity and are differentiable between jumps. This includes Markov chains as well as non-Markov processes. By…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Eric Foxall

A pathwise large deviation result is proved for the pure jump models of $k$-nary interacting particle system introduced by Kolokoltsov that generalize classical Boltzmann's collision model, Smoluchovski's coagulation model and many others.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Wen Sun

A rescaled Markov chain converges uniformly in probability to the solution of an ordinary differential equation, under carefully specified assumptions. The presentation is much simpler than those in the outside literature. The result may be…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 R. W. R. Darling

We consider random walk with bounded jumps on a hypercubic lattice of arbitrary dimension in a dynamic random environment. The environment is temporally independent and spatially translation invariant. We study the rate functions of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Firas Rassoul-Agha , Timo Seppäläinen , Atilla Yilmaz