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The Gradient Boosted Tree (GBT) algorithm is one of the most popular machine learning algorithms used in production, for tasks that include Click-Through Rate (CTR) prediction and learning-to-rank. To deal with the massive datasets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-30 Theodore Vasiloudis , Hyunsu Cho , Henrik Boström

Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM) introduced by Friedman is a powerful supervised learning algorithm that is very widely used in practice---it routinely features as a leading algorithm in machine learning competitions such as Kaggle and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-17 Haihao Lu , Rahul Mazumder

Regression trees have emerged as a preeminent tool for solving real-world regression problems due to their ability to deal with nonlinearities, interaction effects and sharp discontinuities. In this article, we rather study regression trees…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-14 Nathan Wycoff

Decision trees are ubiquitous in machine learning for their ease of use and interpretability. Yet, these models are not typically employed in reinforcement learning as they cannot be updated online via stochastic gradient descent. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-29 Andrew Silva , Taylor Killian , Ivan Dario Jimenez Rodriguez , Sung-Hyun Son , Matthew Gombolay

Recurrence data arise from multi-disciplinary domains spanning reliability, cyber security, healthcare, online retailing, etc. This paper investigates an additive-tree-based approach, known as Boost-R (Boosting for Recurrence Data), for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Xiao Liu , Rong Pan

XGBoost is a scalable ensemble technique based on gradient boosting that has demonstrated to be a reliable and efficient machine learning challenge solver. This work proposes a practical analysis of how this novel technique works in terms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-05 Candice Bentéjac , Anna Csörgő , Gonzalo Martínez-Muñoz

Extreme quantile regression provides estimates of conditional quantiles outside the range of the data. Classical quantile regression performs poorly in such cases since data in the tail region are too scarce. Extreme value theory is used…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-22 Jasper Velthoen , Clément Dombry , Juan-Juan Cai , Sebastian Engelke

We present a unified probabilistic gradient boosting framework for regression tasks that models and predicts the entire conditional distribution of a univariate response variable as a function of covariates. Our likelihood-based approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-05 Alexander März , Thomas Kneib

Regression trees are a popular machine learning algorithm that fit piecewise constant models by recursively partitioning the predictor space. This paper focuses on statistical inference for a data-dependent model obtained from a fitted…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-17 Soham Bakshi , Yiling Huang , Snigdha Panigrahi , Walter Dempsey

We present a new procedure for enhanced variable selection for component-wise gradient boosting. Statistical boosting is a computational approach that emerged from machine learning, which allows to fit regression models in the presence of…

Tree boosting is a highly effective and widely used machine learning method. In this paper, we describe a scalable end-to-end tree boosting system called XGBoost, which is used widely by data scientists to achieve state-of-the-art results…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-14 Tianqi Chen , Carlos Guestrin

We present Natural Gradient Boosting (NGBoost), an algorithm for generic probabilistic prediction via gradient boosting. Typical regression models return a point estimate, conditional on covariates, but probabilistic regression models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Tony Duan , Anand Avati , Daisy Yi Ding , Khanh K. Thai , Sanjay Basu , Andrew Y. Ng , Alejandro Schuler

A decision tree is one of the most popular approaches in machine learning fields. However, it suffers from the problem of overfitting caused by overly deepened trees. Then, a meta-tree is recently proposed. It solves the problem of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-12 Ryota Maniwa , Naoki Ichijo , Yuta Nakahara , Toshiyasu Matsushima

Boosting is a method for finding a highly accurate hypothesis by linearly combining many ``weak" hypotheses, each of which may be only moderately accurate. Thus, boosting is a method for learning an ensemble of classifiers. While boosting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-30 Sai Saketh Rambhatla , Michael Jones , Rama Chellappa

Despite the rise to dominance of deep learning in unstructured data domains, tree-based methods such as Random Forests (RF) and Gradient Boosted Decision Trees (GBDT) are still the workhorses for handling discriminative tasks on tabular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-21 João Bravo

Linear mixed models are widely used for clustered data, but their reliance on parametric forms limits flexibility in complex and high-dimensional settings. In contrast, gradient boosting methods achieve high predictive accuracy through…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-04 Mitchell L. Prevett , Francis K. C. Hui , Zhi Yang Tho , A. H. Welsh , Anton H. Westveld

Decision tree learning is increasingly being used for pointwise inference. Important applications include causal heterogenous treatment effects and dynamic policy decisions, as well as conditional quantile regression and design of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-08 Matias D. Cattaneo , Jason M. Klusowski , Peter M. Tian

Neural Networks and Decision Trees: two popular techniques for supervised learning that are seemingly disconnected in their formulation and optimization method, have recently been combined in a single construct. The connection pivots on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-27 Giuseppe Nuti , Lluís Antoni Jiménez Rugama , Kaspar Thommen

Automatic machine learning performs predictive modeling with high performing machine learning tools without human interference. This is achieved by making machine learning applications parameter-free, i.e. only a dataset is provided while…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-16 Janek Thomas , Stefan Coors , Bernd Bischl

We present Gradient Boosting Reinforcement Learning (GBRL), a framework that adapts the strengths of gradient boosting trees (GBT) to reinforcement learning (RL) tasks. While neural networks (NNs) have become the de facto choice for RL,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Benjamin Fuhrer , Chen Tessler , Gal Dalal