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There is an increasing need for algorithms that can accurately detect changepoints in long time-series, or equivalent, data. Many common approaches to detecting changepoints, for example based on penalised likelihood or minimum description…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-08 Robert Maidstone , Toby Hocking , Guillem Rigaill , Paul Fearnhead

In this paper the problem of retrospective change-point detection and estimation in multivariate linear models is considered. The lower bounds for the error of change-point estimation are proved in different cases (one change-point:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-27 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

Change point detection plays a fundamental role in many real-world applications, where the goal is to analyze and monitor the behaviour of a data stream. In this paper, we study change detection in binary streams. To this end, we use a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Nikolaj Tatti

Bayesian change-point detection, together with latent variable models, allows to perform segmentation over high-dimensional time-series. We assume that change-points lie on a lower-dimensional manifold where we aim to infer subsets of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Lorena Romero-Medrano , Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez

Many offline unsupervised change point detection algorithms rely on minimizing a penalized sum of segment-wise costs. We extend this framework by proposing to minimize a sum of discrepancies between segments. In particular, we propose to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-04 Aurélien Serre , Didier Chételat , Andrea Lodi

Accurate estimation of wildlife density is vital for effective ecological monitoring, conservation, and management. Line transect sampling, a central technique in distance sampling, relies on selecting an appropriate detection function to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Midhat M. Edous , Omar M. Eidous

Large amounts of mobility data are being generated from many different sources, and several data mining methods have been proposed for this data. One of the most critical steps for trajectory data mining is segmentation. This task can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-24 Mohammad Etemad , Zahra Etemad , Amilcar Soares , Vania Bogorny , Stan Matwin , Luis Torgo

Binary segmentation, which is sequential in nature is thus far the most widely used method for identifying multiple change points in statistical models. Here we propose a top down methodology called arbitrary segmentation that proceeds in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-12 Abhishek Kaul , Venkata K Jandhyala , Stergios B Fotopoulos

Discrete and especially binary random variables occur in many machine learning models, notably in variational autoencoders with binary latent states and in stochastic binary networks. When learning such models, a key tool is an estimator of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-18 Alexander Shekhovtsov

We investigate the large-sample behavior of change-point tests based on weighted two-sample U-statistics, in the case of short-range dependent data. Under some mild mixing conditions, we establish convergence of the test statistic to an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Herold Dehling , Kata Vuk , Martin Wendler

Structural breaks have been commonly seen in applications. Specifically for detection of change points in time, research gap still remains on the setting in ultra high dimension, where the covariates may bear spurious correlations. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-10 Xin Liu , Liwen Zhang , Zhen Zhang

Changepoint models typically assume the data within each segment are independent and identically distributed conditional on some parameters which change across segments. This construction may be inadequate when data are subject to local…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-10 Karl L. Hallgren , Nicholas A. Heard , Niall M. Adams

We address the problem of detection and estimation of one or two change-points in the mean of a series of random variables. We use the formalism of set estimation in regression: To each point of a design is attached a binary label that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

The development of compact and energy-efficient wearable sensors has led to an increase in the availability of biosignals. To analyze these continuously recorded, and often multidimensional, time series at scale, being able to conduct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Knut J. Strømmen , Jim Tørresen , Ulysse Côté-Allard

This paper proposes different methods to consistently detect multiple breaks in copula-based dependence measures, mainly focusing on Spearman's $\rho$. The leading model is a factor copula model due to its usefulness for analyzing data in…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-13 Marvin Borsch , Alexander Mayer , Dominik Wied

This paper considers the problems of detecting a change point and estimating the location in the correlation matrices of a sequence of high-dimensional vectors, where the dimension is large enough to be comparable to the sample size or even…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-07 Zhaoyuan Li , Jie Gao

Many traditional methods for identifying changepoints can struggle in the presence of outliers, or when the noise is heavy-tailed. Often they will infer additional changepoints in order to fit the outliers. To overcome this problem, data…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-12 Paul Fearnhead , Guillem Rigaill

We study the problem of change point localization in dynamic networks models. We assume that we observe a sequence of independent adjacency matrices of the same size, each corresponding to a realization of an unknown inhomogeneous Bernoulli…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-22 Daren Wang , Yi Yu , Alessandro Rinaldo

To segment a sequence of independent random variables at an unknown number of change-points, we introduce new procedures that are based on thresholding the likelihood ratio statistic. We also study confidence regions based on the likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Xiao Fang , Jian Li , David Siegmund

This paper investigates a novel offline change-point detection problem from an information-theoretic perspective. In contrast to most related works, we assume that the knowledge of the underlying pre- and post-change distributions are not…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Haiyun He , Qiaosheng Zhang , Vincent Y. F. Tan