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In this paper we study the long term evolution of a continuous time Markov chain formed by two interacting birth-and-death processes. The interaction between the processes is modelled by transition rates which are functions with suitable…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-23 Mikhail Menshikov , Vadim Shcherbakov

In many dynamical systems in nature, the law of the dynamics changes along with the temporal evolution of the system. These changes are often associated with the occurrence of certain events. The timing of occurrence of these events…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-12 S. Gallo , G. Iacobelli , G. Ost , D. Y. Takahashi

The spatial symmetry property of truncated birth-death processes studied in Di Crescenzo [6] is extended to a wider family of continuous-time Markov chains. We show that it yields simple expressions for first-passage-time densities and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Annapatrizia Nastro

For Markov chains and Markov processes exhibiting a form of stochastic monotonicity (larger states shift up transition probabilities in terms of stochastic dominance), stability and ergodicity results can be obtained using order-theoretic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Takashi Kamihigashi , John Stachurski

In any Markov chain with finite state space the distribution of transition records always belongs to the exponential family. This observation is used to prove a fluctuation theorem, and to show that the dynamical entropy of a stationary…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Jan Naudts , Erik Van der Straeten

We address a class of Markov jump linear systems that are characterized by the underlying Markov process being time-inhomogeneous with a priori unknown transition probabilities. Necessary and sufficient conditions for uniform stochastic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-11-24 Collin C. Lutz , Daniel J. Stilwell

In many applications, for example when computing statistics of fast subsystems in a multiscale setting, we wish to find the stationary distributions of systems of continuous time Markov chains. Here we present a class of models that appears…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-20 David F. Anderson , Simon L. Cotter

Continuous Time Markov Chain (CMTC) is widely used to describe and analyze systems in several knowledge areas. Steady state availability is one important analysis that can be made through Markov chain formalism that allows researchers…

Performance · Computer Science 2017-01-24 Eduardo M. Vasconcelos

A possibly time-dependent transition intensity matrix or generator $(Q(t))$ characterizes the law of a Markov jump process (MP). For a time homogeneous MP, the transition probability matrix (TPM) can be expressed as a matrix exponential of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Dario Gasbarra , Sangita Kulathinal , Etienne Sebag

Continuous-time Markov chains are frequently used as stochastic models for chemical reaction networks, especially in the growing field of systems biology. A fundamental problem for these Stochastic Chemical Reaction Networks (SCRNs) is to…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-12 Felipe A. Campos , Simone Bruno , Yi Fu , Domitilla Del Vecchio , Ruth J. Williams

This article is concerned with stability analysis and stabilization of randomly switched nonlinear systems. These systems may be regarded as piecewise deterministic stochastic systems: the discrete switches are triggered by a stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-09-08 Debasish Chatterjee , Daniel Liberzon

We establish general theorems quantifying the notion of recurrence --- through an estimation of the moments of passage times --- for irreducible continuous-time Markov chains on countably infinite state spaces. Sharp conditions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Mikhail Menshikov , Dimitri Petritis

This paper extends to Continuous-Time Jump Markov Decision Processes (CTJMDP) the classic result for Markov Decision Processes stating that, for a given initial state distribution, for every policy there is a (randomized) Markov policy,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-18 Eugene A. Feinberg , Manasa Mandava , Albert N. Shiryaev

We study the long time behaviour of a Markov process evolving in $\mathbb{N}$ and conditioned not to hit 0. Assuming that the process comes back quickly from infinity, we prove that the process admits a unique quasi-stationary distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-04 Servet Martinez , Jaime San Martin , Denis Villemonais

The cutoff phenomenon describes a case where a Markov chain exhibits a sharp transition in its convergence to stationarity. In 1996, Diaconis surveyed this phenomenon, and asked how one could recognize its occurrence in families of finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-06 Jian Ding , Eyal Lubetzky , Yuval Peres

The consistency across scales of a recently developed mathematical thermodynamic structure, between a continuous stochastic nonlinear dynamical system (diffusion process with Langevin or Fokker-Planck equations) and its emergent discrete,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-28 Moises Santillan , Hong Qian

We suggest an approach to obtaining general two-sided bounds on the rate of convergence in terms of special "weighted" norms related to total variation. Some important classes of continuous-time Markov chains are considered:…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-15 A. Zeifman , V. Korolev

We consider a continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) whose state space is partitioned into aggregates, and each aggregate is assigned a probability measure. A sufficient condition for defining a CTMC over the aggregates is presented as a…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2013-03-21 Arnab Ganguly , Tatjana Petrov , Heinz Koeppl

Branching processes are a class of continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) prevalent for modeling stochastic population dynamics in ecology, biology, epidemiology, and many other fields. The transient or finite-time behavior of these systems…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-24 Achal Awasthi , Jason Xu

Motivated by the study of the time evolution of random dynamical systems arising in a vast variety of domains --- ranging from physics to ecology ---, we establish conditions for the occurrence of a non-trivial asymptotic behaviour for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Vladimir Belitsky , Mikhail Menshikov , Dimitri Petritis , Marina Vachkovskaia