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Experimental comparisons of performance represent an important aspect of research on optimization algorithms. In this work we present a methodology for defining the required sample sizes for designing experiments with desired statistical…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-10-16 Felipe Campelo , Fernanda Takahashi

Consider a Gaussian nonparametric regression problem having both an unknown mean function and unknown variance function. This article presents a class of difference-based kernel estimators for the variance function. Optimal convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Lawrence D. Brown , M. Levine

Optimization software enables the solution of problems with millions of variables and associated parameters. These parameters are, however, often uncertain and represented with an analytical description of the parameter's distribution or…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-17 John R. Birge

We describe and analyze a variance reduction approach for Monte Carlo (MC) sampling that accelerates the estimation of statistics of computationally expensive simulation models using an ensemble of models with lower cost. These lower cost…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-04 Alex A. Gorodetsky , Gianluca Geraci , Mike Eldred , John D. Jakeman

We consider the problem of estimating the mean of a random vector based on i.i.d. observations and adversarial contamination. We introduce a multivariate extension of the trimmed-mean estimator and show its optimal performance under minimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Gabor Lugosi , Shahar Mendelson

This paper studies transfer learning for estimating the mean of random functions based on discretely sampled data, where, in addition to observations from the target distribution, auxiliary samples from similar but distinct source…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-29 T. Tony Cai , Dongwoo Kim , Hongming Pu

In statistics and machine learning, approximation of an intractable integration is often achieved by using the unbiased Monte Carlo estimator, but the variances of the estimation are generally high in many applications. Control variates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-16 Ruosi Wan , Mingjun Zhong , Haoyi Xiong , Zhanxing Zhu

In experimental design, we are given a large collection of vectors, each with a hidden response value that we assume derives from an underlying linear model, and we wish to pick a small subset of the vectors such that querying the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-05 Michał Dereziński , Kenneth L. Clarkson , Michael W. Mahoney , Manfred K. Warmuth

Recently, we and several other authors have written about the possibilities of using stochastic approximation techniques for fitting variational approximations to intractable Bayesian posterior distributions. Naive implementations of…

Computation · Statistics 2014-01-14 Tim Salimans , David A. Knowles

Evaluating treatments received by one population for application to a different target population of scientific interest is a central problem in causal inference from observational studies. We study the minimax linear estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-01 David A. Hirshberg , Arian Maleki , Jose R. Zubizarreta

We propose a method to remedy finite sample coverage problems and improve upon the efficiency of commonly employed procedures for the construction of nonparametric confidence intervals in regression kink designs. The proposed interval is…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-23 Majed Dodin

Some classical uncertainty quantification problems require the estimation of multiple expectations. Estimating all of them accurately is crucial and can have a major impact on the analysis to perform, and standard existing Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio

For linear systems, many data-driven control methods rely on the behavioral framework, using historical data of the system to predict the future trajectories. However, measurement noise introduces errors in predictions. When the noise is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-29 Baiwei Guo , Yuning Jiang , Colin N. Jones , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

Control variates are a well-established tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimators. However, for large-scale problems including high-dimensional and large-sample settings, their advantages can be outweighed by a substantial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-22 Shijing Si , Chris. J. Oates , Andrew B. Duncan , Lawrence Carin , François-Xavier Briol

For many important problems the quantity of interest is an unknown function of the parameters, which is a random vector with known statistics. Since the dependence of the output on this random vector is unknown, the challenge is to identify…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-28 Themistoklis P. Sapsis

In this paper, we provide a general methodology to draw statistical inferences on individual signal coordinates or linear combinations of them in sparse phase retrieval. Given an initial estimator for the targeting parameter (some simple…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-29 Yisha Yao

In this paper we deal with the regression problem in a random design setting. We investigate asymptotic optimality under minimax point of view of various Bayesian rules based on warped wavelets and show that they nearly attain optimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-21 Thanh Mai Pham Ngoc

We define two minimum distance estimators for dependent data by minimizing some approximated Maximum Mean Discrepancy distances between the true empirical distribution of observations and their assumed (parametric) model distribution. When…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Pierre Alquier , Jean-David Fermanian , Benjamin Poignard

We discuss a general approach to building non-asymptotic confidence bounds for stochastic optimization problems. Our principal contribution is the observation that a Sample Average Approximation of a problem supplies upper and lower bounds…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-13 Vincent Guigues , Anatoli Juditsky , Arkadi Nemirovski

In this paper, we consider asymptotics of the optimal value and the optimal solutions of parametric minimax estimation problems. Specifically, we consider estimators of the optimal value and the optimal solutions in a sample minimax problem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Mika Meitz , Alexander Shapiro