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This paper introduces a consistent estimator and rate of convergence for the precision matrix of asset returns in large portfolios using a non-linear factor model within the deep learning framework. Our estimator remains valid even in low…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-30 Mehmet Caner , Maurizio Daniele

Multilayer networks proved to be suitable in extracting and providing dependency information of different complex systems. The construction of these networks is difficult and is mostly done with a static approach, neglecting time delayed…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-14 Giuseppe Brandi , T. Di Matteo

The issue of data-driven neural network model construction is one of the core problems in the domain of Artificial Intelligence. A standard approach assumes a fixed architecture with trainable weights. A conceptually more advanced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-03 Szymon Świderski , Agnieszka Jastrzębska

We present a deep long short-term memory (LSTM)-based neural network for predicting asset prices, together with a successful trading strategy for generating profits based on the model's predictions. Our work is motivated by the fact that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-09 Chariton Chalvatzis , Dimitrios Hristu-Varsakelis

We present a simulation-and-regression method for solving dynamic portfolio allocation problems in the presence of general transaction costs, liquidity costs and market impacts. This method extends the classical least squares Monte Carlo…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-05 Rongju Zhang , Nicolas Langrené , Yu Tian , Zili Zhu , Fima Klebaner , Kais Hamza

We propose a universal end-to-end framework for portfolio optimization where asset distributions are directly obtained. The designed framework circumvents the traditional forecasting step and avoids the estimation of the covariance matrix,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-18 Chao Zhang , Zihao Zhang , Mihai Cucuringu , Stefan Zohren

This study evaluates deep neural networks for forecasting probability distributions of financial returns. 1D convolutional neural networks (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) architectures are used to forecast parameters of three…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-03 Jakub Michańków

Algorithmic trading or Financial robots have been conquering the stock markets with their ability to fathom complex statistical trading strategies. But with the recent development of deep learning technologies, these strategies are becoming…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-06 Ashish Anil Pawar , Vishnureddy Prashant Muskawar , Ritesh Tiku

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have succeeded in many practical applications. However, their high computation and storage requirements often make them difficult to deploy on resource-constrained devices. In order to tackle this issue,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-14 Tianzong Yu , Chunyuan Zhang , Yuan Wang , Meng Ma , Qi Song

Purpose: We propose a novel method for continual learning based on the increasing depth of neural networks. This work explores whether extending neural network depth may be beneficial in a life-long learning setting. Methods: We propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Jędrzej Kozal , Michał Woźniak

This paper presents a deep reinforcement learning (DRL) framework for dynamic portfolio optimization under market uncertainty and risk. The proposed model integrates a Sharpe ratio-based reward function with direct risk control mechanisms,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-17 Emmanuel Lwele , Sabuni Emmanuel , Sitali Gabriel Sitali

We analyze a fixed-point algorithm for reinforcement learning (RL) of optimal portfolio mean-variance preferences in the setting of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional-heteroskedasticity (MGARCH) with a small penalty on…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-17 Andrew Papanicolaou , Hao Fu , Prashanth Krishnamurthy , Farshad Khorrami

It is a difficult task for both professional investors and individual traders continuously making profit in stock market. With the development of computer science and deep reinforcement learning, Buy\&Hold (B\&H) has been oversteped by many…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-24 Zhishun Wang , Wei Lu , Kaixin Zhang , Tianhao Li , Zixi Zhao

In this paper, we document a novel machine learning based bottom-up approach for static and dynamic portfolio optimization on, potentially, a large number of assets. The methodology applies to general constrained optimization problems and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-24 Qing Yang , Zhenning Hong , Ruyan Tian , Tingting Ye , Liangliang Zhang

Computing risk measures of a financial portfolio comprising thousands of derivatives is a challenging problem because (a) it involves a nested expectation requiring multiple evaluations of the loss of the financial portfolio for different…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-10 Michael B. Giles , Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali

In this article we deal with the problem of portfolio allocation by enhancing network theory tools. We use the dependence structure of the correlations network in constructing some well-known risk-based models in which the estimation of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-14 Gian Paolo Clemente , Rosanna Grassi , Asmerilda Hitaj

Under the Solvency II regime, life insurance companies are asked to derive their solvency capital requirements from the full loss distributions over the coming year. Since the industry is currently far from being endowed with sufficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-06 Anne-Sophie Krah , Zoran Nikolić , Ralf Korn

With the recent advancements in machine learning (ML), artificial neural networks (ANN) are starting to play an increasingly important role in quantitative finance. Dynamic portfolio optimization is among many problems that have…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-18 Yaacov Kopeliovich , Michael Pokojovy

We describe a regression-based method, generally referred to as the Least Squares Monte Carlo (LSMC) method, to speed up exposure calculations of a portfolio. We assume that the portfolio contains several exotic derivatives that are priced…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-18 Yuriy Krepkiy , Asif Lakhany , Amber Zhang

Offline reinforcement-learning (RL) algorithms learn to make decisions using a given, fixed training dataset without online data collection. This problem setting is captivating because it holds the promise of utilizing previously collected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Dan Elbaz , Gal Novik , Oren Salzman