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In this paper, we outline a model of graph (or network) dynamics based on two ingredients. The first ingredient is a Markov chain on the space of possible graphs. The second ingredient is a semi-Markov counting process of renewal type. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-28 Marco Raberto , Fabio Rapallo , Enrico Scalas

Complex networks have played an important role in describing real complex systems since the end of the last century. Recently, research on real-world data sets reports intermittent interaction among social individuals. In this paper, we pay…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Ziyan Zeng , Minyu Feng , Jürgen Kurths

Continuous-time Markov chains describing interacting processes exhibit a state space that grows exponentially in the number of processes. This state-space explosion renders the computation or storage of the time-marginal distribution, which…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Peter Georg , Lars Grasedyck , Maren Klever , Rudolf Schill , Rainer Spang , Tilo Wettig

A discrete time stochastic model for a multiagent system given in terms of a large collection of interacting Markov chains is studied. The evolution of the interacting particles is described through a time inhomogeneous transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-17 Amarjit Budhiraja , Pierre Del Moral , Sylvain Rubenthaler

Inspired from modern out-of-equilibrium statistical physics models, a matrix product based framework permits the formal definition of random vectors (and random time series) whose desired joint distributions are a priori prescribed. Its key…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-03-21 Florian Angeletti , Eric Bertin , Patrice Abry

We develop a general theory of Markov chains realizable as random walks on $\mathscr R$-trivial monoids. It provides explicit and simple formulas for the eigenvalues of the transition matrix, for multiplicities of the eigenvalues via…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2015-03-30 Arvind Ayyer , Anne Schilling , Benjamin Steinberg , Nicolas M. Thiery

We develop numerical and analytical approaches to calculate mutual information between complete paths of two molecular components embedded into a larger reaction network. In particular, we focus on a continuous-time Markov chain formalism,…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-09 Anne-Lena Moor , Christoph Zechner

The application of random-matrix theory (RMT) to compound-nucleus (CN) reactions is reviewed. An introduction into the basic concepts of nuclear scattering theory is followed by a survey of phenomenological approaches to CN scattering. The…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2015-05-18 G. E. Mitchell , A. Richter , H. A. Weidenmueller

Mathematical methods of population genetics and framework of exchangeability provide a Markov chain model for analysis and interpretation of stochastic behaviour of equity markets, explaining, in particular, market shape formation,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-24 Sergey Sosnovskiy

Flowgraph models provide an alternative approach in modeling a multi-state stochastic process. One of the most widely used stochastic processes that have many real-world applications especially in actuarial models is the Markov jump process…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-07 Muhammad Fikri Budiana , Murwan H. M. A. Siddig

The expansion of global production networks has raised many important questions about the interdependence among countries and how future changes in the world economy are likely to affect the countries' positioning in global value chains. We…

General Economics · Economics 2020-05-20 Olivera Kostoska , Viktor Stojkoski , Ljupco Kocarev

From the perspective of probability, the stability of growing network is studied in the present paper. Using the DMS model as an example, we establish a relation between the growing network and Markov process. Based on the concept and…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2008-06-02 Zhenting Hou , Jinying Tong , Dinghua Shi

Structured stochastic processes evolving in continuous time present a widely adopted framework to model phenomena occurring in nature and engineering. However, such models are often chosen to satisfy the Markov property to maintain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-06 Nicolai Engelmann , Dominik Linzner , Heinz Koeppl

Markov chains are a natural and well understood tool for describing one-dimensional patterns in time or space. We show how to infer $k$-th order Markov chains, for arbitrary $k$, from finite data by applying Bayesian methods to both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield , Alfred W. Hubler

In the paper we consider some piecewise deterministic Markov process whose continuous component evolves according to semiflows, which are switched at the jump times of a Poisson process. The associated Markov chain describes the states of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-06 Dawid Czapla , Sander C. Hille , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

Modern methods of simulating molecular systems are based on the mathematical theory of Markov operators with a focus on autonomous equilibrated systems. However, non-autonomous physical systems or non-autonomous simulation processes are…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-09 Alexander Sikorski , Marcus Weber , Christof Schütte

Given a set of snapshots from a temporal network we develop, analyze, and experimentally validate a so-called network interpolation scheme. Our method allows us to build a plausible, albeit random, sequence of graphs that transition between…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-22 Thomas Reeves , Anil Damle , Austin R. Benson

In this work, we characterise the statistics of Markov chains by constructing an associated sequence of periodic differential operators. Studying the density of states of these operators reveals the absolutely continuous invariant measure…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-22 Bryn Davies , Angelica Yu Xiao

When dealing with time series data, causal inference methods often employ structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) processes to model time-evolving random systems. In this work, we rephrase recursive SVAR processes with possible latent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-19 Nicolas-Domenic Reiter , Andreas Gerhardus , Jonas Wahl , Jakob Runge

This paper considers a network of stochastic evidence accumulators, each represented by a drift-diffusion model accruing evidence towards a decision in continuous time by observing a noisy signal and by exchanging information with other…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-10-17 Ioannis Poulakakis , Luca Scardovi , Naomi Ehrich Leonard
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