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Expectation maximization (EM) is a technique for estimating maximum-likelihood parameters of a latent variable model given observed data by alternating between taking expectations of sufficient statistics, and maximizing the expected log…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-10 Donna Henderson , Gerton Lunter

In this paper, a sampling-based Stochastic Model Predictive Control algorithm is proposed for discrete-time linear systems subject to both parametric uncertainties and additive disturbances. One of the main drivers for the development of…

We investigate nonlinear prediction/regression in an online setting and introduce a hybrid model that effectively mitigates, via a joint mechanism through a state space formulation, the need for domain-specific feature engineering issues of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-20 Mustafa E. Aydın , Arda Fazla , Suleyman S. Kozat

A method that uses order statistics to construct multivariate distributions with fixed marginals and which utilizes a representation of the Bernstein copula in terms of a finite mixture distribution is proposed. Expectation-maximization…

Computation · Statistics 2014-01-16 Xiaoling Dou , Satoshi Kuriki , Gwo Dong Lin , Donald Richards

Nonparametric varying coefficient (NVC) models are useful for modeling time-varying effects on responses that are measured repeatedly for the same subjects. When the number of covariates is moderate or large, it is desirable to perform…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-19 Ray Bai , Mary R. Boland , Yong Chen

State estimation is key to both analyzing physical mechanisms and enabling real-time control of fluid flows. A common estimation approach is to relate sensor measurements to a reduced state governed by a reduced-order model (ROM). (When…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-06-10 Nirmal J. Nair , Andres Goza

This article attempts to summarize the effort by the particle physics community in addressing the tedious work of determining the parameter spaces of beyond-the-standard-model (BSM) scenarios, allowed by data. These spaces, typically…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-01-30 Rajneil Baruah , Subhadeep Mondal , Sunando Kumar Patra , Satyajit Roy

The task of state estimation in active distribution systems faces a major challenge due to the integration of different measurements with multiple reporting rates. As a result, distribution systems are essentially unobservable in real time,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-13 J. G. De la Varga , S. Pineda , J. M. Morales , Á. Porras

Spatial generalized linear mixed models (SGLMMs) are popular and flexible models for non-Gaussian spatial data. They are useful for spatial interpolations as well as for fitting regression models that account for spatial dependence, and are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Yawen Guan , Murali Haran

Time series analysis by state-space models is widely used in forecasting and extracting unobservable components like level, slope, and seasonality, along with explanatory variables. However, their reliance on traditional Kalman filtering…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-20 André Ramos , Davi Valladão , Alexandre Street

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) has gained popularity as a method for conducting inference and forecasting in complex models, most notably those which are intractable in some sense. In this paper we use ABC to produce probabilistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-03 Chaya Weerasinghe , Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Gael M. Martin , David T. Frazier

Hidden Markov models can describe time series arising in various fields of science, by treating the data as noisy measurements of an arbitrarily complex Markov process. Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods have become standard tools to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-19 Pierre E. Jacob

Calibration of expensive simulation models involves an emulator based on simulation outputs generated across various parameter settings to replace the actual model. Noisy outputs of stochastic simulation models require many simulation…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-08 Özge Sürer

Mobile technology (e.g., mobile phones and wearable devices) provides scalable methods for collecting physiological and behavioral biomarkers in patients' naturalistic settings, as well as opportunities for therapeutic advancements and…

This paper addresses the problem of estimating the modes of an observed non-stationary mixture signal in the presence of an arbitrary distributed noise. A novel Bayesian model is introduced to estimate the model parameters from the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-31 Quentin Legros , Dominique Fourer , Sylvain Meignen , Marcelo A. Colominas

The linear model uses the space defined by the input to project the target or desired signal and find the optimal set of model parameters. When the problem is nonlinear, the adaption requires nonlinear models for good performance, but it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-05 Zhengda Qin , Badong Chen , Nanning Zheng , Jose C. Principe

Interval-censored multi state data is collected when the state of a subject is observed periodically. The analysis of such data using non-parametric multi-state models was not possible until recently, but is very desirable as it allows for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Daniel Gomon , Hein Putter

Multi-sensor state space models underpin fusion applications in networks of sensors. Estimation of latent parameters in these models has the potential to provide highly desirable capabilities such as network self-calibration. Conventional…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-01-04 Murat Uney , Bernard Mulgrew , Daniel E Clark

Uncertainty in optimization is often represented as stochastic parameters in the optimization model. In Predict-Then-Optimize approaches, predictions of a machine learning model are used as values for such parameters, effectively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Pieter Smet

Accurate, efficient, and robust state estimation is more important than ever in robotics as the variety of platforms and complexity of tasks continue to grow. Historically, discrete-time filters and smoothers have been the dominant…

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