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Researchers across the health and social sciences generally assume that observations are independent, even while relying on convenience samples that draw subjects from one or a small number of communities, schools, hospitals, etc. A…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-25 Youjin Lee , Elizabeth L. Ogburn

Inferring the causal structure that links n observables is usually based upon detecting statistical dependences and choosing simple graphs that make the joint measure Markovian. Here we argue why causal inference is also possible when only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-04-24 Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Schoelkopf

Real causal processes may contain feedback loops and change over time. In this paper, we model cycles and non-stationary distributions using a mixture of directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). We then study the conditional independence (CI)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-16 Eric V. Strobl

Social science theories often postulate causal relationships among a set of variables or events. Although directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) are increasingly used to represent these theories, their full potential has not yet been realized in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-17 Sourabh Balgi , Adel Daoud , Jose M. Peña , Geoffrey T. Wodtke , Jesse Zhou

In this paper we study $d$-dependent random graphs -- introduced by Brody and Sanchez -- which are the family of random graph distributions where each edge is present with probability $p$, and each edge is independent of all but at most $d$…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Joshua Brody , Pat Devlin , Aditi Dudeja , Emmi Rivkin

A set of independence statements may define the independence structure of interest in a family of joint probability distributions. This structure is often captured by a graph that consists of nodes representing the random variables and of…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-15 Nanny Wermuth

Assessing the accuracy of the output of causal discovery algorithms is crucial in developing and comparing novel methods. Common evaluation metrics such as the structural Hamming distance are useful for assessing individual links of causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-07 Jonas Wahl , Jakob Runge

This work initiates a systematic investigation of testing high-dimensional structured distributions by focusing on testing Bayesian networks -- the prototypical family of directed graphical models. A Bayesian network is defined by a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Clement Canonne , Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel Kane , Alistair Stewart

Random directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) based on imposing an order on Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi and scale free random graphs are widely used for evaluating causal discovery algorithms. We show that in such DAGs, the set of nodes reachable via open…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Alexander G. Reisach , Antoine Chambaz , Gilles Blanchard , Sebastian Weichwald

\emph{Full-bond percolation} with parameter $p$ is the process in which, given a graph, for every edge independently, we delete the edge with probability $1-p$. Bond percolation is motivated by problems in mathematical physics and it is…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-23 Luca Becchetti , Andrea Clementi , Francesco Pasquale , Luca Trevisan , Isabella Ziccardi

Whereas acausal Bayesian networks represent probabilistic independence, causal Bayesian networks represent causal relationships. In this paper, we examine Bayesian methods for learning both types of networks. Bayesian methods for learning…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-05-19 David Heckerman

We propose a constraint-based algorithm, which automatically determines causal relevance thresholds, to infer causal networks from data. We call these topological thresholds. We present two methods for determining the threshold: the first…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-24 Filipe Barroso , Diogo Gomes , Gareth J. Baxter

Traditionally, statistical and causal inference on human subjects rely on the assumption that individuals are independently affected by treatments or exposures. However, recently there has been increasing interest in settings, such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-25 Elizabeth L. Ogburn , Ilya Shpitser , Youjin Lee

Motivated by an application in community detection, we consider an \ER random graph conditioned on the rare event that all connected components are fully connected. Such graphs can be considered as partitions of vertices into cliques.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Martijn Gösgens , Lukas Lüchtrath , Elena Magnanini , Marc Noy , Élie de Panafieu

Directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) are used for modeling causal relationships, dependencies, and flows in various systems. However, spectral analysis becomes impractical in this setting because the eigendecomposition of the adjacency matrix…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Ljubisa Stankovic , Milos Dakovic , Ali Bagheri Bardi , Milos Brajovic , Isidora Stankovic

Recent work in mathematical neuroscience has calculated the directed graph homology of the directed simplicial complex given by the brains sparse adjacency graph, the so called connectome. These biological connectomes show an abundance of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-01-30 Florian Unger , Jonathan Krebs , Michael G. Müller

Causal discovery from observational data is a challenging task that can only be solved up to a set of equivalent solutions, called an equivalence class. Such classes, which are often large in size, encode uncertainties about the orientation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Philippe Brouillard , Perouz Taslakian , Alexandre Lacoste , Sebastien Lachapelle , Alexandre Drouin

Causal effect identification using causal graphs is a fundamental challenge in causal inference. While extensive research has been conducted in this area, most existing methods assume the availability of fully specified directed acyclic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Simon Ferreira , Charles K. Assaad

We present a graphical criterion for reading dependencies from the minimal directed independence map G of a graphoid p when G is a polytree and p satisfies composition and weak transitivity. We prove that the criterion is sound and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Jose M. Pena

Two landmark results in combinatorial random matrix theory, due to Koml\'os and Costello-Tao-Vu, show that discrete random matrices and symmetric discrete random matrices are typically nonsingular. In particular, in the language of graph…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-03-10 Margalit Glasgow , Matthew Kwan , Ashwin Sah , Mehtaab Sawhney