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Particle dynamics and multi-agent systems provide accurate dynamical models for studying and forecasting the behavior of complex interacting systems. They often take the form of a high-dimensional system of differential equations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-09 Yuxuan Liu , Scott G. McCalla , Hayden Schaeffer

Stochastic dynamic matching problems have recently gained attention in the stochastic-modeling community due to their diverse applications, such as supply-chain management and kidney exchange programs. In this paper, we study a matching…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Céline Comte , Fabien Mathieu , Sushil Mahavir Varma , Ana Bušić

Finding interactions between variables in large and high-dimensional datasets is often a serious computational challenge. Most approaches build up interaction sets incrementally, adding variables in a greedy fashion. The drawback is that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-27 Rajen Dinesh Shah , Nicolai Meinshausen

A version of the time-parallel algorithm parareal is analyzed and applied to stochastic models in chemical kinetics. A fast predictor at the macroscopic scale (evaluated in serial) is available in the form of the usual reaction rate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2009-09-16 Stefan Engblom

Point process modeling is gaining increasing attention, as point process type data are emerging in numerous scientific applications. In this article, motivated by a neuronal spike trains study, we propose a novel point process regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-10 Xiwei Tang , Lexin Li

The class of Gibbs point processes (GPP) is a large class of spatial point processes able to model both clustered and repulsive point patterns. They are specified by their conditional intensity, which for a point pattern $\mathbf{x}$ and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Ismaïla Ba , Jean-François Coeurjolly , Francisco Cuevas-Pacheco

This paper deals with the problem of estimating second-order parameter sensitivities for stochastic reaction networks, where the reaction dynamics is modeled as a continuous time Markov chain over a discrete state space. Estimation of such…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-29 Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash

The conditional intensity (CI) of a counting process $Y_t$ is based on the minimal knowledge $\mathcal{F}_t^Y$, i.e., on the observation of $Y_t$ alone. Prominently, the mutual information rate of a signal and its Poisson channel output is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-17 Mark Sinzger-D'Angelo , Heinz Koeppl

We introduce a Gaussian process model of functions which are additive. An additive function is one which decomposes into a sum of low-dimensional functions, each depending on only a subset of the input variables. Additive GPs generalize…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-12-20 David Duvenaud , Hannes Nickisch , Carl Edward Rasmussen

The Cox process is a stochastic process which generalises the Poisson process by letting the underlying intensity function itself be a stochastic process. In this paper we present a fast Bayesian inference scheme for the permanental…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-07 Christian J. Walder , Adrian N. Bishop

Data analysis in science, e.g., high-energy particle physics, is often subject to an intractable likelihood if the observables and observations span a high-dimensional input space. Typically the problem is solved by reducing the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-01-14 Stefan Wunsch , Simon Jörger , Roger Wolf , Günter Quast

We study finite horizon optimal switching problems for hidden Markov chain models under partially observable Poisson processes. The controller possesses a finite range of strategies and attempts to track the state of the unobserved state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-05-22 Erhan Bayraktar , Mike Ludkovski

Recent advances in local models for point processes have highlighted the need for flexible methodologies to account for the spatial heterogeneity of external covariates influencing process intensity. In this work, we introduce tessellated…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-11 Nicoletta D'Angelo

With the increasing penetration of high-frequency sensors across a number of biological and physical systems, the abundance of the resulting observations offers opportunities for higher statistical accuracy of down-stream estimates, but…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-06 Shushu Zhang , Vivak Patel

Modelling random dynamical systems in continuous time, diffusion processes are a powerful tool in many areas of science. Model parameters can be estimated from time-discretely observed processes using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-12 Susanne Pieschner , Christiane Fuchs

Model predictive control strategies require to solve in an sequential manner, many, possibly non-convex, optimization problems. In this work, we propose an interacting stochastic agent system to solve those problems. The agents evolve in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-21 Giacomo Borghi , Michael Herty

Simulating samples from arbitrary probability distributions is a major research program of statistical computing. Recent work has shown promise in an old idea, that sampling from a discrete distribution can be accomplished by perturbing and…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-13 Chris J. Maddison

Point pattern data often exhibit features such as abrupt changes, hotspots and spatially varying dependence in local intensity. Under a Poisson process framework, these correspond to discontinuities and nonstationarity in the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-24 Izabel Nolau , Flávio B. Gonçalves , Dani Gamerman

Presence-only data, point locations where a species has been recorded as being present, are often used in modeling the distribution of a species as a function of a set of explanatory variables---whether to map species occurrence, to…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-16 David I. Warton , Leah C. Shepherd

The authors present a method of indicator random processes, applicable to constructing models of jump processes associated with diffusion process. Indicator random processes are processes that take only two values: 1 and 0, in accordance…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Valery Doobko , Elena Karachanskaya