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A deep-learning-based surrogate model is developed and applied for predicting dynamic subsurface flow in channelized geological models. The surrogate model is based on deep convolutional and recurrent neural network architectures,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-20 Meng Tang , Yimin Liu , Louis J. Durlofsky

One way to interject knowledge into clinically impactful forecasting is to use data assimilation, a nonlinear regression that projects data onto a mechanistic physiologic model, instead of a set of functions, such as neural networks. Such…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-07 DJ Albers , M Levine , L Mamykina , G Hripcsak

A promising approach to improve climate-model simulations is to replace traditional subgrid parameterizations based on simplified physical models by machine learning algorithms that are data-driven. However, neural networks (NNs) often lead…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-04-07 Janni Yuval , Paul A. O'Gorman , Chris N. Hill

In the context of the energy transition, with increasing integration of renewable sources and cross-border electricity exchanges, power grids are encountering greater uncertainty and operational risk. Maintaining grid stability under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Milad Leyli-abadi , Antoine Marot , Jérôme Picault

This chapter provides various perspective on an important challenge in data assimilation: model error. While the overall goal is to understand the implication of model error of any type in data assimilation, we emphasize on the effect of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-07-02 John Harlim

This paper presents a novel centralized, variational data assimilation approach for calibrating transient dynamic models in electrical power systems, focusing on load model parameters. With the increasing importance of inverter-based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-15 Ahmed Attia , D. Adrian Maldonado , Emil Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

Data assimilation algorithms estimate the state of a dynamical system from partial observations, where the successful performance of these algorithms hinges on costly parameter tuning and on employing an accurate model for the dynamics.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Melissa Adrian , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Rebecca Willett

Recent studies have shown that it is possible to combine machine learning methods with data assimilation to reconstruct a dynamical system using only sparse and noisy observations of that system. The same approach can be used to correct the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-09 Alban Farchi , Marc Bocquet , Patrick Laloyaux , Massimo Bonavita , Quentin Malartic

The spread of machine learning techniques coupled with the availability of high-quality experimental and numerical data has significantly advanced numerous applications in fluid mechanics. Notable among these are the development of data…

In meteorology, engineering and computer sciences, data assimilation is routinely employed as the optimal way to combine noisy observations with prior model information for obtaining better estimates of a state, and thus better forecasts,…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-08-12 M. J. Werner , K. Ide , D. Sornette

Physical parameterizations are used as representations of unresolved subgrid processes within weather and global climate models or coarse-scale turbulent models, whose resolutions are too coarse to resolve small-scale processes. These…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-27 Mohamed Aziz Bhouri , Pierre Gentine

Fast assimilation of monitoring data to update forecasts of pressure buildup and carbon dioxide (CO2) plume migration under geologic uncertainties is a challenging problem in geologic carbon storage. The high computational cost of data…

The accuracy of simulation-based forecasting in chaotic systems is heavily dependent on high-quality estimates of the system state at the time the forecast is initialized. Data assimilation methods are used to infer these initial conditions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Michael McCabe , Jed Brown

Chaos is ubiquitous in physical systems. The associated sensitivity to initial conditions is a significant obstacle in forecasting the weather and other geophysical fluid flows. Data assimilation is the process whereby the uncertainty in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-11-03 Alberto Carrassi , Marc Bocquet , Jonathan Demaeyer , Colin Grudzien , Patrick Raanes , Stephane Vannitsem

In this article we develop further an algorithm for data assimilation based upon a shadowing refinement technique [de Leeuw et al., SIAM J. Appl. Dyn. Sys., 17 (2018)] to take partial observations into account. Our method is based on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-13 Bart de Leeuw , Svetlana Dubinkina

Data-driven prediction and physics-agnostic machine-learning methods have attracted increased interest in recent years achieving forecast horizons going well beyond those to be expected for chaotic dynamical systems. In a separate strand of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-05-19 Georg A. Gottwald , Sebastian Reich

The assimilation and prediction of phase-resolved surface gravity waves are critical challenges in ocean science and engineering. Potential flow theory (PFT) has been widely employed to develop wave models and numerical techniques for wave…

We introduce a score-filter-enhanced data assimilation framework designed to reduce predictive uncertainty in machine learning (ML) models for data-driven dynamical system forecasting. Machine learning serves as an efficient numerical model…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Jingqiao Tang , Ryan Bausback , Feng Bao , Guannan Zhang , Phuoc-Toan Huynh

The potential for data-driven applications to scale-resolving simulations of turbulent flows is assessed herein. Multigrid sequential data assimilation algorithms have been used to calibrate solvers for Large Eddy Simulation for the…

Lagrangian data assimilation of complex nonlinear turbulent flows is an important but computationally challenging topic. In this article, an efficient data-driven statistically accurate reduced-order modeling algorithm is developed that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-02 Nan Chen , Shubin Fu , Georgy E Manucharyan