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We study prediction intervals based on leave-one-out residuals in a linear regression model where the number of explanatory variables can be large compared to sample size. We establish uniform asymptotic validity (conditional on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-19 Lukas Steinberger , Hannes Leeb

We introduce a new test for conditional independence which is based on what we call the weighted generalised covariance measure (WGCM). It is an extension of the recently introduced generalised covariance measure (GCM). To test the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-17 Cyrill Scheidegger , Julia Hörrmann , Peter Bühlmann

Randomization tests and flexible treatment-effect models offer complementary strengths for analyzing data from randomized panel experiments: the former provide valid inference under the known assignment mechanism, while the latter can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Fangnan Zheng , Yao Zhang

In this paper, we address conditional testing problems through the conformal inference framework. We define the localized conformal p-values by inverting prediction intervals and prove their theoretical properties. These defined p-values…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-26 Xiaoyang Wu , Lin Lu , Zhaojun Wang , Changliang Zou

Generalized Chinese Remainder Theorem (CRT) has been shown to be a powerful approach to solve the ambiguity resolution problem. However, with its close relationship to number theory, study in this area is mainly from a coding theory…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-29 Nan Du , Zhikang Wang , Hanshen Xiao

What can be considered an appropriate statistical method for the primary analysis of a randomized clinical trial (RCT) with a time-to-event endpoint when we anticipate non-proportional hazards owing to a delayed effect? This question has…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-18 José L. Jiménez , Isobel Barrott , Francesca Gasperoni , Dominic Magirr

The instability in the selection of models is a major concern with data sets containing a large number of covariates. This paper deals with variable selection methodology in the case of high-dimensional problems where the response variable…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-23 Marie Walschaerts , Eve Leconte , Philippe Besse

Attrition is a common occurrence in cluster randomised trials (CRTs) which leads to missing outcome data. Two approaches for analysing such trials are cluster-level analysis and individual-level analysis. This paper compares the performance…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-15 Anower Hossain , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Jonathan W. Bartlett

Covariance regression analysis is an approach to linking the covariance of responses to a set of explanatory variables $X$, where $X$ can be a vector, matrix, or tensor. Most of the literature on this topic focuses on the "Fixed-$X$"…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Tao Zou , Wei Lan , Runze Li , Chih-Ling Tsai

Leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO) and the widely applicable information criterion (WAIC) are methods for estimating pointwise out-of-sample prediction accuracy from a fitted Bayesian model using the log-likelihood evaluated at the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-18 Aki Vehtari , Andrew Gelman , Jonah Gabry

Cellwise outliers are widespread in data and traditional robust methods may fail when applied to datasets under such contamination. We propose a variable selection procedure, that uses a pairwise robust estimator to obtain an initial…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Peng Su , Garth Tarr , Samuel Muller

Covariate shift relaxes the widely-employed independent and identically distributed (IID) assumption by allowing different training and testing input distributions. Unfortunately, common methods for addressing covariate shift by trying to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-02 Anqi Liu , Brian D. Ziebart

Test of independence plays a fundamental role in many statistical techniques. Among the nonparametric approaches, the distance-based methods (such as the distance correlation based hypotheses testing for independence) have numerous…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-24 Cheng Huang , Xiaoming Huo

The lasso procedure is ubiquitous in the statistical and signal processing literature, and as such, is the target of substantial theoretical and applied research. While much of this research focuses on the desirable properties that lasso…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-06 Darren Homrighausen , Daniel J. McDonald

A core strength of knockoff methods is their virtually limitless customizability, allowing an analyst to exploit machine learning algorithms and domain knowledge without threatening the method's robust finite-sample false discovery rate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-15 Xiao Li , William Fithian

Power and reproducibility are key to enabling refined scientific discoveries in contemporary big data applications with general high-dimensional nonlinear models. In this paper, we provide theoretical foundations on the power and robustness…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-04 Yingying Fan , Emre Demirkaya , Gaorong Li , Jinchi Lv

$P$-values that are derived from continuously distributed test statistics are typically uniformly distributed on $(0,1)$ under least favorable parameter configurations (LFCs) in the null hypothesis. Conservativeness of a $p$-value $P$…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-13 Daniel Ochieng , Anh-Tuan Hoang , Thorsten Dickhaus

Given data $\mathbf{y}$ and $k$ covariates $\mathbf{x}_j$ one problem in linear regression is to decide which if any of the covariates to include when regressing the dependent variable $\mathbf{y}$ on the covariates $\mathbf{x}_j$. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-02 Laurie Davies

Conditional independence testing (CIT) is a common task in machine learning, e.g., for variable selection, and a main component of constraint-based causal discovery. While most current CIT approaches assume that all variables are numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Oana-Iuliana Popescu , Andreas Gerhardus , Jakob Runge

Probabilistic modelling of power systems operation and planning processes depends on data-driven methods, which require sufficiently large datasets. When historical data lacks this, it is desired to model the underlying data generation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-26 Kutay Bölat , Simon H. Tindemans , Peter Palensky
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