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We present a machine learning approach for the aftershock forecasting of Japanese earthquake catalogue from 2015 to 2019. Our method takes as sole input the ground surface deformation as measured by Global Positioning System (GPS) stations…

Statistical inference for time series such as curve estimation for time-varying models or testing for existence of change-point have garnered significant attention. However, these works are generally restricted to the assumption of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-08 Soham Bonnerjee , Sayar Karmakar , Wei Biao Wu

Bayesian inference applied to microseismic activity monitoring allows the accurate location of microseismic events from recorded seismograms and the estimation of the associated uncertainties. However, the forward modelling of these…

Landslide susceptibility prediction has always been an important and challenging content. However, there are some uncertain problems to be solved in susceptibility modeling, such as the error of landslide samples and the complex nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Li Zhu , Lekai Liu , Changshi Yu

Accurate prediction of network-wide traffic conditions is essential for intelligent transportation systems. In the last decade, machine learning techniques have been widely used for this task, resulting in state-of-the-art performance. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Lei Lin , Weizi Li , Lei Zhu

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a popular model for spatially referenced data and allow descriptive statements, predictions at new locations, and simulation of new fields. Often a few parameters are sufficient to parameterize the covariance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-01 Florian Gerber , Douglas W. Nychka

Over the past decade, a number of algorithms for full-field elastic strain estimation from neutron and X-ray measurements have been published. Many of the recently published algorithms rely on modelling the unknown strain field as a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-07-10 A. W. T. Gregg , J. N. Hendriks , C. M. Wensrich , N. O'Dell

We put forward a new Bayesian modeling strategy for spatiotemporal count data that enables efficient posterior sampling. Most previous models for such data decompose logarithms of the response Poisson rates into fixed effects and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

Bayesian inference for high-dimensional inverse problems is computationally costly and requires selecting a suitable prior distribution. Amortized variational inference addresses these challenges via a neural network that approximates the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-19 Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti , Rafael Orozco , Felix J. Herrmann

In recent years, image recognition method has been a research hotspot in various fields such as video surveillance, biometric identification, unmanned vehicles, human-computer interaction, and medical image recognition. Existing recognition…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Yunzhi Jin , Yanqing Zhang , Niansheng Tang

We present a new method to approximate posterior probabilities of Bayesian Network using Deep Neural Network. Experiment results on several public Bayesian Network datasets shows that Deep Neural Network is capable of learning joint…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-12 Jie Jia , Honggang Zhou , Yunchun Li

The generalized Gauss-Newton (GGN) approximation is often used to make practical Bayesian deep learning approaches scalable by replacing a second order derivative with a product of first order derivatives. In this paper we argue that the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-26 Alexander Immer , Maciej Korzepa , Matthias Bauer

In the context of ground robot navigation in unstructured hazardous environments, the coupling of efficient path planning with an adequate environment representation is a crucial topic in order to guarantee the robot safety while ensuring…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Quentin Serdel , Julien Marzat , Julien Moras

The performance of tracking algorithms strongly depends on the chosen model assumptions regarding the target dynamics. If there is a strong mismatch between the chosen model and the true object motion, the track quality may be poor or the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-15 Isabel Schlangen , André Brandenburger , Mengwei Sun , James R. Hopgood

Although spatial prediction is widely used for urban and environmental monitoring, its accuracy is often unsatisfactory if only a small number of samples are available in the study area. The objective of this study was to improve the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-22 Daisuke Murakami , Mami Kajita , Seiji Kajita

Grasping objects is one of the most important abilities that a robot needs to master in order to interact with its environment. Current state-of-the-art methods rely on deep neural networks trained to jointly predict a graspability score…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-04-01 Amaury Depierre , Emmanuel Dellandréa , Liming Chen

Autonomous vehicle navigation in shared pedestrian environments requires the ability to predict future crowd motion both accurately and with minimal delay. Understanding the uncertainty of the prediction is also crucial. Most existing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Kunming Li , Stuart Eiffert , Mao Shan , Francisco Gomez-Donoso , Stewart Worrall , Eduardo Nebot

High dimensional time series are endemic in applications of machine learning such as robotics (sensor data), computational biology (gene expression data), vision (video sequences) and graphics (motion capture data). Practical nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-07-26 Andreas C. Damianou , Michalis K. Titsias , Neil D. Lawrence

Methods for accurate prediction of radio signal quality parameters are crucial for optimization of mobile networks, and a necessity for future autonomous driving solutions. The power-distance relation of current empirical models struggles…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Jakob Thrane , Benjamin Sliwa , Christian Wietfeld , Henrik Christiansen

We present and test a sequential learning algorithm for the short-term prediction of human mobility. This novel approach pairs the Exponential Weights forecaster with a very large ensemble of experts. The experts are individual sequence…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-23 Bartosz Hawelka , Izabela Sitko , Pavlos Kazakopoulos , Euro Beinat