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Constructing tests or confidence regions that control over the error rates in the long-run is probably one of the most important problem in statistics. Yet, the theoretical justification for most methods in statistics is asymptotic. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-23 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

Differential privacy guarantees allow the results of a statistical analysis involving sensitive data to be released without compromising the privacy of any individual taking part. Achieving such guarantees generally requires the injection…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-31 Jack Jewson , Sahra Ghalebikesabi , Chris Holmes

Differential privacy is a mathematical concept that provides an information-theoretic security guarantee. While differential privacy has emerged as a de facto standard for guaranteeing privacy in data sharing, the known mechanisms to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-03-26 March Boedihardjo , Thomas Strohmer , Roman Vershynin

Robust optimization provides a principled framework for decision-making under uncertainty, with broad applications in finance, engineering, and operations research. In portfolio optimization, uncertainty in expected returns and covariances…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Daniel Cunha Oliveira , Grover Guzman , Nick Firoozye

Bootstrap smoothed (bagged) estimators have been proposed as an improvement on estimators found after preliminary data-based model selection. Efron, 2014, derived a widely applicable formula for a delta method approximation to the standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-11 Paul Kabaila , Christeen Wijethunga

This paper proposes new methodologies for conducting practical differentially private (DP) estimation and inference in high-dimensional linear regression. We first introduce a DP Bayesian Information Criterion (DP-BIC) for selecting the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Zhanrui Cai , Sai Li , Xintao Xia , Linjun Zhang

The bootstrap is a method for estimating the distribution of an estimator or test statistic by re-sampling the data or a model estimated from the data. Under conditions that hold in a wide variety of econometric applications, the bootstrap…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-09-12 Joel L. Horowitz

Differential Privacy (DP) provides a rigorous framework for releasing statistics while protecting individual information present in a dataset. Although substantial progress has been made on differentially private linear regression, existing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Getoar Sopa , Marco Avella Medina , Cynthia Rush

Obtaining accurate estimates of machine learning model uncertainties on newly predicted data is essential for understanding the accuracy of the model and whether its predictions can be trusted. A common approach to such uncertainty…

We propose a methodology for constructing confidence regions with partially identified models of general form. The region is obtained by inverting a test of internal consistency of the econometric structure. We develop a dilation bootstrap…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-10 Alfred Galichon , Marc Henry

Deep learning models have significantly improved prediction accuracy in various fields, gaining recognition across numerous disciplines. Yet, an aspect of deep learning that remains insufficiently addressed is the assessment of prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-18 Asaf Ben Arie , Malka Gorfine

We show that, when the double bootstrap is used to improve performance of bootstrap methods for bias correction, techniques based on using a single double-bootstrap sample for each single-bootstrap sample can be particularly effective. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-12 Jinyuan Chang , Peter Hall

Estimating causal effects from large experimental and observational data has become increasingly prevalent in both industry and research. The bootstrap is an intuitive and powerful technique used to construct standard errors and confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-07 Matthew Kosko , Lin Wang , Michele Santacatterina

Confidence intervals for the population mean of normally distributed data are some of the most standard statistical outputs one might want from a database. In this work we give practical differentially private algorithms for this task. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-09 Wenxin Du , Canyon Foot , Monica Moniot , Andrew Bray , Adam Groce

Consider $M$-estimation in a semiparametric model that is characterized by a Euclidean parameter of interest and an infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter. As a general purpose approach to statistical inferences, the bootstrap has found…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-04 Guang Cheng , Jianhua Z. Huang

Reliable uncertainty quantification remains a central challenge in predictive modeling. While Bayesian methods are theoretically appealing, their predictive intervals can exhibit poor frequentist calibration, particularly with small sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Graham Gibson

Many machine learning applications are based on data collected from people, such as their tastes and behaviour as well as biological traits and genetic data. Regardless of how important the application might be, one has to make sure…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-11 Joonas Jälkö , Onur Dikmen , Antti Honkela

When releasing binary proportions computed using sensitive data, several government agencies and other data stewards protect confidentiality of the underlying values by ensuring the released statistics satisfy differential privacy.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-06 Hsuan-Chen Kao , Jerome P. Reiter

Cross-validation is a widely used technique for evaluating the performance of prediction models, ranging from simple binary classification to complex precision medicine strategies. It helps correct for optimism bias in error estimates,…

This paper investigates bootstrap-based bias correction of semiparametric estimators of the long memory parameter, $d$, in fractionally integrated processes. The re-sampling method involves the application of the sieve bootstrap to data…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-08 Don S. Poskitt , Gael M. Martin , Simone D. Grose