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We consider a Bayesian method for simultaneous quantile regression on a real variable. By monotone transformation, we can make both the response variable and the predictor variable take values in the unit interval. A representation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-08 Priyam Das , Subhashis Ghoshal

Forecasting in probabilistic time series is a complex endeavor that extends beyond predicting future values to also quantifying the uncertainty inherent in these predictions. Gaussian process regression stands out as a Bayesian machine…

Choosing between classical and Bayesian sparse regression methods involves a real trade-off: penalized estimators like Lasso run in milliseconds but give no uncertainty estimates,while Horseshoe and Spike-and-Slab priors produce full…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Hao Xiao

The increasing demand for electricity and the need for clean energy sources have increased solar energy use. Accurate forecasts of solar energy are required for easy management of the grid. This paper compares the accuracy of two Gaussian…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-13 Edina Chandiwana , Caston Sigauke , Alphonce Bere

As an alternative to variable selection or shrinkage in high dimensional regression, we propose to randomly compress the predictors prior to analysis. This dramatically reduces storage and computational bottlenecks, performing well when the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-03-26 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , David B. Dunson

In applied Bayesian inference scenarios, users may have access to a large number of pre-existing model evaluations, for example from maximum-a-posteriori (MAP) optimization runs. However, traditional approximate inference techniques make…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-24 Chengkun Li , Grégoire Clarté , Martin Jørgensen , Luigi Acerbi

Quantile regression continues to increase in usage, providing a useful alternative to customary mean regression. Primary implementation takes the form of so-called multiple quantile regression, creating a separate regression for each…

Deep learning's immense capabilities are often constrained by the complexity of its models, leading to an increasing demand for effective sparsification techniques. Bayesian sparsification for deep learning emerges as a crucial approach,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-30 Dimitrije Marković , Karl J. Friston , Stefan J. Kiebel

Quantile regression (QR) is now widely used to analyze the effect of covariates on the conditional distribution of a response variable. It provides a more comprehensive picture of the relationship between a response and covariates compared…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Wenwu Gao , Dongyi Zheng , Hanbing Zhu

The advantages of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) are exploited to develop parameter estimation and model selection methods for GARCH (Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) style models. It provides an alternative method…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-06 Dan Li , Adam Clements , Christopher Drovandi

We propose nonparametric Bayesian estimators for causal inference exploiting Regression Discontinuity/Kink (RD/RK) under sharp and fuzzy designs. Our estimators are based on Gaussian Process (GP) regression and classification. The GP…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-01 Ximing Wu

This article proposes a Bayesian approach to regression with a scalar response against vector and tensor covariates. Tensor covariates are commonly vectorized prior to analysis, failing to exploit the structure of the tensor, and resulting…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-23 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , Shaan Qamar , David B. Dunson

High-dimensional spatially correlated covariates are common in regression models encountered in environmental sciences and other fields. In such models, the regression coefficients often exhibit a sparse structure with spatial dependence.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Zihan Zhu , Xueying Tang , Shuang Zhou

The horseshoe prior, a widely used handy alternative to the spike-and-slab prior, has proven to be an exceptional default global-local shrinkage prior in Bayesian inference and machine learning. However, designing tests with frequentist…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-19 Qiaoyu Liang , Zihan Zhu , Ziang Fu , Michael Evans

Bayesian neural networks have shown great promise in many applications where calibrated uncertainty estimates are crucial and can often also lead to a higher predictive performance. However, it remains challenging to choose a good prior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-17 Vincent Fortuin , Adrià Garriga-Alonso , Mark van der Wilk , Laurence Aitchison

Learning in Gaussian Process models occurs through the adaptation of hyperparameters of the mean and the covariance function. The classical approach entails maximizing the marginal likelihood yielding fixed point estimates (an approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-07 Vidhi Lalchand , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Recently proposed quasi-Bayesian (QB) methods initiated a new era in Bayesian computation by directly constructing the Bayesian predictive distribution through recursion, removing the need for expensive computations involved in sampling the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-19 David Huk , Yuanhe Zhang , Mark Steel , Ritabrata Dutta

Censored response variables--where outcomes are only partially observed due to known bounds--arise in numerous scientific domains and present serious challenges for regression analysis. The Tobit model, a classical solution for handling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-14 The Tien Mai

Transfer learning enhances model performance in a target population with limited samples by leveraging knowledge from related studies. While many works focus on improving predictive performance, challenges of statistical inference persist.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-05 Daoyuan Lai , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Tian Gu

Functional data such as curves and surfaces have become more and more common with modern technological advancements. The use of functional predictors remains challenging due to its inherent infinite-dimensionality. The common practice is to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Dengdeng Yu , Matthew Pietrosanu , Ivan Mizera , Bei Jiang , Linglong Kong , Wei Tu
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