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The `plate tectonics' is an observed fact and most models of earthquake incorporate that through the frictional dynamics (stick-slip) of two surfaces where one surface moves over the other. These models are more or less successful to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Srutarshi Pradhan , Bikas K. Chakrabarti , Purussatam Ray , Malay Kanti Dey

Using the standard ETAS model of triggered seismicity, we present a rigorous theoretical analysis of the main statistical properties of temporal clusters, defined as the group of events triggered by a given main shock of fixed magnitude m…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-08-24 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

A model for fault dynamics consisting of two rough and rigid brownian profiles that slide one over the other is introduced. An earthquake occurs when there is an intersection between the two profiles. The energy release is proportional to…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2019-08-17 V. De Rubeis , R. Hallgass , V. Loreto , G. Paladin , L. Pietronero , P. Tosi

In many important systems exhibiting crackling noise --- intermittent avalanche-like relaxation response with power-law and, thus, self-similar distributed event sizes --- the "laws" for the rate of activity after large events are not…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Jörn Davidsen , Marco Baiesi

The frequency and magnitude of weather extreme events have increased significantly during the past few years in response to anthropogenic climate change. However, global statistical characteristics and underlying physical mechanisms are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-07 Qing Yao , Jingfang Fan , Jun Meng , Valerio Lucarini , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen , Kim Christensen , Xiaosong Chen

A crucial point in the debate on feasibility of earthquake prediction is the dependence of an earthquake magnitude from past seismicity. Indeed, whilst clustering in time and space is widely accepted, much more questionable is the existence…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Eugenio Lippiello , Lucilla de Arcangelis , Cataldo Godano

Several recent works point out that the crowd of small unobservable earthquakes (with magnitudes below the detection threshold $m_d$) may play a significant and perhaps dominant role in triggering future seismicity. Using the ETAS branching…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-12-04 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

Earthquakes are complex physical processes driven by the stick-slip motion of a sliding fault. After the main quake, a series of aftershocks typically follows. These are loosely defined as events that follow a given event and occur within…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-12-12 Pinaki Kumar , Roberto Benzi , Jeannot Trampert , Federico Toschi

Earthquake phenomenology exhibits a number of power law distributions including the Gutenberg-Richter frequency-size statistics and the Omori law for aftershock decay rates. In search for a basic model that renders correct predictions on…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 Amit P. Mehta , Karin A. Dahmen , Yehuda Ben-Zion

We analyze regional earthquake energy statistics from the Southern California and Japan seismic catalogs and find scale-invariant energy distributions characterized by an exponent $\tau \simeq 1.67$. To quantify how closely scale-invariant…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-22 K. Duplat , G. Varas , O. Ramos

We show that there is a common mode of origin for the power laws observed in two different models: (i) the Pareto law for the distribution of money among the agents with random saving propensities in an ideal gas-like market model and (ii)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Pratip Bhattacharyya , Arnab Chatterjee , Bikas K Chakrabarti

The probability distribution of inter-event time (IET) between two consecutive earthquakes is a measure for the uncertainty in the occurrence time of earthquakes in a region of interest. It is well known that the IET distribution for…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-06-12 Sumanta Kundu , Anca Opris , Yosuke Aoki , Takahiro Hatano

Short and long range interactions between earthquakes are attracting increasing interest. Scale invariant properties of seismicity in time, space and energy argue for the presence of complex triggering mechanisms where, like a cascade…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Patrizia Tosi , Valerio De Rubeis , Vittorio Loreto , Luciano Pietronero

Earthquakes are produced by the propagation of rapid slip along tectonic faults. The propagation dynamics is governed by a balance between elastic stored energy in the surrounding rock, and dissipated energy at the propagating tip of the…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-08-01 Fabian Barras , Nicolas Brantut

The identification of patterns in space, time, and magnitude, which could potentially encode the subsequent earthquake magnitude, represents a significant challenge in earthquake forecasting. A pivotal aspect of this endeavor involves the…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-04-25 Eugenio Lippiello , Lucilla de Arcangelis , Cataldo Godano

Upon employing a natural time window of fixed length sliding through a time series, an explicit interrelation between the variability $\beta$ of the variance $\kappa_1$($=< \chi^2 > - < \chi >^2$) of natural time $\chi$ and events'…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-08-06 N. V. Sarlis , P. V. Varotsos , E. S. Skordas

A review of the statistical properties of earthquakes is provided, centered mainly in the work of the author (apologies for that). We explain the scaling law for the recurrence-time distributions, its universal character for stationary…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Alvaro Corral

The presented paper is devoted to the search for mathematical basis for describing the aftershock evolution of strong earthquakes. We consider the experimental facts and heuristic arguments that allow to make a choice and to focus on the…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-09-24 A. V. Guglielmi , B. I. Klain

Statistical similarities between earthquakes and other systems that emit cracking noises have been explored in diverse contexts, ranging from materials science to financial and social systems. Such analogies give promise of a unified and…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-06-27 Leandro S. Costa , Ervin K. Lenzi , Renio S. Mendes , Haroldo V. Ribeiro

Spatiotemporal correlations of the two-dimensional spring-block (Burridge-Knopoff) models of earthquakes with the long-range inter-block interactions are extensively studied by means of numerical computer simulations. The long-range…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-13 Takahiro Mori , Hikaru Kawamura