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Identifying and extracting the past information relevant to the future behaviour of stochastic processes is a central task in the quantitative sciences. Quantum models offer a promising approach to this, allowing for accurate simulation of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-06-26 Qing Liu , Thomas. J. Elliott , Felix. C. Binder , Carlo Di Franco , Mile Gu

Enhanced sampling algorithms have emerged as powerful methods to extend the utility of molecular dynamics simulations and allow the sampling of larger portions of the configuration space of complex systems in a given amount of simulation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-19 Jérôme Hénin , Tony Lelièvre , Michael R. Shirts , Omar Valsson , Lucie Delemotte

In this article, we develop a set-oriented numerical methodology which allows to perform uncertainty quantification (UQ) for dynamical systems from a global point of view. That is, for systems with uncertain parameters we approximate the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-08-29 Michael Dellnitz , Stefan Klus , Adrian Ziessler

Uncertainty quantification enables users to assess the reliability of responses generated by large language models (LLMs). We present a novel Question Rephrasing technique to evaluate the input uncertainty of LLMs, which refers to the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Zizhang Chen , Pengyu Hong , Sandeep Madireddy

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) in computational chemistry (CC) is still in its infancy. Very few CC methods are designed to provide a confidence level on their predictions, and most users still rely improperly on the mean absolute error as…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-03-21 Pascal Pernot

We propose a novel, succinct, and effective approach for distribution prediction to quantify uncertainty in machine learning. It incorporates adaptively flexible distribution prediction of $\mathbb{P}(\mathbf{y}|\mathbf{X}=x)$ in regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Xing Yan , Yonghua Su , Wenxuan Ma

We present batching as an omnibus device for uncertainty quantification using simulation output. We consider the classical context of a simulationist performing uncertainty quantification on an estimator $\theta_n$ (of an unknown fixed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-27 Yongseok Jeon , Yi Chu , Raghu Pasupathy , Sara Shashaani

Geothermal field modeling is often associated with uncertainties related to the subsurface static properties and the dynamics of fluid flow and heat transfer. Uncertainty quantification using simulations is a useful tool to design optimum…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-12-13 Hussein Hoteit , Xupeng He , Bicheng Yan , Volker Vahrenkam

Many recently introduced enhanced sampling techniques are based on biasing coarse descriptors (collective variables) of a molecular system on the fly. Sometimes the calculation of such collective variables is expensive and becomes a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-09-01 Marco Jacopo Ferrarotti , Sandro Bottaro , Andrea Pérez-Villa , Giovanni Bussi

We present a method to quantify uncertainty in the predictions made by simulations of mathematical models that can be applied to a broad class of stochastic, discrete, and differential equation models. Quantifying uncertainty is crucial for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-05 Kyle S. Hickmann , James M. Hyman , Sara Y. Del Valle

Classical molecular dynamics simulations are a common component of multi-modal analyses from scattering measurements, such as small-angle scattering and diffraction. Users of these experimental techniques often have no formal training in…

The design of next-generation alloys through the Integrated Computational Materials Engineering (ICME) approach relies on multi-scale computer simulations to provide thermodynamic properties when experiments are difficult to conduct.…

One of the key obstacles in traditional deep learning is the reduction in model transparency caused by increasingly intricate model functions, which can lead to problems such as overfitting and excessive confidence in predictions. With the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Maximilian Wendlinger , Kilian Tscharke , Pascal Debus

Nonadiabatic molecular dynamics simulations aim to describe the coupled electron-nuclear dynamics of molecules in excited electronic states. These simulations have been applied to understand a plethora of photochemical and photophysical…

Dynamical systems modeling, particularly via systems of ordinary differential equations, has been used to effectively capture the temporal behavior of different biochemical components in signal transduction networks. Despite the recent…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-06 Nathaniel J. Linden , Boris Kramer , Padmini Rangamani

We show that ensembles of deep neural networks, called deep ensembles, can be used to perform quantum parameter estimation while also providing a means for quantifying uncertainty in parameter estimates, which is a key advantage of using…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-09 Amanuel Anteneh

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is essential in probabilistic machine learning models, particularly for assessing the reliability of predictions. In this paper, we present a systematic framework for estimating both epistemic and aleatoric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-11 Marzieh Ajirak , Anand Ravishankar , Petar M. Djuric

Optimally-shaped electromagnetic fields have the capacity to coherently control the dynamics of quantum systems and thus offer a promising means for controlling molecular transformations relevant to chemical, biological, and materials…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-06-08 Alicia B. Magann , Matthew D. Grace , Herschel A. Rabitz , Mohan Sarovar

Classical molecular dynamics (MD) is a well established and powerful tool in various fields of science, e.g. chemistry, plasma physics, cluster physics and condensed matter physics. Objects of investigation are few-body systems and…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2016-02-03 Vladimir Filinov , Michael Bonitz , Alexei Filinov , Volodymyr Golubnychiy

This study aims at finding a method for constructing molecular dynamics like models using the formalism of cellular automata for fast simulation of fluid dynamic systems (including compressible phenomena). In as much as the results…

comp-gas · Physics 2009-09-25 Himanshu Agrawal