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For the last ten years, almost every theoretical result concerning the expected run time of a randomized search heuristic used drift theory, making it the arguably most important tool in this domain. Its success is due to its ease of use…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-25 Timo Kötzing , Martin S. Krejca

Performance analysis of all kinds of randomised search heuristics is a rapidly growing and developing field. Run time and solution quality are two popular measures of the performance of these algorithms. The focus of this paper is on the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-11-11 Jun He , Thomas Jansen , Christine Zarges

Runtime analysis aims at contributing to our understanding of evolutionary algorithms through mathematical analyses of their runtimes. In the context of discrete optimization problems, runtime analysis classically studies the time needed to…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Maxim Buzdalov , Benjamin Doerr , Carola Doerr , Dmitry Vinokurov

Drift analysis aims at translating the expected progress of an evolutionary algorithm (or more generally, a random process) into a probabilistic guarantee on its run time (hitting time). So far, drift arguments have been successfully…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-11-01 Benjamin Doerr , Timo Kötzing

This paper explores the use of the standard approach for proving runtime bounds in discrete domains---often referred to as drift analysis---in the context of optimization on a continuous domain. Using this framework we analyze the (1+1)…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-01-31 Youhei Akimoto , Anne Auger , Tobias Glasmachers

The fitness level method is a popular tool for analyzing the hitting time of elitist evolutionary algorithms. Its idea is to divide the search space into multiple fitness levels and estimate lower and upper bounds on the hitting time using…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Jun He , Yuren Zhou

Drift analysis is one of the state-of-the-art techniques for the runtime analysis of randomized search heuristics (RSHs) such as evolutionary algorithms (EAs), simulated annealing etc. The vast majority of existing drift theorems yield…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-05-30 Per Kristian Lehre , Carsten Witt

Drift theory is an intuitive tool for reasoning about random processes: It allows turning expected stepwise changes into expected first-hitting times. While drift theory is used extensively by the community studying randomized search…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-07 Andreas Göbel , Timo Kötzing , Martin S. Krejca

We study a problem of finding an optimal stopping strategy to liquidate an asset with unknown drift. Taking a Bayesian approach, we model the initial beliefs of an individual about the drift parameter by allowing an arbitrary probability…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-03 Erik Ekström , Juozas Vaicenavicius

In most practical settings and theoretical analyses, one assumes that a model can be trained until convergence. However, the growing complexity of machine learning datasets and models may violate such assumptions. Indeed, current approaches…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Mengtian Li , Ersin Yumer , Deva Ramanan

The notion of drift refers to the phenomenon that the distribution, which is underlying the observed data, changes over time. Albeit many attempts were made to deal with drift, formal notions of drift are application-dependent and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-05 Fabian Hinder , André Artelt , Barbara Hammer

The success of modern deep learning is attributed to two key elements: huge amounts of training data and large model sizes. Where a vast amount of data allows the model to learn more features, the large model architecture boosts the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Muhammad Asif Khan , Ridha Hamila , Hamid Menouar

Drift analysis has become a powerful tool to prove bounds on the runtime of randomized search heuristics. It allows, for example, fairly simple proofs for the classical problem how the (1+1) Evolutionary Algorithm (EA) optimizes an…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Benjamin Doerr , Daniel Johannsen , Carola Winzen

Drift analysis is a powerful tool for analyzing the time complexity of evolutionary algorithms. However, it requires manual construction of drift functions to bound hitting time for each specific algorithm and problem. To address this…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Jun He , Siang Yew Chong , Xin Yao

Most machine learning models are static, but the world is dynamic, and increasing online deployment of learned models gives increasing urgency to the development of efficient and effective mechanisms to address learning in the context of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-16 Geoffrey I. Webb , Roy Hyde , Hong Cao , Hai Long Nguyen , Francois Petitjean

Statistical learning under distributional drift remains poorly characterized, especially in closed-loop settings where learning alters the data-generating law. We introduce an intrinsic drift budget $C_T$ that quantifies cumulative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Sofiya Zaichyk

One of the easiest randomized greedy optimization algorithms is the following evolutionary algorithm which aims at maximizing a boolean function $f:\{0,1\}^n \to {\mathbb R}$. The algorithm starts with a random search point $\xi \in…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2017-11-16 Johannes Lengler , Angelika Steger

Existing drift detection methods focus on designing sensitive test statistics. They treat the detection threshold as a fixed hyperparameter, set once to balance false alarms and late detections, and applied uniformly across all datasets and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Pengqian Lu , Jie Lu , Anjin Liu , En Yu , Guangquan Zhang

Runtime analysis, as a branch of the theory of AI, studies how the number of iterations algorithms take before finding a solution (its runtime) depends on the design of the algorithm and the problem structure. Drift analysis is a…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Per Kristian Lehre , Shishen Lin

In studying randomized search heuristics, a frequent quantity of interest is the first time a (real-valued) stochastic process obtains (or passes) a certain value. The processes under investigation commonly show a bias towards this goal,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-24 Timo Kötzing
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