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The configuration model is a standard tool for uniformly generating random graphs with a specified degree sequence, and is often used as a null model to evaluate how much of an observed network's structure can be explained by its degree…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Upasana Dutta , Bailey K. Fosdick , Aaron Clauset

Bayesian network models with latent variables are widely used in statistics and machine learning. In this paper we provide a complete algebraic characterization of Bayesian network models with latent variables when the observed variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-20 Robin J. Evans

Understanding and predicting how complex systems respond to external perturbations is a central challenge in nonequilibrium statistical physics. Here we consider continuous-time Markov networks, which we subject to perturbations along a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-25 Robin Bebon , Thomas Speck

We present some nonparametric methods for graphical modeling. In the discrete case, where the data are binary or drawn from a finite alphabet, Markov random fields are already essentially nonparametric, since the cliques can take only a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-01-08 John Lafferty , Han Liu , Larry Wasserman

Spatiotemporal forecasting is critical in applications such as traffic prediction, climate modeling, and environmental monitoring. However, the prevalence of missing data in real-world sensor networks significantly complicates this task. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Muhammad Bilal , Luis Carretero Lopez

Dynamic demand prediction is crucial for the efficient operation and management of urban transportation systems. Extensive research has been conducted on single-mode demand prediction, ignoring the fact that the demands for different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-02 Yuebing Liang , Guan Huang , Zhan Zhao

A Markov tree is a probabilistic graphical model for a random vector indexed by the nodes of an undirected tree encoding conditional independence relations between variables. One possible limit distribution of partial maxima of samples from…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-19 Stefka Asenova , Gildas Mazo , Johan Segers

This paper addresses the problem of online network topology inference for expanding graphs from a stream of spatiotemporal signals. Online algorithms for dynamic graph learning are crucial in delay-sensitive applications or when changes in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Samuel Rey , Bishwadeep Das , Elvin Isufi

Graphical Markov models use graphs, either undirected, directed, or mixed, to represent possible dependences among statistical variables. Applications of undirected graphs (UDGs) include models for spatial dependence and image analysis,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Steen A. Andersson , David Madigan , Michael D. Perlman

Latent space models are frequently used for modeling single-layer networks and include many popular special cases, such as the stochastic block model and the random dot product graph. However, they are not well-developed for more complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-09 Peter W. MacDonald , Elizaveta Levina , Ji Zhu

In this article we focus on dynamic network data which describe interactions among a fixed population through time. We model this data using the latent space framework, in which the probability of a connection forming is expressed as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-21 Kathryn Turnbull , Christopher Nemeth , Matthew Nunes , Tyler McCormick

Stochastic gradient methods are the workhorse (algorithms) of large-scale optimization problems in machine learning, signal processing, and other computational sciences and engineering. This paper studies Markov chain gradient descent, a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-13 Tao Sun , Yuejiao Sun , Wotao Yin

Many complex systems exhibit interactions that depend not only on pairwise connections, but also group structures and memory effects. To capture such effects, we develop a unified tensor framework for modeling higher-order Markov chains…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-09 Shaoxuan Cui , Lingfei Wang , Hildeberto Jardon-Kojakhmetov , Karl Henrik Johansson , Ming Cao

In this paper, we present an overview of different types of random walk strategies with local and non-local transitions on undirected connected networks. We present a general approach to analyzing these strategies by defining the dynamics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-08 A. P. Riascos , José L. Mateos

Generative modeling of graphs with spatial structure is essential across many applications from computer graphics to spatial genomics. Recent flow-based generative models have achieved impressive results by gradually adding and then…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Peter Pao-Huang , Mitchell Black , Xiaojie Qiu

In most domains of network analysis researchers consider networks that arise in nature with weighted edges. Such networks are routinely dichotomized in the interest of using available methods for statistical inference with networks. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-10 James D. Wilson , Matthew J. Denny , Shankar Bhamidi , Skyler Cranmer , Bruce Desmarais

Graph neural networks (GNN) have shown significant capabilities in handling structured data, yet their application to dynamic, temporal data remains limited. This paper presents a new type of graph attention network, called TempoKGAT, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Lena Sasal , Daniel Busby , Abdenour Hadid

The Random Dot Product Graph (RDPG) is a generative model for relational data, where nodes are represented via latent vectors in low-dimensional Euclidean space. RDPGs crucially postulate that edge formation probabilities are given by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-11 Marcelo Fiori , Bernardo Marenco , Federico Larroca , Paola Bermolen , Gonzalo Mateos

We introduce a new random graph model motivated by biological questions relating to speciation. This random graph is defined as the stationary distribution of a Markov chain on the space of graphs on $\{1, \ldots, n\}$. The dynamics of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-24 François Bienvenu , Florence Débarre , Amaury Lambert

In this paper we investigate the use of staged tree models for discrete longitudinal data. Staged trees are a type of probabilistic graphical model for finite sample space processes. They are a natural fit for longitudinal data because a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-10 Jack Storror Carter , Manuele Leonelli , Eva Riccomagno , Alessandro Ugolini